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Willem II
VS Scheduled Netherlands 26/27 Eredivisie · Matchday 29
AZ Alkmaar

Head-to-head overview

13 meetings
Willem IIWins
4
Draws23.1% of meetings
3
AZ AlkmaarWins
6
Goals per match
3.31
Over 2.5 goals
53.8%
Both teams scored
69.2%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-11 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar1–1Willem II
2025-02-02 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 Willem II0–2AZ Alkmaar
2024-11-10 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 AZ Alkmaar1–2Willem II
2022-03-20 Netherlands, Eredivisie 21/22 Willem II2–2AZ Alkmaar
2021-12-18 Netherlands, Eredivisie 21/22 AZ Alkmaar4–1Willem II
2021-04-03 Netherlands, Eredivisie 20/21 Willem II0–1AZ Alkmaar
2020-12-20 Netherlands, Eredivisie 20/21 AZ Alkmaar5–3Willem II
2020-01-18 Netherlands, Eredivisie 19/20 AZ Alkmaar1–3Willem II
Recent matches

Willem II

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II0–1For Sittard
2026-09-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Ajax5–1Willem II
2026-09-11 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar1–1Willem II
2026-09-05 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II0–3Excelsior
2026-08-30 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II2–2Heerenveen
2026-08-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Willem II1–4Nijmegen
2026-08-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Go Ahead Eagles4–1Willem II
2025-05-18 Netherlands, Eredivisie 24/25 NAC Breda1–1Willem II

AZ Alkmaar

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar1–0Telstar
2026-09-11 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar1–1Willem II
2026-09-06 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Heerenveen2–3AZ Alkmaar
2026-08-29 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar5–2Go Ahead Eagles
2026-08-22 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 For Sittard0–2AZ Alkmaar
2026-08-15 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 Utrecht1–4AZ Alkmaar
2026-08-08 Netherlands, Eredivisie 26/27 AZ Alkmaar2–0Den Haag
2026-05-17 Netherlands, Eredivisie 25/26 AZ Alkmaar3–3NAC Breda
Willem II AZ Alkmaar

Wins

0%
75%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
50%

Both teams scored

75%
62%

Clean sheets

0%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Willem II

Home · Eredivisie
HomeAway1st goal
18 Willem II Feyenoord 1
18 Willem II PSV Eindhoven 2
18 Willem II AZ Alkmaar 3
18 Willem II Twente 4
18 Willem II Ajax 5
18 Willem II 0–1 For Sittard 6 79′ Away
18 Willem II Groningen 7
18 Willem II 0–3 Excelsior 8 8′ Away
18 Willem II Go Ahead Eagles 9
18 Willem II 2–2 Heerenveen 10 61′ Home
18 Willem II 1–4 Nijmegen 11 45+2′ Away
18 Willem II Cambuur 12
18 Willem II Utrecht 13
18 Willem II Telstar 14
18 Willem II Sparta Rotterdam 15
18 Willem II Zwolle 16
18 Willem II Den Haag 17
18 · Willem II

AZ Alkmaar

Away · Eredivisie
Willem II Home AZ Alkmaar Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Eredivisie · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Willem II

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match0.250.330.29
Draws25.0%33.3%28.6%
Goals scored / match0.751.000.86
Goals conceded / match2.503.332.86
Total goals / match3.254.333.71
Failed to score50.0%0.0%28.6%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%33.3%28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3000
31–4502
46–6001
61–7513
76–9023

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

AZ Alkmaar

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match2.503.002.71
Draws25.0%0.0%14.3%
Goals scored / match2.253.002.57
Goals conceded / match0.751.000.86
Total goals / match3.004.003.43
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals75.0%33.3%57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 3 33%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3002
31–4510
46–6030
61–7511
76–9030

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelWillem IIDraw AZ AlkmaarHow it works
Strength (Elo) 20.6% 17.3% 62.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 5.0% 9.8% 74.6% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.71–3.20 Model expected goals
64.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
43.2% Both teams to score
0-3 Most likely score, at 11.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-311.0%
0-210.3%
0-48.8%
1-37.8%
1-27.3%
0-16.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureWillem IIAZ Alkmaar How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1381 1617 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -3 41 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1526 1527 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 36.8% 60.1% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 34.3% 64.5% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 892 998 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 23.7% 31.7% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 65.5% 68.2% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Willem II 0.250.55 0.851.45
AZ Alkmaar 0.851.15 0.450.65

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Willem II 2%18%30%20%30%
AZ Alkmaar 2%15%22%18%42%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.10 Willem II at home, 10 matches
1.56 AZ Alkmaar away, 9 matches
203d Days of rest for Willem II
202d Days of rest for AZ Alkmaar
— Manager of Willem II
— Manager of AZ Alkmaar
0 Matches for Willem II in the last 14 days
0 Matches for AZ Alkmaar in the last 14 days
18 Points for Willem II behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone
1 Points for AZ Alkmaar behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
26.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Willem II, the right bar represents AZ Alkmaar.

On the ball

20 matches
10.65
shots
16.56
3.47
shots on target
6.67
32.6%
accuracy
40.3%
3.9
corners
6.65
9.05
fouls
9.75
1.22
yellow cards
1.11

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Willem II LLDLDLLDLL 0.30 0.90–2.50 2L
AZ Alkmaar WDWWWWWDDD 2.20 2.40–1.20 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Willem II3 710 03
AZ Alkmaar9 74 23
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Willem II

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

AZ Alkmaar

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.