Ascoli

Ascoli

VS Scheduled Tuesday 27 Oct 202619:00

Italy 26/27 Serie B · Matchday 9

Sampdoria

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

AscoliWins: 0
Draws50.0% of meetings: 1
SampdoriaWins: 1

Goals per match: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2024-03-11	23/24	Sampdoria2–1Ascoli
2023-10-07	23/24	Ascoli1–1Sampdoria

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Ascoli3–1Avellino
2026-09-13	26/27	Padova1–0Ascoli
2026-09-12	26/27	Padova1–0Ascoli
2026-09-05	26/27	Ascoli1–0Benevento
2026-08-29	26/27	Ascoli1–1Carrarese
2026-08-23	26/27	Verona1–2Ascoli
2024-05-10	23/24	Ascoli2–1Pisa
2024-05-05	23/24	Palermo2–2Ascoli

Sampdoria

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Sampdoria2–1Catanzaro
2026-09-14	26/27	Mantova2–0Sampdoria
2026-09-13	26/27	Mantova2–0Sampdoria
2026-09-07	26/27	Palermo3–1Sampdoria
2026-08-29	26/27	Sampdoria1–2Juve Stabia
2026-08-23	26/27	Cesena1–1Sampdoria
2026-05-08	25/26	Reggiana1–0Sampdoria
2026-05-01	25/26	Sampdoria1–0Sudtirol

Ascoli Sampdoria

Wins

50%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

38%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ascoli

Home · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Ascoli		Mantova	1
5	Ascoli		Palermo	2
5	Ascoli		Sudtirol	3
5	Ascoli		Modena	4
5 · Ascoli
5	Ascoli		Padova	6
5	Ascoli		Cesena	7
5	Ascoli	3–1	Avellino	8	—
5	Ascoli		Verona	9
5	Ascoli	1–0	Benevento	10	84′ Home
5	Ascoli		Pisa	11
5	Ascoli		Cremonese	12
5	Ascoli		Empoli	13
5	Ascoli		Vicenza	14
5	Ascoli		Catanzaro	15
5	Ascoli		Juve Stabia	16
5	Ascoli		Arezzo	17
5	Ascoli		Virtus Entella	18
5	Ascoli		Sampdoria	19
5	Ascoli	1–1	Carrarese	20	51′ Away

Sampdoria

Away · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Mantova	2–0	Sampdoria	19	58′ Home
1	Mantova	2–0	Sampdoria	19	—
2	Palermo	3–1	Sampdoria	19	9′ Home
3	Sudtirol		Sampdoria	19
4	Modena		Sampdoria	19
5	Ascoli		Sampdoria	19
6	Padova		Sampdoria	19
7	Cesena	1–1	Sampdoria	19	17′ Home
8	Avellino		Sampdoria	19
9	Verona		Sampdoria	19
10	Benevento		Sampdoria	19
11	Pisa		Sampdoria	19
12	Cremonese		Sampdoria	19
13	Empoli		Sampdoria	19
14	Vicenza		Sampdoria	19
15	Catanzaro		Sampdoria	19
16	Juve Stabia		Sampdoria	19
17	Arezzo		Sampdoria	19
18	Virtus Entella		Sampdoria	19
19 · Sampdoria
20	Carrarese		Sampdoria	19

Ascoli Home Sampdoria Away

Wins

67%

0%

Over 1.5

67%

100%

Over 2.5

33%

25%

Over 3.5

33%

25%

Both teams scored

67%

50%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

33%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie B · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ascoli

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	1.00	1.67
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	1.67	0.67	1.17
Goals conceded / match	0.67	1.00	0.83
Total goals / match	2.33	1.67	2.00
Failed to score	0.0%	66.7%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 2	50%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Sampdoria

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.25	0.67
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.50	0.83
Goals conceded / match	1.50	2.00	1.83
Total goals / match	3.00	2.50	2.67
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	75.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ascoli	Draw	Sampdoria	How it works
Strength (Elo)	46.4%	29.0%	24.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	45.7%	36.2%	18.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.95–0.48 Model expected goals

17.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

23.3% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 24.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-024.0%

1-022.7%

0-111.5%

1-110.9%

2-010.8%

2-15.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ascoli	Sampdoria	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1504	1441	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	35	-27	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1486	1501	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	49.6%	52.0%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	51.3%	50.0%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1072	844	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	27.9%	18.8%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	79.3%	65.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ascoli	0.42	0.63	0.42	0.32
Sampdoria	0.21	0.53	0.47	0.84

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ascoli	15%	28%	22%	15%	20%
Sampdoria	10%	22%	28%	25%	15%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.64 Ascoli at home, 11 matches

0.55 Sampdoria away, 11 matches

38d Days of rest for Ascoli

38d Days of rest for Sampdoria

— Manager of Ascoli

— Manager of Sampdoria

0 Matches for Ascoli in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Sampdoria in the last 14 days

4 Points for Ascoli behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

10 Points for Sampdoria behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

2.52 League goals per match

32.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ascoli, the right bar represents Sampdoria.

On the ball

20 matches

11.18

shots

12.76

3.59

shots on target

3.76

32.1%

accuracy

29.5%

5.06

corners

5.58

14.21

fouls

12.74

2.26

yellow cards

2.28

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ascoli	WLLWDWWDLW	1.70	1.20–0.90	1W
Sampdoria	WLLLLDLWDL	0.80	0.60–1.50	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ascoli	4	11	4	2	1
Sampdoria	4	8	7	2	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ascoli

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Sampdoria

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.