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Groningen
VS Scheduled Netherlands 26/27 Eredivisie · Matchday 13
Heerenveen

Head-to-head overview

15 meetings
GroningenWins
4
Draws40.0% of meetings
6
HeerenveenWins
5
Goals per match
2.60
Over 2.5 goals
33.3%
Both teams scored
66.7%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-01-18 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 Heerenveen0–2Groningen
2025-08-16 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 Groningen2–1Heerenveen
2025-01-25 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 Groningen1–0Heerenveen
2024-09-22 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 Heerenveen2–1Groningen
2023-03-19 Netherlands, Eredivisie 22/23 Groningen0–2Heerenveen
2023-01-22 Netherlands, Eredivisie 22/23 Heerenveen3–1Groningen
2022-04-10 Netherlands, Eredivisie 21/22 Heerenveen3–1Groningen
2021-09-12 Netherlands, Eredivisie 21/22 Groningen1–1Heerenveen
Recent matches

Groningen

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Groningen3–0Zwolle
2026-09-13 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Go Ahead Eagles1–1Groningen
2026-09-12 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Go Ahead Eagles1–1Groningen
2026-09-06 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Groningen2–2Twente
2026-08-28 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Groningen2–3For Sittard
2026-08-23 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 PSV Eindhoven5–1Groningen
2026-08-16 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Den Haag1–4Groningen
2026-08-09 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Groningen2–1Utrecht

Heerenveen

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Sparta Rotterdam0–4Heerenveen
2026-09-14 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen0–0Telstar
2026-09-13 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen0–0Telstar
2026-09-06 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen2–3AZ Alkmaar
2026-08-30 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II2–2Heerenveen
2026-08-22 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen0–2Zwolle
2026-08-16 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax2–2Heerenveen
2026-08-09 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen1–0Twente
Groningen Heerenveen

Wins

38%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
50%

Both teams scored

88%
38%

Clean sheets

12%
50%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Groningen

Home · Eredivisie

Heerenveen

Away · Eredivisie
Groningen Home Heerenveen Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Eredivisie · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Groningen

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.751.251.50
Draws25.0%50.0%37.5%
Goals scored / match2.251.752.00
Goals conceded / match1.502.001.75
Total goals / match3.753.753.75
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%50.0%25.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Heerenveen

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway3 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.001.671.25
Draws40.0%66.7%50.0%
Goals scored / match0.602.671.38
Goals conceded / match1.001.331.12
Total goals / match1.604.002.50
Failed to score60.0%0.0%37.5%
Under 2.5 goals80.0%0.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelGroningenDraw HeerenveenHow it works
Strength (Elo) 43.2% 24.4% 32.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 27.3% 23.2% 48.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.28–1.78 Model expected goals
57.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
59.1% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 10.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-110.7%
1-29.5%
0-18.4%
0-27.5%
2-16.8%
2-26.1%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureGroningenHeerenveen How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1534 1529 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 33 -34 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1529 1511 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 55.1% 42.3% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 51.6% 47.6% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1000 1069 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 32.6% 31.9% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 67.4% 75.0% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Groningen 1.000.84 0.740.84
Heerenveen 0.840.89 0.630.68

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Groningen 5%5%32%30%28%
Heerenveen 8%5%20%25%42%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.70 Groningen at home, 10 matches
1.33 Heerenveen away, 9 matches
64d Days of rest for Groningen
63d Days of rest for Heerenveen
— Manager of Groningen
— Manager of Heerenveen
0 Matches for Groningen in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Heerenveen in the last 14 days
8 Points for Groningen behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
10 Points for Heerenveen behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
26.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Groningen, the right bar represents Heerenveen.

On the ball

20 matches
16.18
shots
13.29
5.59
shots on target
5.35
34.5%
accuracy
40.3%
5.44
corners
5.26
9.0
fouls
9.53
1.29
yellow cards
1.29

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Groningen WDDDLLWWWW 1.80 2.00–1.60 1W
Heerenveen WDDLDLDWDL 1.10 1.10–1.10 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Groningen7 93 01
Heerenveen8 74 12
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Groningen

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Heerenveen

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.