Cremonese

Cremonese

VS Scheduled Tuesday 24 Nov 202600:00

Italy 26/27 Serie B · Matchday 13

Avellino

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

CremoneseWins: 1
Draws50.0% of meetings: 1
AvellinoWins: 0

Goals per match: 2.00
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2018-01-27	17/18	Avellino0–0Cremonese
2017-09-03	17/18	Cremonese3–1Avellino

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Cremonese0–0Virtus Entella
2026-09-13	26/27	Cesena2–2Cremonese
2026-09-12	26/27	Cesena2–2Cremonese
2026-09-06	26/27	Cremonese3–1Padova
2026-08-28	26/27	Cremonese0–3Modena
2026-08-22	26/27	Empoli1–0Cremonese
2025-05-13	24/25	Pisa2–1Cremonese
2025-05-09	24/25	Spezia2–3Cremonese

Avellino

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Ascoli3–1Avellino
2026-09-14	26/27	Avellino1–1Palermo
2026-09-13	26/27	Avellino1–1Palermo
2026-09-06	26/27	Modena0–1Avellino
2026-08-29	26/27	Avellino3–0Vicenza
2026-08-22	26/27	Avellino1–2Arezzo
2026-05-08	25/26	Avellino1–0Modena
2026-05-01	25/26	Empoli1–0Avellino

Cremonese Avellino

Wins

25%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

38%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

12%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Cremonese

Home · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Cremonese		Mantova	1
12	Cremonese		Palermo	2
12	Cremonese		Sudtirol	3
12	Cremonese	0–3	Modena	4	31′ Away
12	Cremonese		Ascoli	5
12	Cremonese	3–1	Padova	6	1′ Home
12	Cremonese		Cesena	7
12	Cremonese		Avellino	8
12	Cremonese		Verona	9
12	Cremonese		Benevento	10
12	Cremonese		Pisa	11
12 · Cremonese
12	Cremonese		Empoli	13
12	Cremonese		Vicenza	14
12	Cremonese		Catanzaro	15
12	Cremonese		Juve Stabia	16
12	Cremonese		Arezzo	17
12	Cremonese	0–0	Virtus Entella	18	–
12	Cremonese		Sampdoria	19
12	Cremonese		Carrarese	20

Avellino

Away · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Mantova		Avellino	8
2	Palermo		Avellino	8
3	Sudtirol		Avellino	8
4	Modena	0–1	Avellino	8	8′ Away
5	Ascoli	3–1	Avellino	8	—
6	Padova		Avellino	8
7	Cesena		Avellino	8
8 · Avellino
9	Verona		Avellino	8
10	Benevento		Avellino	8
11	Pisa		Avellino	8
12	Cremonese		Avellino	8
13	Empoli		Avellino	8
14	Vicenza		Avellino	8
15	Catanzaro		Avellino	8
16	Juve Stabia		Avellino	8
17	Arezzo		Avellino	8
18	Virtus Entella		Avellino	8
19	Sampdoria		Avellino	8
20	Carrarese		Avellino	8

Cremonese Home Avellino Away

Wins

33%

50%

Over 1.5

67%

50%

Over 2.5

67%

50%

Over 3.5

33%

50%

Both teams scored

33%

50%

Clean sheets

33%

50%

Scores first

33%

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie B · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Cremonese

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.33	0.67	1.00
Draws	33.3%	66.7%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.33	1.17
Goals conceded / match	1.33	1.67	1.50
Total goals / match	2.33	3.00	2.67
Failed to score	66.7%	33.3%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	3
46–60	1	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Avellino

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.25	1.50	1.33
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.00	1.33
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.50	1.17
Total goals / match	2.50	2.50	2.50
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Cremonese	Draw	Avellino	How it works
Strength (Elo)	42.4%	30.7%	26.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	35.7%	25.5%	38.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.35–1.41 Model expected goals

51.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

55.5% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.1%

0-18.9%

1-08.6%

1-28.5%

2-18.1%

0-06.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Cremonese	Avellino	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1527	1495	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-63	41	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1504	1509	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	61.3%	41.1%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	65.2%	48.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	839	1049	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	36.0%	32.8%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	47.8%	72.1%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Cremonese	0.63	1.11	0.68	0.68
Avellino	0.53	0.58	0.26	0.84

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Cremonese	8%	12%	20%	20%	40%
Avellino	5%	20%	30%	22%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.60 Cremonese at home, 10 matches

1.11 Avellino away, 9 matches

66d Days of rest for Cremonese

66d Days of rest for Avellino

Fabio Pecchia Manager of Cremonese, since 01/09/26

— Manager of Avellino

0 Matches for Cremonese in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Avellino in the last 14 days

8 Points for Cremonese behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

6 Points for Avellino behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.52 League goals per match

32.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cremonese, the right bar represents Avellino.

On the ball

20 matches

14.82

shots

9.71

5.06

shots on target

3.41

34.1%

accuracy

35.2%

5.05

corners

4.17

16.16

fouls

14.84

2.5

yellow cards

2.42

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Cremonese	DDDWLLLWDD	1.10	1.20–1.40	3D
Avellino	LDDWWLWLWW	1.70	1.30–0.80	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Cremonese	4	9	6	0	0
Avellino	7	10	2	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Cremonese

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Avellino

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Jamie Vardy takes party to Burnley after signing deal with Championship strugglers The Guardian 09-06