Ajax

Ajax

VS Scheduled Saturday 13 Mar 202700:00

Netherlands 26/27 Eredivisie · Matchday 26

Zwolle

Head-to-head overview

16 meetings

AjaxWins: 14
Draws12.5% of meetings: 2
ZwolleWins: 0

Goals per match: 2.88
Over 2.5 goals: 56.2%
Both teams scored: 37.5%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-09	26/27	Zwolle0–2Ajax
2026-03-01	25/26	Zwolle0–0Ajax
2025-09-13	25/26	Ajax3–1Zwolle
2025-03-09	24/25	Zwolle0–1Ajax
2024-11-24	24/25	Ajax2–0Zwolle
2024-03-31	23/24	Zwolle1–3Ajax
2023-12-17	23/24	Ajax2–2Zwolle
2022-04-30	21/22	Ajax3–0Zwolle
2021-09-11	21/22	Zwolle0–2Ajax
2021-03-14	20/21	Zwolle0–2Ajax
2020-12-12	20/21	Ajax4–0Zwolle
2019-11-01	19/20	Zwolle2–4Ajax
2019-03-13	18/19	Ajax2–1Zwolle
2018-12-08	18/19	Zwolle1–4Ajax
2018-02-18	17/18	Zwolle0–1Ajax
2017-09-09	17/18	Ajax3–0Zwolle

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Ajax2–2Excelsior
2026-09-15	26/27	Ajax5–1Willem II
2026-09-13	26/27	For Sittard1–5Ajax
2026-09-12	26/27	For Sittard1–5Ajax
2026-09-05	26/27	Ajax1–3PSV Eindhoven
2026-08-30	26/27	Telstar0–4Ajax
2026-08-16	26/27	Ajax2–2Heerenveen
2026-08-09	26/27	Zwolle0–2Ajax

Zwolle

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Groningen3–0Zwolle
2026-09-14	26/27	Zwolle0–7Feyenoord
2026-09-13	26/27	Zwolle0–7Feyenoord
2026-09-04	26/27	Sparta Rotterdam2–2Zwolle
2026-08-29	26/27	Zwolle1–3Nijmegen
2026-08-22	26/27	Heerenveen0–2Zwolle
2026-08-16	26/27	Twente3–1Zwolle
2026-08-09	26/27	Zwolle0–2Ajax

Ajax Zwolle

Wins

62%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

75%

Both teams scored

75%

38%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ajax

Home · Eredivisie

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Ajax		Feyenoord	1
5	Ajax	1–3	PSV Eindhoven	2	5′ Away
5	Ajax		AZ Alkmaar	3
5	Ajax		Twente	4
5 · Ajax
5	Ajax		For Sittard	6
5	Ajax		Groningen	7
5	Ajax	2–2	Excelsior	8	32′ Home
5	Ajax		Go Ahead Eagles	9
5	Ajax	2–2	Heerenveen	10	—
5	Ajax		Nijmegen	11
5	Ajax		Cambuur	12
5	Ajax		Utrecht	13
5	Ajax		Telstar	14
5	Ajax		Sparta Rotterdam	15
5	Ajax		Zwolle	16
5	Ajax		Den Haag	17
5	Ajax	5–1	Willem II	18	41′ Home

Zwolle

Away · Eredivisie

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Feyenoord		Zwolle	16
2	PSV Eindhoven		Zwolle	16
3	AZ Alkmaar		Zwolle	16
4	Twente	3–1	Zwolle	16	—
5	Ajax		Zwolle	16
6	For Sittard		Zwolle	16
7	Groningen	3–0	Zwolle	16	20′ Home
8	Excelsior		Zwolle	16
9	Go Ahead Eagles		Zwolle	16
10	Heerenveen	0–2	Zwolle	16	50′ Away
11	Nijmegen		Zwolle	16
12	Cambuur		Zwolle	16
13	Utrecht		Zwolle	16
14	Telstar		Zwolle	16
15	Sparta Rotterdam	2–2	Zwolle	16	21′ Away
16 · Zwolle
17	Den Haag		Zwolle	16
18	Willem II		Zwolle	16

Ajax Home Zwolle Away

Wins

25%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

75%

Over 3.5

100%

50%

Both teams scored

100%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

25%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Eredivisie · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ajax

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.25	3.00	2.12
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	2.50	4.00	3.25
Goals conceded / match	2.00	0.50	1.25
Total goals / match	4.50	4.50	4.50
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Zwolle

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	0.00	1.00	0.50
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	0.25	1.25	0.75
Goals conceded / match	4.75	2.00	3.38
Total goals / match	5.00	3.25	4.12
Failed to score	75.0%	25.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ajax	Draw	Zwolle	How it works
Strength (Elo)	72.2%	12.3%	15.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	73.5%	8.6%	4.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

3.46–0.73 Model expected goals

65.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

43.0% Both teams to score

3-0 Most likely score, at 10.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

3-010.5%

2-09.1%

4-09.1%

3-17.6%

2-16.6%

4-16.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ajax	Zwolle	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1641	1417	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-9	-50	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1527	1543	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	54.3%	38.9%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	55.1%	38.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1094	943	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	33.7%	29.2%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	75.7%	65.0%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ajax	1.11	1.05	0.42	0.68
Zwolle	0.47	0.53	0.89	1.53

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ajax	5%	0%	30%	15%	50%
Zwolle	2%	8%	22%	18%	50%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.30 Ajax at home, 10 matches

0.60 Zwolle away, 10 matches

175d Days of rest for Ajax

176d Days of rest for Zwolle

— Manager of Ajax

— Manager of Zwolle

0 Matches for Ajax in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Zwolle in the last 14 days

3 Points for Ajax behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone

16 Points for Zwolle behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

3.20 League goals per match

26.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ajax, the right bar represents Zwolle.

On the ball

20 matches

15.12

shots

11.0

5.38

shots on target

3.82

35.5%

accuracy

34.8%

5.5

corners

4.68

9.0

fouls

11.79

1.94

yellow cards

1.06

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ajax	DWWWLWDWDL	1.80	2.70–1.20	1D
Zwolle	LLLDLWLLLL	0.40	0.80–3.20	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ajax	9	9	1	0	2
Zwolle	3	9	7	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ajax

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Zwolle

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.