Avellino

Avellino

VS Scheduled Sunday 1 Nov 202614:00

Italy 26/27 Serie B · Matchday 10

Pisa

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Ascoli3–1Avellino
2026-09-14	26/27	Avellino1–1Palermo
2026-09-13	26/27	Avellino1–1Palermo
2026-09-06	26/27	Modena0–1Avellino
2026-08-29	26/27	Avellino3–0Vicenza
2026-08-22	26/27	Avellino1–2Arezzo
2026-05-08	25/26	Avellino1–0Modena
2026-05-01	25/26	Empoli1–0Avellino

Pisa

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Mantova2–2Pisa
2026-09-11	26/27	Pisa1–4Virtus Entella
2026-09-06	26/27	Juve Stabia0–3Pisa
2026-08-30	26/27	Pisa2–1Catanzaro
2026-08-23	26/27	Pisa0–1Padova
2025-05-13	24/25	Pisa2–1Cremonese
2025-05-09	24/25	Pisa3–3Sudtirol
2025-05-04	24/25	Bari1–0Pisa

Avellino Pisa

Wins

38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

75%

Both teams scored

50%

62%

Clean sheets

38%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Avellino

Home · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Avellino		Mantova	1
8	Avellino	1–1	Palermo	2	60′ Home
8	Avellino	1–1	Palermo	2	—
8	Avellino		Sudtirol	3
8	Avellino		Modena	4
8	Avellino		Ascoli	5
8	Avellino		Padova	6
8	Avellino		Cesena	7
8 · Avellino
8	Avellino		Verona	9
8	Avellino		Benevento	10
8	Avellino		Pisa	11
8	Avellino		Cremonese	12
8	Avellino		Empoli	13
8	Avellino	3–0	Vicenza	14	11′ Home
8	Avellino		Catanzaro	15
8	Avellino		Juve Stabia	16
8	Avellino	1–2	Arezzo	17	15′ Home
8	Avellino		Virtus Entella	18
8	Avellino		Sampdoria	19
8	Avellino		Carrarese	20

Pisa

Away · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Mantova	2–2	Pisa	11	8′ Home
2	Palermo		Pisa	11
3	Sudtirol		Pisa	11
4	Modena		Pisa	11
5	Ascoli		Pisa	11
6	Padova		Pisa	11
7	Cesena		Pisa	11
8	Avellino		Pisa	11
9	Verona		Pisa	11
10	Benevento		Pisa	11
11 · Pisa
12	Cremonese		Pisa	11
13	Empoli		Pisa	11
14	Vicenza		Pisa	11
15	Catanzaro		Pisa	11
16	Juve Stabia	0–3	Pisa	11	42′ Away
17	Arezzo		Pisa	11
18	Virtus Entella		Pisa	11
19	Sampdoria		Pisa	11
20	Carrarese		Pisa	11

Avellino Home Pisa Away

Wins

25%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

50%

100%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

75%

50%

Clean sheets

25%

50%

Scores first

N/A

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie B · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Avellino

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.25	1.50	1.33
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.00	1.33
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.50	1.17
Total goals / match	2.50	2.50	2.50
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Pisa

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.00	2.00	1.40
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	2.50	1.60
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.00	1.60
Total goals / match	3.00	3.50	3.20
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	2	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Avellino	Draw	Pisa	How it works
Strength (Elo)	33.1%	32.6%	34.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	21.9%	24.4%	52.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.97–1.66 Model expected goals

48.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

49.6% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 12.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-112.0%

1-111.6%

0-210.0%

1-29.6%

0-07.3%

1-07.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Avellino	Pisa	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1495	1548	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	41	-54	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1509	1503	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	41.1%	60.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	48.7%	62.5%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1049	980	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	32.8%	35.3%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	72.1%	62.7%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Avellino	0.53	0.58	0.26	0.84
Pisa	0.85	0.80	0.60	0.65

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Avellino	5%	20%	30%	22%	22%
Pisa	8%	22%	10%	30%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.73 Avellino at home, 11 matches

1.70 Pisa away, 10 matches

43d Days of rest for Avellino

42d Days of rest for Pisa

— Manager of Avellino

— Manager of Pisa

0 Matches for Avellino in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Pisa in the last 14 days

6 Points for Avellino behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

7 Points for Pisa behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

2.52 League goals per match

32.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Avellino, the right bar represents Pisa.

On the ball

20 matches

9.71

shots

13.44

3.41

shots on target

4.72

35.2%

accuracy

35.1%

4.17

corners

4.8

14.84

fouls

15.2

2.42

yellow cards

1.95

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Avellino	LDDWWLWLWW	1.70	1.30–0.80	1L
Pisa	DLWWLWDLWW	1.70	1.60–1.40	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Avellino	7	10	2	0	2
Pisa	8	7	5	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Avellino

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Pisa

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.