Arezzo

Arezzo

VS Scheduled Tuesday 8 Dec 202600:00

Italy 26/27 Serie B · Matchday 16

Cesena

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Arezzo1–4Sudtirol
2026-09-11	26/27	Empoli0–1Arezzo
2026-09-06	26/27	Verona5–0Arezzo
2026-08-30	26/27	Arezzo2–3Palermo
2026-08-22	26/27	Avellino1–2Arezzo

Cesena

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Juve Stabia1–1Cesena
2026-09-13	26/27	Cesena2–2Cremonese
2026-09-12	26/27	Cesena2–2Cremonese
2026-09-06	26/27	Cesena1–1Mantova
2026-08-29	26/27	Virtus Entella1–2Cesena
2026-08-23	26/27	Cesena1–1Sampdoria
2026-05-08	25/26	Cesena3–4Padova
2026-05-01	25/26	Carrarese0–0Cesena

Arezzo Cesena

Wins

40%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

80%

50%

Both teams scored

60%

88%

Clean sheets

20%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Arezzo

Home · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
17	Arezzo		Mantova	1
17	Arezzo	2–3	Palermo	2	21′ Away
17	Arezzo	1–4	Sudtirol	3	45+1′ Away
17	Arezzo		Modena	4
17	Arezzo		Ascoli	5
17	Arezzo		Padova	6
17	Arezzo		Cesena	7
17	Arezzo		Avellino	8
17	Arezzo		Verona	9
17	Arezzo		Benevento	10
17	Arezzo		Pisa	11
17	Arezzo		Cremonese	12
17	Arezzo		Empoli	13
17	Arezzo		Vicenza	14
17	Arezzo		Catanzaro	15
17	Arezzo		Juve Stabia	16
17 · Arezzo
17	Arezzo		Virtus Entella	18
17	Arezzo		Sampdoria	19
17	Arezzo		Carrarese	20

Cesena

Away · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Mantova		Cesena	7
2	Palermo		Cesena	7
3	Sudtirol		Cesena	7
4	Modena		Cesena	7
5	Ascoli		Cesena	7
6	Padova		Cesena	7
7 · Cesena
8	Avellino		Cesena	7
9	Verona		Cesena	7
10	Benevento		Cesena	7
11	Pisa		Cesena	7
12	Cremonese		Cesena	7
13	Empoli		Cesena	7
14	Vicenza		Cesena	7
15	Catanzaro		Cesena	7
16	Juve Stabia	1–1	Cesena	7	30′ Away
17	Arezzo		Cesena	7
18	Virtus Entella	1–2	Cesena	7	25′ Away
19	Sampdoria		Cesena	7
20	Carrarese		Cesena	7

Arezzo Home Cesena Away

Wins

0%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

50%

Over 3.5

100%

0%

Both teams scored

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

0%

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie B · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Arezzo

5 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away3 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	0.00	2.00	1.20
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.00	1.20
Goals conceded / match	3.50	2.00	2.60
Total goals / match	5.00	3.00	3.80
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	33.3%	20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	1
46–60	1	2
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Cesena

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.00	2.00	1.33
Draws	100.0%	50.0%	83.3%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.50	1.50
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.00	1.33
Total goals / match	3.00	2.50	2.83
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	2	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Arezzo	Draw	Cesena	How it works
Strength (Elo)	39.2%	31.8%	29.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	19.1%	17.7%	57.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.43–2.61 Model expected goals

71.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

66.4% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 8.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-28.6%

1-37.5%

1-16.6%

2-26.1%

0-26.0%

2-35.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Arezzo	Cesena	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1475	1470	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-36	10	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1507	1519	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	44.3%	45.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	32.1%	47.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	971	866	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	44.4%	24.3%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	52.6%	62.3%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Arezzo	0.00	1.20	0.60	2.00
Cesena	0.58	0.47	0.79	0.89

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Arezzo	0%	20%	0%	20%	60%
Cesena	8%	12%	30%	20%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.00 Arezzo at home, 2 matches

0.88 Cesena away, 8 matches

79d Days of rest for Arezzo

81d Days of rest for Cesena

— Manager of Arezzo

— Manager of Cesena

0 Matches for Arezzo in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Cesena in the last 14 days

8 Points for Arezzo behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

6 Points for Cesena behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.52 League goals per match

32.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Arezzo, the right bar represents Cesena.

On the ball

20 matches

11.67

shots

13.29

3.0

shots on target

4.12

25.7%

accuracy

31.0%

4.8

corners

4.11

12.0

fouls

13.63

1.4

yellow cards

1.83

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Arezzo	LWLLW	1.20	1.20–2.60	1L
Cesena	DDDDWDLDDL	1.00	1.20–1.40	4D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Arezzo	0	2	3	1	0
Cesena	5	7	7	1	4

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Arezzo

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Cesena

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.