Cremonese

Cremonese

VS Scheduled Sunday 27 Dec 202600:00

Italy 26/27 Serie B · Matchday 19

Ascoli

Head-to-head overview

12 meetings

CremoneseWins: 3
Draws50.0% of meetings: 6
AscoliWins: 3

Goals per match: 2.08
Over 2.5 goals: 41.7%
Both teams scored: 41.7%

Date	Season	Match
2024-02-16	23/24	Ascoli0–0Cremonese
2023-09-23	23/24	Cremonese2–2Ascoli
2022-04-30	21/22	Cremonese0–1Ascoli
2021-12-18	21/22	Ascoli1–4Cremonese
2021-03-19	20/21	Ascoli0–0Cremonese
2020-12-12	20/21	Cremonese3–3Ascoli
2020-06-17	19/20	Ascoli1–3Cremonese
2019-09-30	19/20	Cremonese1–0Ascoli
2019-02-23	18/19	Cremonese0–1Ascoli
2018-09-30	18/19	Ascoli0–0Cremonese
2018-04-21	17/18	Cremonese1–2Ascoli
2017-11-25	17/18	Ascoli0–0Cremonese

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Cremonese0–0Virtus Entella
2026-09-13	26/27	Cesena2–2Cremonese
2026-09-12	26/27	Cesena2–2Cremonese
2026-09-06	26/27	Cremonese3–1Padova
2026-08-28	26/27	Cremonese0–3Modena
2026-08-22	26/27	Empoli1–0Cremonese
2025-05-13	24/25	Pisa2–1Cremonese
2025-05-09	24/25	Spezia2–3Cremonese

Ascoli

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Ascoli3–1Avellino
2026-09-13	26/27	Padova1–0Ascoli
2026-09-12	26/27	Padova1–0Ascoli
2026-09-05	26/27	Ascoli1–0Benevento
2026-08-29	26/27	Ascoli1–1Carrarese
2026-08-23	26/27	Verona1–2Ascoli
2024-05-10	23/24	Ascoli2–1Pisa
2024-05-05	23/24	Palermo2–2Ascoli

Cremonese Ascoli

Wins

25%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

50%

Both teams scored

62%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Cremonese

Home · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Cremonese		Mantova	1
12	Cremonese		Palermo	2
12	Cremonese		Sudtirol	3
12	Cremonese	0–3	Modena	4	31′ Away
12	Cremonese		Ascoli	5
12	Cremonese	3–1	Padova	6	1′ Home
12	Cremonese		Cesena	7
12	Cremonese		Avellino	8
12	Cremonese		Verona	9
12	Cremonese		Benevento	10
12	Cremonese		Pisa	11
12 · Cremonese
12	Cremonese		Empoli	13
12	Cremonese		Vicenza	14
12	Cremonese		Catanzaro	15
12	Cremonese		Juve Stabia	16
12	Cremonese		Arezzo	17
12	Cremonese	0–0	Virtus Entella	18	–
12	Cremonese		Sampdoria	19
12	Cremonese		Carrarese	20

Ascoli

Away · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Mantova		Ascoli	5
2	Palermo		Ascoli	5
3	Sudtirol		Ascoli	5
4	Modena		Ascoli	5
5 · Ascoli
6	Padova	1–0	Ascoli	5	63′ Home
6	Padova	1–0	Ascoli	5	—
7	Cesena		Ascoli	5
8	Avellino		Ascoli	5
9	Verona	1–2	Ascoli	5	21′ Home
10	Benevento		Ascoli	5
11	Pisa		Ascoli	5
12	Cremonese		Ascoli	5
13	Empoli		Ascoli	5
14	Vicenza		Ascoli	5
15	Catanzaro		Ascoli	5
16	Juve Stabia		Ascoli	5
17	Arezzo		Ascoli	5
18	Virtus Entella		Ascoli	5
19	Sampdoria		Ascoli	5
20	Carrarese		Ascoli	5

Cremonese Home Ascoli Away

Wins

33%

Over 1.5

67%

33%

Over 2.5

67%

33%

Over 3.5

33%

0%

Both teams scored

33%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

33%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie B · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Cremonese

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.33	0.67	1.00
Draws	33.3%	66.7%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.33	1.17
Goals conceded / match	1.33	1.67	1.50
Total goals / match	2.33	3.00	2.67
Failed to score	66.7%	33.3%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	3
46–60	1	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ascoli

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	1.00	1.67
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	1.67	0.67	1.17
Goals conceded / match	0.67	1.00	0.83
Total goals / match	2.33	1.67	2.00
Failed to score	0.0%	66.7%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	1 of 3	33%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Cremonese	Draw	Ascoli	How it works
Strength (Elo)	41.4%	31.1%	27.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	26.8%	28.5%	44.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.92–1.28 Model expected goals

37.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

43.3% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 14.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-114.2%

1-113.1%

0-011.1%

1-010.2%

0-29.1%

1-28.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Cremonese	Ascoli	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1527	1504	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-63	35	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1504	1486	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	61.3%	49.6%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	65.2%	51.3%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	839	1072	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	36.0%	27.9%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	47.8%	79.3%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Cremonese	0.63	1.11	0.68	0.68
Ascoli	0.42	0.63	0.42	0.32

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Cremonese	8%	12%	20%	20%	40%
Ascoli	15%	28%	22%	15%	20%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.60 Cremonese at home, 10 matches

1.22 Ascoli away, 9 matches

99d Days of rest for Cremonese

99d Days of rest for Ascoli

Fabio Pecchia Manager of Cremonese, since 01/09/26

— Manager of Ascoli

0 Matches for Cremonese in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Ascoli in the last 14 days

8 Points for Cremonese behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

4 Points for Ascoli behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

2.52 League goals per match

32.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cremonese, the right bar represents Ascoli.

On the ball

20 matches

14.82

shots

11.18

5.06

shots on target

3.59

34.1%

accuracy

32.1%

5.05

corners

5.06

16.16

fouls

14.21

2.5

yellow cards

2.26

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Cremonese	DDDWLLLWDD	1.10	1.20–1.40	3D
Ascoli	WLLWDWWDLW	1.70	1.20–0.90	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Cremonese	4	9	6	0	0
Ascoli	4	11	4	2	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Cremonese

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ascoli

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Jamie Vardy takes party to Burnley after signing deal with Championship strugglers The Guardian 09-06