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Ajax
VS Scheduled Netherlands 26/27 Eredivisie · Matchday 11
AZ Alkmaar

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings
AjaxWins
5
Draws22.2% of meetings
4
AZ AlkmaarWins
9
Goals per match
2.56
Over 2.5 goals
55.6%
Both teams scored
44.4%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-02-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 AZ Alkmaar1–1Ajax
2025-10-18 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 Ajax0–2AZ Alkmaar
2025-03-16 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 Ajax2–2AZ Alkmaar
2024-12-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 AZ Alkmaar2–1Ajax
2024-02-25 Netherlands, Eredivisie 23/24 AZ Alkmaar2–0Ajax
2023-10-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 23/24 Ajax1–2AZ Alkmaar
2023-05-06 Netherlands, Eredivisie 22/23 Ajax0–0AZ Alkmaar
2022-09-18 Netherlands, Eredivisie 22/23 AZ Alkmaar2–1Ajax
Recent matches

Ajax

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax2–2Excelsior
2026-09-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax5–1Willem II
2026-09-13 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 For Sittard1–5Ajax
2026-09-12 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 For Sittard1–5Ajax
2026-09-05 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax1–3PSV Eindhoven
2026-08-30 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Telstar0–4Ajax
2026-08-16 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax2–2Heerenveen
2026-08-09 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Zwolle0–2Ajax

AZ Alkmaar

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar1–0Telstar
2026-09-11 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar1–1Willem II
2026-09-06 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen2–3AZ Alkmaar
2026-08-29 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar5–2Go Ahead Eagles
2026-08-22 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 For Sittard0–2AZ Alkmaar
2026-08-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Utrecht1–4AZ Alkmaar
2026-08-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar2–0Den Haag
2026-05-17 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 AZ Alkmaar3–3NAC Breda
Ajax AZ Alkmaar

Wins

62%
75%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
50%

Both teams scored

75%
62%

Clean sheets

25%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ajax

Home · Eredivisie
HomeAway1st goal
5 Ajax Feyenoord 1
5 Ajax 1–3 PSV Eindhoven 2 5′ Away
5 Ajax AZ Alkmaar 3
5 Ajax Twente 4
5 · Ajax
5 Ajax For Sittard 6
5 Ajax Groningen 7
5 Ajax 2–2 Excelsior 8 32′ Home
5 Ajax Go Ahead Eagles 9
5 Ajax 2–2 Heerenveen 10 —
5 Ajax Nijmegen 11
5 Ajax Cambuur 12
5 Ajax Utrecht 13
5 Ajax Telstar 14
5 Ajax Sparta Rotterdam 15
5 Ajax Zwolle 16
5 Ajax Den Haag 17
5 Ajax 5–1 Willem II 18 41′ Home

AZ Alkmaar

Away · Eredivisie
Ajax Home AZ Alkmaar Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Eredivisie · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ajax

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.253.002.12
Draws50.0%0.0%25.0%
Goals scored / match2.504.003.25
Goals conceded / match2.000.501.25
Total goals / match4.504.504.50
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%25.0%12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

AZ Alkmaar

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match2.503.002.71
Draws25.0%0.0%14.3%
Goals scored / match2.253.002.57
Goals conceded / match0.751.000.86
Total goals / match3.004.003.43
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals75.0%33.3%57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 3 33%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3002
31–4510
46–6030
61–7511
76–9030

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAjaxDraw AZ AlkmaarHow it works
Strength (Elo) 45.4% 23.8% 30.7% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 35.3% 24.4% 39.5% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.43–1.53 Model expected goals
56.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals
59.1% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 11.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-111.3%
1-28.7%
2-18.1%
0-17.9%
1-07.4%
2-26.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAjaxAZ Alkmaar How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1641 1617 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -9 41 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1527 1527 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 54.3% 60.1% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 55.1% 64.5% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1094 998 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 33.7% 31.7% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 75.7% 68.2% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Ajax 1.111.05 0.420.68
AZ Alkmaar 0.851.15 0.450.65

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Ajax 5%0%30%15%50%
AZ Alkmaar 2%15%22%18%42%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.30 Ajax at home, 10 matches
1.56 AZ Alkmaar away, 9 matches
42d Days of rest for Ajax
41d Days of rest for AZ Alkmaar
— Manager of Ajax
— Manager of AZ Alkmaar
0 Matches for Ajax in the last 14 days
0 Matches for AZ Alkmaar in the last 14 days
3 Points for Ajax behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
1 Points for AZ Alkmaar behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
26.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ajax, the right bar represents AZ Alkmaar.

On the ball

20 matches
15.12
shots
16.56
5.38
shots on target
6.67
35.5%
accuracy
40.3%
5.5
corners
6.65
9.0
fouls
9.75
1.94
yellow cards
1.11

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Ajax DWWWLWDWDL 1.80 2.70–1.20 1D
AZ Alkmaar WDWWWWWDDD 2.20 2.40–1.20 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Ajax9 91 02
AZ Alkmaar9 74 23
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ajax

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

AZ Alkmaar

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.