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Excelsior
VS Scheduled Netherlands 26/27 Eredivisie · Matchday 8
Groningen

Head-to-head overview

8 meetings
ExcelsiorWins
3
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
GroningenWins
5
Goals per match
3.00
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
25.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-05-02 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 Groningen2–3Excelsior
2025-12-05 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 Excelsior0–2Groningen
2023-02-25 Netherlands, Eredivisie 22/23 Groningen3–0Excelsior
2023-01-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 22/23 Excelsior1–0Groningen
2019-04-06 Netherlands, Eredivisie 18/19 Groningen1–0Excelsior
2018-11-02 Netherlands, Eredivisie 18/19 Excelsior2–4Groningen
2018-04-29 Netherlands, Eredivisie 17/18 Groningen4–0Excelsior
2017-12-17 Netherlands, Eredivisie 17/18 Excelsior2–0Groningen
Recent matches

Excelsior

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax2–2Excelsior
2026-09-14 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Excelsior1–2Utrecht
2026-09-13 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Excelsior1–2Utrecht
2026-09-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Nijmegen2–2Excelsior
2026-09-05 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II0–3Excelsior
2026-08-29 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Excelsior2–1Sparta Rotterdam
2026-08-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Excelsior1–2PSV Eindhoven
2026-08-07 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Cambuur0–4Excelsior

Groningen

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Groningen3–0Zwolle
2026-09-13 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Go Ahead Eagles1–1Groningen
2026-09-12 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Go Ahead Eagles1–1Groningen
2026-09-06 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Groningen2–2Twente
2026-08-28 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Groningen2–3For Sittard
2026-08-23 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 PSV Eindhoven5–1Groningen
2026-08-16 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Den Haag1–4Groningen
2026-08-09 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Groningen2–1Utrecht
Excelsior Groningen

Wins

38%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

100%
75%

Both teams scored

75%
88%

Clean sheets

25%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Excelsior

Home · Eredivisie

Groningen

Away · Eredivisie
Excelsior Home Groningen Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Eredivisie · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Excelsior

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match0.752.001.38
Draws0.0%50.0%25.0%
Goals scored / match1.252.752.00
Goals conceded / match1.751.001.38
Total goals / match3.003.753.38
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%0.0%0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Groningen

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.751.251.50
Draws25.0%50.0%37.5%
Goals scored / match2.251.752.00
Goals conceded / match1.502.001.75
Total goals / match3.753.753.75
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%50.0%25.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelExcelsiorDraw GroningenHow it works
Strength (Elo) 38.5% 24.9% 36.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 31.3% 22.2% 44.7% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.54–1.88 Model expected goals
64.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
65.1% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 9.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-19.5%
1-28.9%
2-17.3%
2-26.9%
0-16.2%
0-25.8%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureExcelsiorGroningen How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1500 1534 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 43 33 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1525 1529 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 52.0% 55.1% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 52.9% 51.6% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1049 1000 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 37.3% 32.6% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 67.6% 67.4% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Excelsior 0.840.95 0.580.89
Groningen 1.000.84 0.740.84

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Excelsior 2%12%18%38%30%
Groningen 5%5%32%30%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.70 Excelsior at home, 10 matches
1.20 Groningen away, 10 matches
22d Days of rest for Excelsior
23d Days of rest for Groningen
— Manager of Excelsior
— Manager of Groningen
0 Matches for Excelsior in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Groningen in the last 14 days
9 Points for Excelsior behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
8 Points for Groningen behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
26.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Excelsior, the right bar represents Groningen.

On the ball

20 matches
13.94
shots
16.18
4.88
shots on target
5.59
35.0%
accuracy
34.5%
4.44
corners
5.44
11.37
fouls
9.0
0.88
yellow cards
1.29

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Excelsior DLLDWWLWWD 1.50 2.00–1.40 1D
Groningen WDDDLLWWWW 1.80 2.00–1.60 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Excelsior7 66 02
Groningen7 93 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Excelsior

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Groningen

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.