Excelsior

Excelsior

VS Scheduled Saturday 19 Dec 202615:30

Netherlands 26/27 Eredivisie · Matchday 17

AZ Alkmaar

Head-to-head overview

10 meetings

ExcelsiorWins: 3
Draws20.0% of meetings: 2
AZ AlkmaarWins: 5

Goals per match: 3.30
Over 2.5 goals: 70.0%
Both teams scored: 70.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-02-14	25/26	Excelsior1–2AZ Alkmaar
2026-01-21	25/26	AZ Alkmaar1–1Excelsior
2024-03-10	23/24	AZ Alkmaar4–0Excelsior
2023-11-04	23/24	Excelsior1–1AZ Alkmaar
2023-02-10	22/23	AZ Alkmaar5–0Excelsior
2022-10-23	22/23	Excelsior2–1AZ Alkmaar
2019-05-15	18/19	Excelsior4–2AZ Alkmaar
2018-12-15	18/19	AZ Alkmaar2–1Excelsior
2018-03-03	17/18	Excelsior1–2AZ Alkmaar
2017-09-24	17/18	AZ Alkmaar0–2Excelsior

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Ajax2–2Excelsior
2026-09-14	26/27	Excelsior1–2Utrecht
2026-09-13	26/27	Excelsior1–2Utrecht
2026-09-08	26/27	Nijmegen2–2Excelsior
2026-09-05	26/27	Willem II0–3Excelsior
2026-08-29	26/27	Excelsior2–1Sparta Rotterdam
2026-08-15	26/27	Excelsior1–2PSV Eindhoven
2026-08-07	26/27	Cambuur0–4Excelsior

AZ Alkmaar

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	AZ Alkmaar1–0Telstar
2026-09-11	26/27	AZ Alkmaar1–1Willem II
2026-09-06	26/27	Heerenveen2–3AZ Alkmaar
2026-08-29	26/27	AZ Alkmaar5–2Go Ahead Eagles
2026-08-22	26/27	For Sittard0–2AZ Alkmaar
2026-08-15	26/27	Utrecht1–4AZ Alkmaar
2026-08-08	26/27	AZ Alkmaar2–0Den Haag
2026-05-17	25/26	AZ Alkmaar3–3NAC Breda

Excelsior AZ Alkmaar

Wins

38%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

100%

50%

Both teams scored

75%

62%

Clean sheets

25%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Excelsior

Home · Eredivisie

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Excelsior		Feyenoord	1
8	Excelsior	1–2	PSV Eindhoven	2	5′ Away
8	Excelsior		AZ Alkmaar	3
8	Excelsior		Twente	4
8	Excelsior		Ajax	5
8	Excelsior		For Sittard	6
8	Excelsior		Groningen	7
8 · Excelsior
8	Excelsior		Go Ahead Eagles	9
8	Excelsior		Heerenveen	10
8	Excelsior		Nijmegen	11
8	Excelsior		Cambuur	12
8	Excelsior	1–2	Utrecht	13	36′ Away
8	Excelsior	1–2	Utrecht	13	—
8	Excelsior		Telstar	14
8	Excelsior	2–1	Sparta Rotterdam	15	24′ Home
8	Excelsior		Zwolle	16
8	Excelsior		Den Haag	17
8	Excelsior		Willem II	18

AZ Alkmaar

Away · Eredivisie

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Feyenoord		AZ Alkmaar	3
2	PSV Eindhoven		AZ Alkmaar	3
3 · AZ Alkmaar
4	Twente		AZ Alkmaar	3
5	Ajax		AZ Alkmaar	3
6	For Sittard	0–2	AZ Alkmaar	3	58′ Away
7	Groningen		AZ Alkmaar	3
8	Excelsior		AZ Alkmaar	3
9	Go Ahead Eagles		AZ Alkmaar	3
10	Heerenveen	2–3	AZ Alkmaar	3	7′ Away
11	Nijmegen		AZ Alkmaar	3
12	Cambuur		AZ Alkmaar	3
13	Utrecht	1–4	AZ Alkmaar	3	45+1′ Away
14	Telstar		AZ Alkmaar	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam		AZ Alkmaar	3
16	Zwolle		AZ Alkmaar	3
17	Den Haag		AZ Alkmaar	3
18	Willem II		AZ Alkmaar	3

Excelsior Home AZ Alkmaar Away

Wins

25%

100%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

67%

Over 3.5

0%

67%

Both teams scored

100%

67%

Clean sheets

0%

33%

Scores first

N/A

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Eredivisie · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Excelsior

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	0.75	2.00	1.38
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.25	2.75	2.00
Goals conceded / match	1.75	1.00	1.38
Total goals / match	3.00	3.75	3.38
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

AZ Alkmaar

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	2.50	3.00	2.71
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	2.25	3.00	2.57
Goals conceded / match	0.75	1.00	0.86
Total goals / match	3.00	4.00	3.43
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	33.3%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 3	33%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	1	0
46–60	3	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	3	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Excelsior	Draw	AZ Alkmaar	How it works
Strength (Elo)	30.2%	23.8%	46.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	19.0%	20.6%	58.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.09–2.09 Model expected goals

59.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

56.8% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.9%

1-19.5%

0-29.1%

0-18.7%

1-36.9%

0-36.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Excelsior	AZ Alkmaar	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1500	1617	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	43	41	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1525	1527	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	52.0%	60.1%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	52.9%	64.5%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1049	998	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	37.3%	31.7%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	67.6%	68.2%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Excelsior	0.84	0.95	0.58	0.89
AZ Alkmaar	0.85	1.15	0.45	0.65

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Excelsior	2%	12%	18%	38%	30%
AZ Alkmaar	2%	15%	22%	18%	42%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.70 Excelsior at home, 10 matches

1.56 AZ Alkmaar away, 9 matches

91d Days of rest for Excelsior

90d Days of rest for AZ Alkmaar

— Manager of Excelsior

— Manager of AZ Alkmaar

0 Matches for Excelsior in the last 14 days

0 Matches for AZ Alkmaar in the last 14 days

9 Points for Excelsior behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

1 Points for AZ Alkmaar behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

3.20 League goals per match

26.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Excelsior, the right bar represents AZ Alkmaar.

On the ball

20 matches

13.94

shots

16.56

4.88

shots on target

6.67

35.0%

accuracy

40.3%

4.44

corners

6.65

11.37

fouls

9.75

0.88

yellow cards

1.11

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Excelsior	DLLDWWLWWD	1.50	2.00–1.40	1D
AZ Alkmaar	WDWWWWWDDD	2.20	2.40–1.20	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Excelsior	7	6	6	0	2
AZ Alkmaar	9	7	4	2	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Excelsior

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

AZ Alkmaar

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.