Padova

Padova

VS Scheduled Tuesday 27 Oct 202619:00

Italy 26/27 Serie B · Matchday 9

Sudtirol

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

PadovaWins: 0
Draws50.0% of meetings: 1
SudtirolWins: 1

Goals per match: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-01-25	25/26	Sudtirol3–0Padova
2025-11-01	25/26	Padova1–1Sudtirol

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Palermo2–1Padova
2026-09-13	26/27	Padova1–0Ascoli
2026-09-12	26/27	Padova1–0Ascoli
2026-09-06	26/27	Cremonese3–1Padova
2026-08-29	26/27	Padova1–1Verona
2026-08-23	26/27	Pisa0–1Padova
2026-05-08	25/26	Cesena3–4Padova
2026-05-01	25/26	Padova1–0Pescara

Sudtirol

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Arezzo1–4Sudtirol
2026-09-13	26/27	Sudtirol1–1Modena
2026-09-12	26/27	Sudtirol1–1Modena
2026-09-05	26/27	Sudtirol2–0Catanzaro
2026-08-30	26/27	Benevento1–1Sudtirol
2026-08-22	26/27	Sudtirol1–0Virtus Entella
2026-05-08	25/26	Sudtirol1–1Juve Stabia
2026-05-01	25/26	Sampdoria1–0Sudtirol

Padova Sudtirol

Wins

62%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

12%

Both teams scored

50%

62%

Clean sheets

50%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Padova

Home · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Padova		Mantova	1
6	Padova		Palermo	2
6	Padova		Sudtirol	3
6	Padova		Modena	4
6	Padova	1–0	Ascoli	5	63′ Home
6	Padova	1–0	Ascoli	5	—
6 · Padova
6	Padova		Cesena	7
6	Padova		Avellino	8
6	Padova	1–1	Verona	9	—
6	Padova		Benevento	10
6	Padova		Pisa	11
6	Padova		Cremonese	12
6	Padova		Empoli	13
6	Padova		Vicenza	14
6	Padova		Catanzaro	15
6	Padova		Juve Stabia	16
6	Padova		Arezzo	17
6	Padova		Virtus Entella	18
6	Padova		Sampdoria	19
6	Padova		Carrarese	20

Sudtirol

Away · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Mantova		Sudtirol	3
2	Palermo		Sudtirol	3
3 · Sudtirol
4	Modena		Sudtirol	3
5	Ascoli		Sudtirol	3
6	Padova		Sudtirol	3
7	Cesena		Sudtirol	3
8	Avellino		Sudtirol	3
9	Verona		Sudtirol	3
10	Benevento	1–1	Sudtirol	3	69′ Away
11	Pisa		Sudtirol	3
12	Cremonese		Sudtirol	3
13	Empoli		Sudtirol	3
14	Vicenza		Sudtirol	3
15	Catanzaro		Sudtirol	3
16	Juve Stabia		Sudtirol	3
17	Arezzo	1–4	Sudtirol	3	45+1′ Away
18	Virtus Entella		Sudtirol	3
19	Sampdoria		Sudtirol	3
20	Carrarese		Sudtirol	3

Padova Home Sudtirol Away

Wins

67%

50%

Over 1.5

33%

100%

Over 2.5

0%

50%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

33%

100%

Clean sheets

67%

0%

Scores first

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie B · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Padova

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	1.00	1.67
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded / match	0.33	1.67	1.00
Total goals / match	1.33	2.67	2.00
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	33.3%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Sudtirol

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Draws	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.25	2.50	1.67
Goals conceded / match	0.50	1.00	0.67
Total goals / match	1.75	3.50	2.33
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	50.0%	83.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	2	0
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Padova	Draw	Sudtirol	How it works
Strength (Elo)	36.7%	32.4%	30.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	27.8%	27.2%	44.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.02–1.37 Model expected goals

42.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

47.4% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.8%

0-112.6%

1-09.3%

0-09.2%

1-28.8%

0-28.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Padova	Sudtirol	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1487	1504	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	42	10	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1510	1498	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	39.8%	49.3%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	37.2%	46.5%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1062	913	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	30.9%	34.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	75.3%	57.4%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Padova	0.53	0.47	0.68	0.63
Sudtirol	0.26	0.95	0.68	0.79

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Padova	0%	40%	22%	18%	20%
Sudtirol	12%	18%	35%	20%	15%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.80 Padova at home, 10 matches

1.22 Sudtirol away, 9 matches

38d Days of rest for Padova

37d Days of rest for Sudtirol

— Manager of Padova

— Manager of Sudtirol

0 Matches for Padova in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Sudtirol in the last 14 days

4 Points for Padova behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

2 Points for Sudtirol behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

2.52 League goals per match

32.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Padova, the right bar represents Sudtirol.

On the ball

20 matches

10.65

shots

11.82

3.24

shots on target

3.12

30.4%

accuracy

26.4%

4.42

corners

3.84

15.26

fouls

14.79

2.26

yellow cards

2.16

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Padova	LWWLDWWWLW	1.90	1.20–1.00	1L
Sudtirol	WDDWDWDLLL	1.30	1.20–1.50	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Padova	2	12	5	0	1
Sudtirol	3	8	8	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Padova

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Sudtirol

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.