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Excelsior
VS Scheduled Netherlands 26/27 Eredivisie · Matchday 14
Telstar

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings
ExcelsiorWins
0
Draws100.0% of meetings
2
TelstarWins
0
Goals per match
4.00
Over 2.5 goals
100.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-01-17 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 Excelsior2–2Telstar
2025-11-01 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 Telstar2–2Excelsior
Recent matches

Excelsior

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax2–2Excelsior
2026-09-14 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Excelsior1–2Utrecht
2026-09-13 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Excelsior1–2Utrecht
2026-09-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Nijmegen2–2Excelsior
2026-09-05 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II0–3Excelsior
2026-08-29 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Excelsior2–1Sparta Rotterdam
2026-08-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Excelsior1–2PSV Eindhoven
2026-08-07 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Cambuur0–4Excelsior

Telstar

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar1–0Telstar
2026-09-14 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen0–0Telstar
2026-09-13 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen0–0Telstar
2026-09-09 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Twente1–0Telstar
2026-09-06 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Telstar2–2Cambuur
2026-08-30 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Telstar0–4Ajax
2026-08-14 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Telstar1–3Sparta Rotterdam
2026-08-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Nijmegen1–2Telstar
Excelsior Telstar

Wins

38%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

100%
50%

Both teams scored

75%
38%

Clean sheets

25%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Excelsior

Home · Eredivisie

Telstar

Away · Eredivisie
HomeAway1st goal
1 Feyenoord Telstar 14
2 PSV Eindhoven Telstar 14
3 AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Telstar 14 19′ Home
4 Twente 1–0 Telstar 14 65′ Home
5 Ajax Telstar 14
6 For Sittard Telstar 14
7 Groningen Telstar 14
8 Excelsior Telstar 14
9 Go Ahead Eagles Telstar 14
10 Heerenveen 0–0 Telstar 14 –
10 Heerenveen 0–0 Telstar 14 –
11 Nijmegen 1–2 Telstar 14 1′ Away
12 Cambuur Telstar 14
13 Utrecht Telstar 14
14 · Telstar
15 Sparta Rotterdam Telstar 14
16 Zwolle Telstar 14
17 Den Haag Telstar 14
18 Willem II Telstar 14
Excelsior Home Telstar Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Eredivisie · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Excelsior

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match0.752.001.38
Draws0.0%50.0%25.0%
Goals scored / match1.252.752.00
Goals conceded / match1.751.001.38
Total goals / match3.003.753.38
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%0.0%0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Telstar

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway5 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match0.331.000.75
Draws33.3%40.0%37.5%
Goals scored / match1.000.400.62
Goals conceded / match3.000.601.50
Total goals / match4.001.002.12
Failed to score33.3%80.0%62.5%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%80.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3011
31–4500
46–6000
61–7501
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelExcelsiorDraw TelstarHow it works
Strength (Elo) 45.6% 23.9% 30.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 36.7% 24.8% 37.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.44–1.46 Model expected goals
54.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
58.0% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 11.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-111.6%
1-28.5%
2-18.3%
0-18.0%
1-07.9%
2-26.1%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureExcelsiorTelstar How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1500 1474 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 43 -15 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1525 1538 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 52.0% 40.3% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 52.9% 42.1% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1049 1095 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 37.3% 35.0% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 67.6% 74.5% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Excelsior 0.840.95 0.580.89
Telstar 0.580.89 0.580.95

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Excelsior 2%12%18%38%30%
Telstar 8%12%20%20%40%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.70 Excelsior at home, 10 matches
1.09 Telstar away, 11 matches
70d Days of rest for Excelsior
69d Days of rest for Telstar
— Manager of Excelsior
— Manager of Telstar
0 Matches for Excelsior in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Telstar in the last 14 days
9 Points for Excelsior behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
14 Points for Telstar behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
26.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Excelsior, the right bar represents Telstar.

On the ball

20 matches
13.94
shots
11.24
4.88
shots on target
4.71
35.0%
accuracy
41.9%
4.44
corners
3.95
11.37
fouls
11.47
0.88
yellow cards
1.39

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Excelsior DLLDWWLWWD 1.50 2.00–1.40 1D
Telstar LDDLDLLWWW 1.20 1.00–1.30 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Excelsior7 66 02
Telstar6 67 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Excelsior

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Telstar

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.