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AZ Alkmaar
VS Scheduled Netherlands 26/27 Eredivisie · Matchday 18
Heerenveen

Head-to-head overview

19 meetings
AZ AlkmaarWins
13
Draws10.5% of meetings
2
HeerenveenWins
4
Goals per match
3.89
Over 2.5 goals
84.2%
Both teams scored
73.7%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-06 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen2–3AZ Alkmaar
2026-04-12 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 AZ Alkmaar3–0Heerenveen
2025-11-23 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 Heerenveen3–1AZ Alkmaar
2025-03-02 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 Heerenveen3–1AZ Alkmaar
2024-09-14 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 AZ Alkmaar9–1Heerenveen
2024-01-28 Netherlands, Eredivisie 23/24 Heerenveen2–2AZ Alkmaar
2023-10-21 Netherlands, Eredivisie 23/24 AZ Alkmaar3–0Heerenveen
2023-04-01 Netherlands, Eredivisie 22/23 AZ Alkmaar1–1Heerenveen
Recent matches

AZ Alkmaar

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar1–0Telstar
2026-09-11 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar1–1Willem II
2026-09-06 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen2–3AZ Alkmaar
2026-08-29 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar5–2Go Ahead Eagles
2026-08-22 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 For Sittard0–2AZ Alkmaar
2026-08-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Utrecht1–4AZ Alkmaar
2026-08-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar2–0Den Haag
2026-05-17 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 AZ Alkmaar3–3NAC Breda

Heerenveen

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Sparta Rotterdam0–4Heerenveen
2026-09-14 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen0–0Telstar
2026-09-13 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen0–0Telstar
2026-09-06 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen2–3AZ Alkmaar
2026-08-30 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II2–2Heerenveen
2026-08-22 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen0–2Zwolle
2026-08-16 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax2–2Heerenveen
2026-08-09 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen1–0Twente
AZ Alkmaar Heerenveen

Wins

75%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
50%

Both teams scored

62%
38%

Clean sheets

38%
50%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

AZ Alkmaar

Home · Eredivisie

Heerenveen

Away · Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar Home Heerenveen Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Eredivisie · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

AZ Alkmaar

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match2.503.002.71
Draws25.0%0.0%14.3%
Goals scored / match2.253.002.57
Goals conceded / match0.751.000.86
Total goals / match3.004.003.43
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals75.0%33.3%57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 3 of 4 75%
Scores first → wins 3 of 4 75%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3011
31–4520
46–6010
61–7530
76–9012

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Heerenveen

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway3 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.001.671.25
Draws40.0%66.7%50.0%
Goals scored / match0.602.671.38
Goals conceded / match1.001.331.12
Total goals / match1.604.002.50
Failed to score60.0%0.0%37.5%
Under 2.5 goals80.0%0.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAZ AlkmaarDraw HeerenveenHow it works
Strength (Elo) 53.8% 21.1% 25.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 40.3% 25.8% 33.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.42–1.26 Model expected goals
49.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
54.0% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 12.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-112.3%
1-09.7%
2-18.7%
0-18.7%
1-27.8%
2-06.9%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAZ AlkmaarHeerenveen How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1617 1529 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 41 -34 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1527 1511 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 60.1% 42.3% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 64.5% 47.6% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 998 1069 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 31.7% 31.9% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 68.2% 75.0% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
AZ Alkmaar 0.851.15 0.450.65
Heerenveen 0.840.89 0.630.68

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
AZ Alkmaar 2%15%22%18%42%
Heerenveen 8%5%20%25%42%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.27 AZ Alkmaar at home, 11 matches
1.33 Heerenveen away, 9 matches
111d Days of rest for AZ Alkmaar
112d Days of rest for Heerenveen
— Manager of AZ Alkmaar
— Manager of Heerenveen
0 Matches for AZ Alkmaar in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Heerenveen in the last 14 days
1 Points for AZ Alkmaar behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone
10 Points for Heerenveen behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
26.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents AZ Alkmaar, the right bar represents Heerenveen.

On the ball

20 matches
16.56
shots
13.29
6.67
shots on target
5.35
40.3%
accuracy
40.3%
6.65
corners
5.26
9.75
fouls
9.53
1.11
yellow cards
1.29

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
AZ Alkmaar WDWWWWWDDD 2.20 2.40–1.20 1W
Heerenveen WDDLDLDWDL 1.10 1.10–1.10 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
AZ Alkmaar9 74 23
Heerenveen8 74 12
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

AZ Alkmaar

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Heerenveen

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.