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Telstar
VS Scheduled Netherlands 26/27 Eredivisie · Matchday 17
Willem II
Recent matches

Telstar

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar1–0Telstar
2026-09-14 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen0–0Telstar
2026-09-13 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen0–0Telstar
2026-09-09 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Twente1–0Telstar
2026-09-06 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Telstar2–2Cambuur
2026-08-30 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Telstar0–4Ajax
2026-08-14 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Telstar1–3Sparta Rotterdam
2026-08-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Nijmegen1–2Telstar

Willem II

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II0–1For Sittard
2026-09-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax5–1Willem II
2026-09-11 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar1–1Willem II
2026-09-05 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II0–3Excelsior
2026-08-30 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II2–2Heerenveen
2026-08-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II1–4Nijmegen
2026-08-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Go Ahead Eagles4–1Willem II
2025-05-18 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 NAC Breda1–1Willem II
Telstar Willem II

Wins

12%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
62%

Both teams scored

38%
75%

Clean sheets

25%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Telstar

Home · Eredivisie
HomeAway1st goal
14 Telstar Feyenoord 1
14 Telstar PSV Eindhoven 2
14 Telstar AZ Alkmaar 3
14 Telstar Twente 4
14 Telstar 0–4 Ajax 5 37′ Away
14 Telstar For Sittard 6
14 Telstar Groningen 7
14 Telstar Excelsior 8
14 Telstar Go Ahead Eagles 9
14 Telstar Heerenveen 10
14 Telstar Nijmegen 11
14 Telstar 2–2 Cambuur 12 53′ Away
14 Telstar Utrecht 13
14 · Telstar
14 Telstar 1–3 Sparta Rotterdam 15 6′ Away
14 Telstar Zwolle 16
14 Telstar Den Haag 17
14 Telstar Willem II 18

Willem II

Away · Eredivisie
HomeAway1st goal
1 Feyenoord Willem II 18
2 PSV Eindhoven Willem II 18
3 AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Willem II 18 32′ Home
4 Twente Willem II 18
5 Ajax 5–1 Willem II 18 41′ Home
6 For Sittard Willem II 18
7 Groningen Willem II 18
8 Excelsior Willem II 18
9 Go Ahead Eagles 4–1 Willem II 18 13′ Away
10 Heerenveen Willem II 18
11 Nijmegen Willem II 18
12 Cambuur Willem II 18
13 Utrecht Willem II 18
14 Telstar Willem II 18
15 Sparta Rotterdam Willem II 18
16 Zwolle Willem II 18
17 Den Haag Willem II 18
18 · Willem II
Telstar Home Willem II Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Eredivisie · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Telstar

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway5 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match0.331.000.75
Draws33.3%40.0%37.5%
Goals scored / match1.000.400.62
Goals conceded / match3.000.601.50
Total goals / match4.001.002.12
Failed to score33.3%80.0%62.5%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%80.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3000
31–4501
46–6005
61–7510
76–9022

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Willem II

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match0.250.330.29
Draws25.0%33.3%28.6%
Goals scored / match0.751.000.86
Goals conceded / match2.503.332.86
Total goals / match3.254.333.71
Failed to score50.0%0.0%28.6%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%33.3%28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3001
31–4503
46–6000
61–7505
76–9021

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelTelstarDraw Willem IIHow it works
Strength (Elo) 54.5% 20.8% 24.7% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 60.4% 22.4% 16.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.83–0.81 Model expected goals
47.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
45.9% Both teams to score
1-0 Most likely score, at 13.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-013.1%
2-012.0%
1-110.6%
2-19.7%
3-07.3%
0-07.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureTelstarWillem II How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1474 1381 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -15 -3 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1538 1526 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 40.3% 36.8% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 42.1% 34.3% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1095 892 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 35.0% 23.7% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 74.5% 65.5% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Telstar 0.580.89 0.580.95
Willem II 0.250.55 0.851.45

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Telstar 8%12%20%20%40%
Willem II 2%18%30%20%30%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.56 Telstar at home, 9 matches
0.40 Willem II away, 10 matches
89d Days of rest for Telstar
90d Days of rest for Willem II
— Manager of Telstar
— Manager of Willem II
0 Matches for Telstar in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Willem II in the last 14 days
14 Points for Telstar behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
18 Points for Willem II behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
26.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Telstar, the right bar represents Willem II.

On the ball

20 matches
11.24
shots
10.65
4.71
shots on target
3.47
41.9%
accuracy
32.6%
3.95
corners
3.9
11.47
fouls
9.05
1.39
yellow cards
1.22

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Telstar LDDLDLLWWW 1.20 1.00–1.30 1L
Willem II LLDLDLLDLL 0.30 0.90–2.50 2L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Telstar6 67 02
Willem II3 710 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Telstar

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Willem II

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.