Benevento

Benevento

VS Scheduled Saturday 7 Nov 202618:30

Italy 26/27 Serie B · Matchday 11

Avellino

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Carrarese0–1Benevento
2026-09-11	26/27	Benevento3–1Verona
2026-09-05	26/27	Ascoli1–0Benevento
2026-08-30	26/27	Benevento1–1Sudtirol
2026-08-22	26/27	Benevento1–2Modena
2023-05-19	22/23	Perugia3–2Benevento
2023-05-13	22/23	Benevento2–1Modena
2023-05-06	22/23	Cittadella3–1Benevento

Avellino

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Ascoli3–1Avellino
2026-09-14	26/27	Avellino1–1Palermo
2026-09-13	26/27	Avellino1–1Palermo
2026-09-06	26/27	Modena0–1Avellino
2026-08-29	26/27	Avellino3–0Vicenza
2026-08-22	26/27	Avellino1–2Arezzo
2026-05-08	25/26	Avellino1–0Modena
2026-05-01	25/26	Empoli1–0Avellino

Benevento Avellino

Wins

38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

38%

Both teams scored

75%

50%

Clean sheets

12%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Benevento

Home · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Benevento		Mantova	1
10	Benevento		Palermo	2
10	Benevento	1–1	Sudtirol	3	69′ Away
10	Benevento	1–2	Modena	4	26′ Home
10	Benevento		Ascoli	5
10	Benevento		Padova	6
10	Benevento		Cesena	7
10	Benevento		Avellino	8
10	Benevento	3–1	Verona	9	17′ Home
10 · Benevento
10	Benevento		Pisa	11
10	Benevento		Cremonese	12
10	Benevento		Empoli	13
10	Benevento		Vicenza	14
10	Benevento		Catanzaro	15
10	Benevento		Juve Stabia	16
10	Benevento		Arezzo	17
10	Benevento		Virtus Entella	18
10	Benevento		Sampdoria	19
10	Benevento		Carrarese	20

Avellino

Away · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Mantova		Avellino	8
2	Palermo		Avellino	8
3	Sudtirol		Avellino	8
4	Modena	0–1	Avellino	8	8′ Away
5	Ascoli	3–1	Avellino	8	—
6	Padova		Avellino	8
7	Cesena		Avellino	8
8 · Avellino
9	Verona		Avellino	8
10	Benevento		Avellino	8
11	Pisa		Avellino	8
12	Cremonese		Avellino	8
13	Empoli		Avellino	8
14	Vicenza		Avellino	8
15	Catanzaro		Avellino	8
16	Juve Stabia		Avellino	8
17	Arezzo		Avellino	8
18	Virtus Entella		Avellino	8
19	Sampdoria		Avellino	8
20	Carrarese		Avellino	8

Benevento Home Avellino Away

Wins

33%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 2.5

67%

50%

Over 3.5

33%

50%

Both teams scored

100%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

50%

Scores first

67%

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie B · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Benevento

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.33	1.50	1.40
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	1.67	0.50	1.20
Goals conceded / match	1.33	0.50	1.00
Total goals / match	3.00	1.00	2.20
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	100.0%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	2	1
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	2
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Avellino

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.25	1.50	1.33
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.00	1.33
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.50	1.17
Total goals / match	2.50	2.50	2.50
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Benevento	Draw	Avellino	How it works
Strength (Elo)	37.5%	32.2%	30.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	19.5%	27.4%	52.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.73–1.41 Model expected goals

35.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

39.1% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 16.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-116.5%

1-112.1%

0-011.8%

0-211.6%

1-08.6%

1-28.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Benevento	Avellino	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1485	1495	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	45	41	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1500	1509	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	47.0%	41.1%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	40.7%	48.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	940	1049	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	25.4%	32.8%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	68.6%	72.1%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Benevento	0.50	0.45	0.60	0.80
Avellino	0.53	0.58	0.26	0.84

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Benevento	8%	22%	35%	15%	20%
Avellino	5%	20%	30%	22%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.30 Benevento at home, 10 matches

1.11 Avellino away, 9 matches

49d Days of rest for Benevento

49d Days of rest for Avellino

— Manager of Benevento

— Manager of Avellino

0 Matches for Benevento in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Avellino in the last 14 days

7 Points for Benevento behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

6 Points for Avellino behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.52 League goals per match

32.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Benevento, the right bar represents Avellino.

On the ball

20 matches

12.72

shots

9.71

3.28

shots on target

3.41

25.8%

accuracy

35.2%

5.45

corners

4.17

14.6

fouls

14.84

3.1

yellow cards

2.42

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Benevento	WWLDLLWLDD	1.20	1.40–1.50	2W
Avellino	LDDWWLWLWW	1.70	1.30–0.80	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Benevento	3	13	4	0	2
Avellino	7	10	2	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Benevento

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Avellino

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.