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Utrecht
VS Scheduled Netherlands 26/27 Eredivisie · Matchday 17
Heerenveen

Head-to-head overview

17 meetings
UtrechtWins
9
Draws41.2% of meetings
7
HeerenveenWins
1
Goals per match
2.82
Over 2.5 goals
52.9%
Both teams scored
76.5%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-02-01 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 Heerenveen1–1Utrecht
2025-09-28 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 Utrecht2–2Heerenveen
2025-03-30 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 Utrecht2–0Heerenveen
2024-08-17 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 Heerenveen1–1Utrecht
2024-04-07 Netherlands, Eredivisie 23/24 Heerenveen2–3Utrecht
2023-08-20 Netherlands, Eredivisie 23/24 Utrecht0–2Heerenveen
2023-02-04 Netherlands, Eredivisie 22/23 Utrecht1–0Heerenveen
2022-10-29 Netherlands, Eredivisie 22/23 Heerenveen1–2Utrecht
Recent matches

Utrecht

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Feyenoord5–0Utrecht
2026-09-14 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Excelsior1–2Utrecht
2026-09-13 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Excelsior1–2Utrecht
2026-09-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Utrecht3–3Go Ahead Eagles
2026-08-30 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Utrecht1–6PSV Eindhoven
2026-08-22 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Sparta Rotterdam3–3Utrecht
2026-08-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Utrecht1–4AZ Alkmaar
2026-08-09 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Groningen2–1Utrecht

Heerenveen

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Sparta Rotterdam0–4Heerenveen
2026-09-14 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen0–0Telstar
2026-09-13 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen0–0Telstar
2026-09-06 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen2–3AZ Alkmaar
2026-08-30 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II2–2Heerenveen
2026-08-22 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen0–2Zwolle
2026-08-16 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax2–2Heerenveen
2026-08-09 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen1–0Twente
Utrecht Heerenveen

Wins

25%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

100%
50%

Both teams scored

88%
38%

Clean sheets

0%
50%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Utrecht

Home · Eredivisie
HomeAway1st goal
13 Utrecht Feyenoord 1
13 Utrecht 1–6 PSV Eindhoven 2 6′ Home
13 Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar 3 45+1′ Away
13 Utrecht Twente 4
13 Utrecht Ajax 5
13 Utrecht For Sittard 6
13 Utrecht Groningen 7
13 Utrecht Excelsior 8
13 Utrecht 3–3 Go Ahead Eagles 9 18′ Away
13 Utrecht Heerenveen 10
13 Utrecht Nijmegen 11
13 Utrecht Cambuur 12
13 · Utrecht
13 Utrecht Telstar 14
13 Utrecht Sparta Rotterdam 15
13 Utrecht Zwolle 16
13 Utrecht Den Haag 17
13 Utrecht Willem II 18

Heerenveen

Away · Eredivisie
Utrecht Home Heerenveen Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Eredivisie · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Utrecht

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway5 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match0.331.401.00
Draws33.3%20.0%25.0%
Goals scored / match1.671.601.62
Goals conceded / match4.332.403.12
Total goals / match6.004.004.75
Failed to score0.0%20.0%12.5%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%0.0%0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1511
16–3001
31–4502
46–6004
61–7520
76–9025

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Heerenveen

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway3 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.001.671.25
Draws40.0%66.7%50.0%
Goals scored / match0.602.671.38
Goals conceded / match1.001.331.12
Total goals / match1.604.002.50
Failed to score60.0%0.0%37.5%
Under 2.5 goals80.0%0.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelUtrechtDraw HeerenveenHow it works
Strength (Elo) 44.1% 24.2% 31.6% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 20.8% 20.2% 56.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.24–2.18 Model expected goals
63.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
61.2% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 9.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-29.6%
1-18.8%
0-27.8%
0-17.1%
1-37.0%
2-26.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureUtrechtHeerenveen How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1543 1529 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -42 -34 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1534 1511 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 50.5% 42.3% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 49.2% 47.6% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1010 1069 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 32.6% 31.9% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 68.4% 75.0% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Utrecht 0.681.05 0.631.32
Heerenveen 0.840.89 0.630.68

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Utrecht 2%12%28%20%38%
Heerenveen 8%5%20%25%42%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.89 Utrecht at home, 9 matches
1.33 Heerenveen away, 9 matches
90d Days of rest for Utrecht
91d Days of rest for Heerenveen
— Manager of Utrecht
— Manager of Heerenveen
0 Matches for Utrecht in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Heerenveen in the last 14 days
12 Points for Utrecht behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
10 Points for Heerenveen behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
26.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Utrecht, the right bar represents Heerenveen.

On the ball

20 matches
15.06
shots
13.29
5.59
shots on target
5.35
37.1%
accuracy
40.3%
4.74
corners
5.26
12.79
fouls
9.53
1.72
yellow cards
1.29

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Utrecht LWWDLDLLWW 1.40 1.70–2.60 1L
Heerenveen WDDLDLDWDL 1.10 1.10–1.10 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Utrecht8 56 02
Heerenveen8 74 12
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Utrecht

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Heerenveen

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.