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Catanzaro
VS Scheduled Italy 26/27 Serie B · Matchday 14
Avellino

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings
CatanzaroWins
1
Draws50.0% of meetings
1
AvellinoWins
0
Goals per match
1.50
Over 2.5 goals
0.0%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-04-11 Italy, Serie B 25/26 Avellino1–1Catanzaro
2025-12-13 Italy, Serie B 25/26 Catanzaro1–0Avellino
Recent matches

Catanzaro

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Sampdoria2–1Catanzaro
2026-09-13 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Catanzaro1–0Carrarese
2026-09-12 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Catanzaro1–0Carrarese
2026-09-05 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Sudtirol2–0Catanzaro
2026-08-30 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Pisa2–1Catanzaro
2026-08-21 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Vicenza3–2Catanzaro
2026-05-08 Italy, Serie B 25/26 Catanzaro2–3Bari
2026-05-01 Italy, Serie B 25/26 Palermo3–2Catanzaro

Avellino

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Ascoli3–1Avellino
2026-09-14 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Avellino1–1Palermo
2026-09-13 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Avellino1–1Palermo
2026-09-06 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Modena0–1Avellino
2026-08-29 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Avellino3–0Vicenza
2026-08-22 Italy, Serie B 26/27 Avellino1–2Arezzo
2026-05-08 Italy, Serie B 25/26 Avellino1–0Modena
2026-05-01 Italy, Serie B 25/26 Empoli1–0Avellino
Catanzaro Avellino

Wins

25%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
38%

Both teams scored

62%
50%

Clean sheets

25%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Catanzaro

Home · Serie B

Avellino

Away · Serie B
Catanzaro Home Avellino Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie B · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Catanzaro

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway4 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match3.000.001.00
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.001.001.00
Goals conceded / match0.002.251.50
Total goals / match1.003.252.50
Failed to score0.0%25.0%16.7%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%25.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15—0
16–30—0
31–45—0
46–60—0
61–75—0
76–90—0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Avellino

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway2 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match1.251.501.33
Draws50.0%0.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match1.501.001.33
Goals conceded / match1.001.501.17
Total goals / match2.502.502.50
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%50.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelCatanzaroDraw AvellinoHow it works
Strength (Elo) 40.2% 31.5% 28.3% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 31.1% 23.5% 44.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.39–1.71 Model expected goals
58.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
60.6% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 10.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-110.7%
1-29.2%
0-17.7%
2-17.4%
0-26.6%
2-26.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureCatanzaroAvellino How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1509 1495 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -58 41 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1491 1509 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 46.7% 41.1% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 51.5% 48.7% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 988 1049 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 39.3% 32.8% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 59.5% 72.1% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Catanzaro 0.950.89 0.631.16
Avellino 0.530.58 0.260.84

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Catanzaro 5%15%22%18%40%
Avellino 5%20%30%22%22%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Catanzaro at home, 9 matches
1.11 Avellino away, 9 matches
70d Days of rest for Catanzaro
70d Days of rest for Avellino
— Manager of Catanzaro
— Manager of Avellino
0 Matches for Catanzaro in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Avellino in the last 14 days
8 Points for Catanzaro behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
6 Points for Avellino behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
2.52 League goals per match
32.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Catanzaro, the right bar represents Avellino.

On the ball

20 matches
12.41
shots
9.71
4.94
shots on target
3.41
39.8%
accuracy
35.2%
4.58
corners
4.17
12.32
fouls
14.84
1.79
yellow cards
2.42

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Catanzaro LWWLLLLLWD 1.00 1.50–1.80 1L
Avellino LDDWWLWLWW 1.70 1.30–0.80 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Catanzaro10 54 17
Avellino7 102 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Catanzaro

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Avellino

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.