Vicenza

Vicenza

VS Scheduled Tuesday 8 Dec 202600:00

Italy 26/27 Serie B · Matchday 16

Mantova

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Verona2–1Vicenza
2026-09-13	26/27	Vicenza1–1Juve Stabia
2026-09-12	26/27	Vicenza1–1Juve Stabia
2026-09-06	26/27	Virtus Entella2–2Vicenza
2026-08-29	26/27	Avellino3–0Vicenza
2026-08-21	26/27	Vicenza3–2Catanzaro
2022-05-06	21/22	Alessandria0–1Vicenza
2022-04-30	21/22	Vicenza2–1Lecce

Mantova

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Mantova2–2Pisa
2026-09-14	26/27	Mantova2–0Sampdoria
2026-09-13	26/27	Mantova2–0Sampdoria
2026-09-06	26/27	Cesena1–1Mantova
2026-08-30	26/27	Mantova3–1Empoli
2026-08-22	26/27	Carrarese1–2Mantova
2026-05-08	25/26	Frosinone5–0Mantova
2026-05-01	25/26	Mantova3–2Monza

Vicenza Mantova

Wins

38%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

75%

62%

Clean sheets

12%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Vicenza

Home · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
14	Vicenza		Mantova	1
14	Vicenza		Palermo	2
14	Vicenza		Sudtirol	3
14	Vicenza		Modena	4
14	Vicenza		Ascoli	5
14	Vicenza		Padova	6
14	Vicenza		Cesena	7
14	Vicenza		Avellino	8
14	Vicenza		Verona	9
14	Vicenza		Benevento	10
14	Vicenza		Pisa	11
14	Vicenza		Cremonese	12
14	Vicenza		Empoli	13
14 · Vicenza
14	Vicenza	3–2	Catanzaro	15	17′ Away
14	Vicenza	1–1	Juve Stabia	16	52′ Home
14	Vicenza	1–1	Juve Stabia	16	—
14	Vicenza		Arezzo	17
14	Vicenza		Virtus Entella	18
14	Vicenza		Sampdoria	19
14	Vicenza		Carrarese	20

Mantova

Away · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Mantova
2	Palermo		Mantova	1
3	Sudtirol		Mantova	1
4	Modena		Mantova	1
5	Ascoli		Mantova	1
6	Padova		Mantova	1
7	Cesena	1–1	Mantova	1	31′ Away
8	Avellino		Mantova	1
9	Verona		Mantova	1
10	Benevento		Mantova	1
11	Pisa		Mantova	1
12	Cremonese		Mantova	1
13	Empoli		Mantova	1
14	Vicenza		Mantova	1
15	Catanzaro		Mantova	1
16	Juve Stabia		Mantova	1
17	Arezzo		Mantova	1
18	Virtus Entella		Mantova	1
19	Sampdoria		Mantova	1
20	Carrarese	1–2	Mantova	1	22′ Away

Vicenza Home Mantova Away

Wins

33%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

33%

50%

Over 3.5

33%

0%

Both teams scored

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

N/A

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie B · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Vicenza

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.67	0.33	1.00
Draws	66.7%	33.3%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.67	1.00	1.33
Goals conceded / match	1.33	2.33	1.83
Total goals / match	3.00	3.33	3.17
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Mantova

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.50	2.00	2.33
Draws	25.0%	50.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	2.25	1.50	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.75	1.00	0.83
Total goals / match	3.00	2.50	2.83
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Vicenza	Draw	Mantova	How it works
Strength (Elo)	32.4%	32.6%	35.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	16.3%	20.6%	61.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.93–2.03 Model expected goals

55.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

51.4% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 10.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-210.7%

0-110.5%

1-29.9%

1-19.8%

0-37.3%

1-36.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Vicenza	Mantova	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1472	1533	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	59	52	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1513	1504	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	46.1%	53.2%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	46.9%	54.9%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	980	1002	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	27.5%	34.6%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	70.5%	65.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Vicenza	0.53	0.58	0.63	0.74
Mantova	0.74	0.89	0.47	0.79

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Vicenza	5%	25%	22%	18%	30%
Mantova	5%	18%	25%	25%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.80 Vicenza at home, 10 matches

1.22 Mantova away, 9 matches

79d Days of rest for Vicenza

79d Days of rest for Mantova

— Manager of Vicenza

— Manager of Mantova

0 Matches for Vicenza in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Mantova in the last 14 days

8 Points for Vicenza behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Mantova behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

2.52 League goals per match

32.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Vicenza, the right bar represents Mantova.

On the ball

20 matches

11.71

shots

13.29

4.06

shots on target

4.59

34.7%

accuracy

34.5%

5.95

corners

4.37

15.42

fouls

15.47

2.72

yellow cards

2.22

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Vicenza	LDDDLWWWWL	1.50	1.40–1.40	1L
Mantova	DWWDWWLWWL	2.00	1.80–1.40	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Vicenza	4	10	5	0	0
Mantova	9	5	5	1	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Vicenza

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Mantova

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.