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PSV Eindhoven
VS Scheduled Netherlands 26/27 Eredivisie · Matchday 11
Willem II

Head-to-head overview

12 meetings
PSV EindhovenWins
8
Draws8.3% of meetings
1
Willem IIWins
3
Goals per match
3.58
Over 2.5 goals
75.0%
Both teams scored
41.7%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-02-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 PSV Eindhoven1–1Willem II
2024-09-28 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 Willem II0–2PSV Eindhoven
2022-05-01 Netherlands, Eredivisie 21/22 PSV Eindhoven4–2Willem II
2021-09-25 Netherlands, Eredivisie 21/22 Willem II2–1PSV Eindhoven
2021-05-09 Netherlands, Eredivisie 20/21 Willem II0–2PSV Eindhoven
2020-11-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 20/21 PSV Eindhoven3–0Willem II
2020-02-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 19/20 PSV Eindhoven3–0Willem II
2019-11-10 Netherlands, Eredivisie 19/20 Willem II2–1PSV Eindhoven
Recent matches

PSV Eindhoven

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Twente3–2PSV Eindhoven
2026-09-14 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 PSV Eindhoven4–1Sparta Rotterdam
2026-09-13 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 PSV Eindhoven4–1Sparta Rotterdam
2026-09-05 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax1–3PSV Eindhoven
2026-08-30 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Utrecht1–6PSV Eindhoven
2026-08-23 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 PSV Eindhoven5–1Groningen
2026-08-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Excelsior1–2PSV Eindhoven
2026-08-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 PSV Eindhoven2–2For Sittard

Willem II

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II0–1For Sittard
2026-09-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax5–1Willem II
2026-09-11 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar1–1Willem II
2026-09-05 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II0–3Excelsior
2026-08-30 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II2–2Heerenveen
2026-08-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II1–4Nijmegen
2026-08-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Go Ahead Eagles4–1Willem II
2025-05-18 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 NAC Breda1–1Willem II
PSV Eindhoven Willem II

Wins

75%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

100%
62%

Both teams scored

100%
75%

Clean sheets

0%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Willem II

Away · Eredivisie
HomeAway1st goal
1 Feyenoord Willem II 18
2 PSV Eindhoven Willem II 18
3 AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Willem II 18 32′ Home
4 Twente Willem II 18
5 Ajax 5–1 Willem II 18 41′ Home
6 For Sittard Willem II 18
7 Groningen Willem II 18
8 Excelsior Willem II 18
9 Go Ahead Eagles 4–1 Willem II 18 13′ Away
10 Heerenveen Willem II 18
11 Nijmegen Willem II 18
12 Cambuur Willem II 18
13 Utrecht Willem II 18
14 Telstar Willem II 18
15 Sparta Rotterdam Willem II 18
16 Zwolle Willem II 18
17 Den Haag Willem II 18
18 · Willem II
PSV Eindhoven Home Willem II Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Eredivisie · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

PSV Eindhoven

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match2.502.252.38
Draws25.0%0.0%12.5%
Goals scored / match3.753.253.50
Goals conceded / match1.251.501.38
Total goals / match5.004.754.88
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%0.0%0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Willem II

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match0.250.330.29
Draws25.0%33.3%28.6%
Goals scored / match0.751.000.86
Goals conceded / match2.503.332.86
Total goals / match3.254.333.71
Failed to score50.0%0.0%28.6%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%33.3%28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3001
31–4503
46–6000
61–7505
76–9021

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelPSV EindhovenDraw Willem IIHow it works
Strength (Elo) 86.6% 5.0% 8.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 67.3% 6.3% 3.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
4.11–0.84 Model expected goals
63.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
42.6% Both teams to score
4-0 Most likely score, at 8.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
4-08.5%
3-08.2%
4-17.1%
5-06.9%
3-16.9%
2-06.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasurePSV EindhovenWillem II How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1742 1381 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -24 -3 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1528 1526 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 62.9% 36.8% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 63.7% 34.3% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1066 892 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 38.7% 23.7% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 67.9% 65.5% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
PSV Eindhoven 1.371.74 0.840.68
Willem II 0.250.55 0.851.45

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
PSV Eindhoven 0%2%8%25%65%
Willem II 2%18%30%20%30%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.50 PSV Eindhoven at home, 10 matches
0.40 Willem II away, 10 matches
41d Days of rest for PSV Eindhoven
42d Days of rest for Willem II
— Manager of PSV Eindhoven
— Manager of Willem II
0 Matches for PSV Eindhoven in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Willem II in the last 14 days
1 Points for PSV Eindhoven behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone
18 Points for Willem II behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
26.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents PSV Eindhoven, the right bar represents Willem II.

On the ball

20 matches
19.24
shots
10.65
8.06
shots on target
3.47
41.9%
accuracy
32.6%
7.11
corners
3.9
9.16
fouls
9.05
1.53
yellow cards
1.22

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
PSV Eindhoven LWWWWWWDWW 2.50 3.70–1.30 1L
Willem II LLDLDLLDLL 0.30 0.90–2.50 2L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
PSV Eindhoven11 44 11
Willem II3 710 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

PSV Eindhoven

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Willem II

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.