Groningen

Groningen

VS Scheduled Friday 27 Nov 202619:00

Netherlands 26/27 Eredivisie · Matchday 14

Willem II

Head-to-head overview

12 meetings

GroningenWins: 7
Draws8.3% of meetings: 1
Willem IIWins: 4

Goals per match: 2.42
Over 2.5 goals: 41.7%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2025-02-15	24/25	Willem II1–3Groningen
2024-11-30	24/25	Groningen2–0Willem II
2022-02-26	21/22	Groningen1–0Willem II
2021-09-18	21/22	Willem II2–1Groningen
2021-01-14	20/21	Willem II2–3Groningen
2020-11-29	20/21	Groningen1–0Willem II
2020-02-28	19/20	Willem II3–1Groningen
2019-11-03	19/20	Groningen2–0Willem II
2019-02-02	18/19	Willem II1–2Groningen
2018-08-17	18/19	Groningen0–1Willem II
2018-01-21	17/18	Willem II1–1Groningen
2017-10-20	17/18	Groningen0–1Willem II

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Groningen3–0Zwolle
2026-09-13	26/27	Go Ahead Eagles1–1Groningen
2026-09-12	26/27	Go Ahead Eagles1–1Groningen
2026-09-06	26/27	Groningen2–2Twente
2026-08-28	26/27	Groningen2–3For Sittard
2026-08-23	26/27	PSV Eindhoven5–1Groningen
2026-08-16	26/27	Den Haag1–4Groningen
2026-08-09	26/27	Groningen2–1Utrecht

Willem II

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Willem II0–1For Sittard
2026-09-15	26/27	Ajax5–1Willem II
2026-09-11	26/27	AZ Alkmaar1–1Willem II
2026-09-05	26/27	Willem II0–3Excelsior
2026-08-30	26/27	Willem II2–2Heerenveen
2026-08-15	26/27	Willem II1–4Nijmegen
2026-08-08	26/27	Go Ahead Eagles4–1Willem II
2025-05-18	24/25	NAC Breda1–1Willem II

Groningen Willem II

Wins

38%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

62%

Both teams scored

88%

75%

Clean sheets

12%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Groningen

Home · Eredivisie

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Groningen		Feyenoord	1
7	Groningen		PSV Eindhoven	2
7	Groningen		AZ Alkmaar	3
7	Groningen	2–2	Twente	4	6′ Away
7	Groningen		Ajax	5
7	Groningen	2–3	For Sittard	6	—
7 · Groningen
7	Groningen		Excelsior	8
7	Groningen		Go Ahead Eagles	9
7	Groningen		Heerenveen	10
7	Groningen		Nijmegen	11
7	Groningen		Cambuur	12
7	Groningen	2–1	Utrecht	13	8′ Home
7	Groningen		Telstar	14
7	Groningen		Sparta Rotterdam	15
7	Groningen	3–0	Zwolle	16	20′ Home
7	Groningen		Den Haag	17
7	Groningen		Willem II	18

Willem II

Away · Eredivisie

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Feyenoord		Willem II	18
2	PSV Eindhoven		Willem II	18
3	AZ Alkmaar	1–1	Willem II	18	32′ Home
4	Twente		Willem II	18
5	Ajax	5–1	Willem II	18	41′ Home
6	For Sittard		Willem II	18
7	Groningen		Willem II	18
8	Excelsior		Willem II	18
9	Go Ahead Eagles	4–1	Willem II	18	13′ Away
10	Heerenveen		Willem II	18
11	Nijmegen		Willem II	18
12	Cambuur		Willem II	18
13	Utrecht		Willem II	18
14	Telstar		Willem II	18
15	Sparta Rotterdam		Willem II	18
16	Zwolle		Willem II	18
17	Den Haag		Willem II	18
18 · Willem II

Groningen Home Willem II Away

Wins

50%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

67%

Over 3.5

50%

67%

Both teams scored

75%

100%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Scores first

N/A

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Eredivisie · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Groningen

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.75	1.25	1.50
Draws	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	2.25	1.75	2.00
Goals conceded / match	1.50	2.00	1.75
Total goals / match	3.75	3.75	3.75
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Willem II

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	0.25	0.33	0.29
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	0.75	1.00	0.86
Goals conceded / match	2.50	3.33	2.86
Total goals / match	3.25	4.33	3.71
Failed to score	50.0%	0.0%	28.6%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	33.3%	28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	3
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	5
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Groningen	Draw	Willem II	How it works
Strength (Elo)	62.9%	17.0%	20.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	67.2%	17.4%	12.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.35–0.86 Model expected goals

59.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

50.4% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 11.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-011.1%

2-19.6%

1-09.5%

3-08.7%

1-18.2%

3-17.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Groningen	Willem II	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1534	1381	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	33	-3	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1529	1526	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	55.1%	36.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	51.6%	34.3%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1000	892	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	32.6%	23.7%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	67.4%	65.5%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Groningen	1.00	0.84	0.74	0.84
Willem II	0.25	0.55	0.85	1.45

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Groningen	5%	5%	32%	30%	28%
Willem II	2%	18%	30%	20%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.70 Groningen at home, 10 matches

0.40 Willem II away, 10 matches

70d Days of rest for Groningen

69d Days of rest for Willem II

— Manager of Groningen

— Manager of Willem II

0 Matches for Groningen in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Willem II in the last 14 days

8 Points for Groningen behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

18 Points for Willem II behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone

3.20 League goals per match

26.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Groningen, the right bar represents Willem II.

On the ball

20 matches

16.18

shots

10.65

5.59

shots on target

3.47

34.5%

accuracy

32.6%

5.44

corners

3.9

9.0

fouls

9.05

1.29

yellow cards

1.22

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Groningen	WDDDLLWWWW	1.80	2.00–1.60	1W
Willem II	LLDLDLLDLL	0.30	0.90–2.50	2L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Groningen	7	9	3	0	1
Willem II	3	7	10	0	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Groningen

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Willem II

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.