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Ajax
VS Scheduled Netherlands 26/27 Eredivisie · Matchday 8
Nijmegen

Head-to-head overview

10 meetings
AjaxWins
5
Draws40.0% of meetings
4
NijmegenWins
1
Goals per match
2.80
Over 2.5 goals
60.0%
Both teams scored
60.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-02-21 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 Ajax1–1Nijmegen
2025-12-20 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 Nijmegen2–2Ajax
2025-05-11 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 Ajax0–3Nijmegen
2024-12-01 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 Nijmegen1–2Ajax
2024-02-18 Netherlands, Eredivisie 23/24 Ajax2–2Nijmegen
2023-12-03 Netherlands, Eredivisie 23/24 Nijmegen1–2Ajax
2023-03-05 Netherlands, Eredivisie 22/23 Ajax1–0Nijmegen
2023-01-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 22/23 Nijmegen1–1Ajax
Recent matches

Ajax

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax2–2Excelsior
2026-09-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax5–1Willem II
2026-09-13 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 For Sittard1–5Ajax
2026-09-12 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 For Sittard1–5Ajax
2026-09-05 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax1–3PSV Eindhoven
2026-08-30 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Telstar0–4Ajax
2026-08-16 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax2–2Heerenveen
2026-08-09 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Zwolle0–2Ajax

Nijmegen

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Nijmegen1–1Go Ahead Eagles
2026-09-13 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Cambuur3–0Nijmegen
2026-09-12 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Cambuur3–0Nijmegen
2026-09-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Nijmegen2–2Excelsior
2026-09-05 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Nijmegen1–3Feyenoord
2026-08-29 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Zwolle1–3Nijmegen
2026-08-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II1–4Nijmegen
2026-08-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Nijmegen1–2Telstar
Ajax Nijmegen

Wins

62%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
88%

Both teams scored

75%
75%

Clean sheets

25%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ajax

Home · Eredivisie
HomeAway1st goal
5 Ajax Feyenoord 1
5 Ajax 1–3 PSV Eindhoven 2 5′ Away
5 Ajax AZ Alkmaar 3
5 Ajax Twente 4
5 · Ajax
5 Ajax For Sittard 6
5 Ajax Groningen 7
5 Ajax 2–2 Excelsior 8 32′ Home
5 Ajax Go Ahead Eagles 9
5 Ajax 2–2 Heerenveen 10 —
5 Ajax Nijmegen 11
5 Ajax Cambuur 12
5 Ajax Utrecht 13
5 Ajax Telstar 14
5 Ajax Sparta Rotterdam 15
5 Ajax Zwolle 16
5 Ajax Den Haag 17
5 Ajax 5–1 Willem II 18 41′ Home

Nijmegen

Away · Eredivisie
HomeAway1st goal
1 Feyenoord Nijmegen 11
2 PSV Eindhoven Nijmegen 11
3 AZ Alkmaar Nijmegen 11
4 Twente Nijmegen 11
5 Ajax Nijmegen 11
6 For Sittard Nijmegen 11
7 Groningen Nijmegen 11
8 Excelsior Nijmegen 11
9 Go Ahead Eagles Nijmegen 11
10 Heerenveen Nijmegen 11
11 · Nijmegen
12 Cambuur 3–0 Nijmegen 11 21′ Home
12 Cambuur 3–0 Nijmegen 11 —
13 Utrecht Nijmegen 11
14 Telstar Nijmegen 11
15 Sparta Rotterdam Nijmegen 11
16 Zwolle 1–3 Nijmegen 11 5′ Away
17 Den Haag Nijmegen 11
18 Willem II 1–4 Nijmegen 11 45+2′ Away
Ajax Home Nijmegen Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Eredivisie · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ajax

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.253.002.12
Draws50.0%0.0%25.0%
Goals scored / match2.504.003.25
Goals conceded / match2.000.501.25
Total goals / match4.504.504.50
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%25.0%12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Nijmegen

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match0.501.501.00
Draws50.0%0.0%25.0%
Goals scored / match1.251.751.50
Goals conceded / match2.002.002.00
Total goals / match3.253.753.50
Failed to score0.0%50.0%25.0%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%0.0%12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAjaxDraw NijmegenHow it works
Strength (Elo) 57.2% 19.5% 23.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 54.1% 21.4% 22.6% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.02–1.23 Model expected goals
61.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals
59.9% Both teams to score
2-1 Most likely score, at 9.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-19.7%
1-19.6%
2-07.9%
1-07.9%
3-16.6%
2-26.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAjaxNijmegen How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1641 1528 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -9 -89 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1527 1524 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 54.3% 63.8% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 55.1% 57.4% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1094 988 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 33.7% 29.5% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 75.7% 69.2% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Ajax 1.111.05 0.420.68
Nijmegen 0.740.95 0.790.68

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Ajax 5%0%30%15%50%
Nijmegen 0%2%22%22%52%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.30 Ajax at home, 10 matches
1.50 Nijmegen away, 10 matches
21d Days of rest for Ajax
20d Days of rest for Nijmegen
— Manager of Ajax
— Manager of Nijmegen
0 Matches for Ajax in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Nijmegen in the last 14 days
3 Points for Ajax behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
12 Points for Nijmegen behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
26.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ajax, the right bar represents Nijmegen.

On the ball

20 matches
15.12
shots
18.06
5.38
shots on target
6.18
35.5%
accuracy
34.2%
5.5
corners
6.74
9.0
fouls
11.42
1.94
yellow cards
1.67

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Ajax DWWWLWDWDL 1.80 2.70–1.20 1D
Nijmegen DLLDLWWLWL 1.10 1.50–1.90 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Ajax9 91 02
Nijmegen6 67 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ajax

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Nijmegen

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.