For the love of the game. Find your next match
Padova
VS Scheduled Italy 26/27 Serie B · Matchday 11
Empoli

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings
PadovaWins
1
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
EmpoliWins
1
Goals per match
2.50
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-04-12 Italy, Serie B 25/26 Padova1–0Empoli
2025-08-23 Italy, Serie B 25/26 Empoli3–1Padova
Recent matches

Padova

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Palermo2–1Padova
2026-09-13 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Padova1–0Ascoli
2026-09-12 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Padova1–0Ascoli
2026-09-06 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Cremonese3–1Padova
2026-08-29 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Padova1–1Verona
2026-08-23 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Pisa0–1Padova
2026-05-08 Italy, Serie B 25/26 Cesena3–4Padova
2026-05-01 Italy, Serie B 25/26 Padova1–0Pescara

Empoli

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Modena2–1Empoli
2026-09-11 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Empoli0–1Arezzo
2026-09-05 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Carrarese0–1Empoli
2026-08-30 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Mantova3–1Empoli
2026-08-22 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Empoli1–0Cremonese
2026-05-08 Italy, Serie B 25/26 Monza2–2Empoli
2026-05-01 Italy, Serie B 25/26 Empoli1–0Avellino
2026-04-25 Italy, Serie B 25/26 Venezia2–0Empoli
Padova Empoli

Wins

62%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
38%

Both teams scored

50%
38%

Clean sheets

50%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Padova

Home · Serie B
HomeAway1st goal
6 Padova Mantova 1
6 Padova Palermo 2
6 Padova Sudtirol 3
6 Padova Modena 4
6 Padova 1–0 Ascoli 5 63′ Home
6 Padova 1–0 Ascoli 5 —
6 · Padova
6 Padova Cesena 7
6 Padova Avellino 8
6 Padova 1–1 Verona 9 —
6 Padova Benevento 10
6 Padova Pisa 11
6 Padova Cremonese 12
6 Padova Empoli 13
6 Padova Vicenza 14
6 Padova Catanzaro 15
6 Padova Juve Stabia 16
6 Padova Arezzo 17
6 Padova Virtus Entella 18
6 Padova Sampdoria 19
6 Padova Carrarese 20

Empoli

Away · Serie B
HomeAway1st goal
1 Mantova 3–1 Empoli 13 51′ Away
2 Palermo Empoli 13
3 Sudtirol Empoli 13
4 Modena 2–1 Empoli 13 27′ Away
5 Ascoli Empoli 13
6 Padova Empoli 13
7 Cesena Empoli 13
8 Avellino Empoli 13
9 Verona Empoli 13
10 Benevento Empoli 13
11 Pisa Empoli 13
12 Cremonese Empoli 13
13 · Empoli
14 Vicenza Empoli 13
15 Catanzaro Empoli 13
16 Juve Stabia Empoli 13
17 Arezzo Empoli 13
18 Virtus Entella Empoli 13
19 Sampdoria Empoli 13
20 Carrarese 0–1 Empoli 13 74′ Away
Padova Home Empoli Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie B · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Padova

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match2.331.001.67
Draws33.3%0.0%16.7%
Goals scored / match1.001.001.00
Goals conceded / match0.331.671.00
Total goals / match1.332.672.00
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%33.3%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 2 of 3 67%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Empoli

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway3 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match1.501.001.20
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match0.501.000.80
Goals conceded / match0.501.671.20
Total goals / match1.002.672.00
Failed to score50.0%0.0%20.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%33.3%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 3 33%
Scores first → wins 1 of 3 33%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3010
31–4500
46–6011
61–7513
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelPadovaDraw EmpoliHow it works
Strength (Elo) 41.0% 31.2% 27.8% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 28.8% 27.8% 43.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.02–1.31 Model expected goals
40.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
46.5% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 13.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-113.0%
0-112.8%
1-09.9%
0-09.7%
1-28.5%
0-28.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasurePadovaEmpoli How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1487 1466 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 42 -2 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1510 1504 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 39.8% 50.1% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 37.2% 46.2% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1062 996 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 30.9% 30.6% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 75.3% 69.0% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Padova 0.530.47 0.680.63
Empoli 0.500.65 0.451.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Padova 0%40%22%18%20%
Empoli 2%28%25%18%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.80 Padova at home, 10 matches
0.55 Empoli away, 11 matches
49d Days of rest for Padova
48d Days of rest for Empoli
— Manager of Padova
— Manager of Empoli
0 Matches for Padova in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Empoli in the last 14 days
4 Points for Padova behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
8 Points for Empoli behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.52 League goals per match
32.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Padova, the right bar represents Empoli.

On the ball

20 matches
10.65
shots
13.56
3.24
shots on target
4.0
30.4%
accuracy
29.5%
4.42
corners
5.3
15.26
fouls
16.6
2.26
yellow cards
2.3

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Padova LWWLDWWWLW 1.90 1.20–1.00 1L
Empoli LLWLWDWLDL 1.10 0.80–1.20 2L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Padova2 125 01
Empoli5 114 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Padova

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Empoli

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.