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Willem II
VS Scheduled Netherlands 26/27 Eredivisie · Matchday 18
Ajax

Head-to-head overview

12 meetings
Willem IIWins
1
Draws8.3% of meetings
1
AjaxWins
10
Goals per match
3.25
Over 2.5 goals
58.3%
Both teams scored
58.3%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax5–1Willem II
2025-04-13 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 Willem II1–2Ajax
2024-10-27 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 Ajax1–0Willem II
2022-02-19 Netherlands, Eredivisie 21/22 Willem II0–1Ajax
2021-12-02 Netherlands, Eredivisie 21/22 Ajax5–0Willem II
2021-01-28 Netherlands, Eredivisie 20/21 Ajax3–1Willem II
2020-12-23 Netherlands, Eredivisie 20/21 Willem II1–1Ajax
2019-12-06 Netherlands, Eredivisie 19/20 Ajax0–2Willem II
Recent matches

Willem II

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II0–1For Sittard
2026-09-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax5–1Willem II
2026-09-11 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar1–1Willem II
2026-09-05 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II0–3Excelsior
2026-08-30 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II2–2Heerenveen
2026-08-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II1–4Nijmegen
2026-08-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Go Ahead Eagles4–1Willem II
2025-05-18 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 NAC Breda1–1Willem II

Ajax

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax2–2Excelsior
2026-09-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax5–1Willem II
2026-09-13 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 For Sittard1–5Ajax
2026-09-12 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 For Sittard1–5Ajax
2026-09-05 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax1–3PSV Eindhoven
2026-08-30 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Telstar0–4Ajax
2026-08-16 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax2–2Heerenveen
2026-08-09 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Zwolle0–2Ajax
Willem II Ajax

Wins

0%
62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
88%

Both teams scored

75%
75%

Clean sheets

0%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Willem II

Home · Eredivisie
HomeAway1st goal
18 Willem II Feyenoord 1
18 Willem II PSV Eindhoven 2
18 Willem II AZ Alkmaar 3
18 Willem II Twente 4
18 Willem II Ajax 5
18 Willem II 0–1 For Sittard 6 79′ Away
18 Willem II Groningen 7
18 Willem II 0–3 Excelsior 8 8′ Away
18 Willem II Go Ahead Eagles 9
18 Willem II 2–2 Heerenveen 10 61′ Home
18 Willem II 1–4 Nijmegen 11 45+2′ Away
18 Willem II Cambuur 12
18 Willem II Utrecht 13
18 Willem II Telstar 14
18 Willem II Sparta Rotterdam 15
18 Willem II Zwolle 16
18 Willem II Den Haag 17
18 · Willem II

Ajax

Away · Eredivisie
HomeAway1st goal
1 Feyenoord Ajax 5
2 PSV Eindhoven Ajax 5
3 AZ Alkmaar Ajax 5
4 Twente Ajax 5
5 · Ajax
6 For Sittard 1–5 Ajax 5 35′ Away
6 For Sittard 1–5 Ajax 5 —
7 Groningen Ajax 5
8 Excelsior Ajax 5
9 Go Ahead Eagles Ajax 5
10 Heerenveen Ajax 5
11 Nijmegen Ajax 5
12 Cambuur Ajax 5
13 Utrecht Ajax 5
14 Telstar 0–4 Ajax 5 37′ Away
15 Sparta Rotterdam Ajax 5
16 Zwolle 0–2 Ajax 5 76′ Away
17 Den Haag Ajax 5
18 Willem II Ajax 5
Willem II Home Ajax Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Eredivisie · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Willem II

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match0.250.330.29
Draws25.0%33.3%28.6%
Goals scored / match0.751.000.86
Goals conceded / match2.503.332.86
Total goals / match3.254.333.71
Failed to score50.0%0.0%28.6%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%33.3%28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3000
31–4502
46–6001
61–7513
76–9023

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ajax

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.253.002.12
Draws50.0%0.0%25.0%
Goals scored / match2.504.003.25
Goals conceded / match2.000.501.25
Total goals / match4.504.504.50
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%25.0%12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelWillem IIDraw AjaxHow it works
Strength (Elo) 18.9% 15.7% 65.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 3.7% 7.7% 73.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.71–3.59 Model expected goals
64.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
41.4% Both teams to score
0-3 Most likely score, at 10.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-310.5%
0-49.4%
0-28.8%
1-37.4%
0-56.8%
1-46.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureWillem IIAjax How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1381 1641 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -3 -9 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1526 1527 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 36.8% 54.3% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 34.3% 55.1% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 892 1094 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 23.7% 33.7% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 65.5% 75.7% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Willem II 0.250.55 0.851.45
Ajax 1.111.05 0.420.68

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Willem II 2%18%30%20%30%
Ajax 5%0%30%15%50%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.10 Willem II at home, 10 matches
2.10 Ajax away, 10 matches
112d Days of rest for Willem II
112d Days of rest for Ajax
— Manager of Willem II
— Manager of Ajax
0 Matches for Willem II in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Ajax in the last 14 days
18 Points for Willem II behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone
3 Points for Ajax behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
26.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Willem II, the right bar represents Ajax.

On the ball

20 matches
10.65
shots
15.12
3.47
shots on target
5.38
32.6%
accuracy
35.5%
3.9
corners
5.5
9.05
fouls
9.0
1.22
yellow cards
1.94

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Willem II LLDLDLLDLL 0.30 0.90–2.50 2L
Ajax DWWWLWDWDL 1.80 2.70–1.20 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Willem II3 710 03
Ajax9 91 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Willem II

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ajax

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.