Head-to-head overview
5 meetings- ExcelsiorWins
- 3
- Draws40.0% of meetings
- 2
- Willem IIWins
- 0
- Goals per match
- 3.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 80.0%
- Both teams scored
- 80.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Willem II0–3Excelsior |
| 2019-04-21 |
18/19
|
Excelsior1–1Willem II |
| 2018-09-15 |
18/19
|
Willem II2–2Excelsior |
| 2018-04-06 |
17/18
|
Excelsior2–1Willem II |
| 2017-08-13 |
17/18
|
Willem II1–2Excelsior |
Recent matches
Excelsior
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Ajax2–2Excelsior |
| 2026-09-14 |
26/27
|
Excelsior1–2Utrecht |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Excelsior1–2Utrecht |
| 2026-09-08 |
26/27
|
Nijmegen2–2Excelsior |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Willem II0–3Excelsior |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Excelsior2–1Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Excelsior1–2PSV Eindhoven |
| 2026-08-07 |
26/27
|
Cambuur0–4Excelsior |
Willem II
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Willem II0–1For Sittard |
| 2026-09-15 |
26/27
|
Ajax5–1Willem II |
| 2026-09-11 |
26/27
|
AZ Alkmaar1–1Willem II |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Willem II0–3Excelsior |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Willem II2–2Heerenveen |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Willem II1–4Nijmegen |
| 2026-08-08 |
26/27
|
Go Ahead Eagles4–1Willem II |
| 2025-05-18 |
24/25
|
NAC Breda1–1Willem II |
Excelsior
Willem II
Wins
38%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
62%
Both teams scored
75%
75%
Clean sheets
25%
0%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Excelsior
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Excelsior | Feyenoord | 1 | ||
| 8 | Excelsior | 1–2 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 5′ Away |
| 8 | Excelsior | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | ||
| 8 | Excelsior | Twente | 4 | ||
| 8 | Excelsior | Ajax | 5 | ||
| 8 | Excelsior | For Sittard | 6 | ||
| 8 | Excelsior | Groningen | 7 | ||
| 8 · Excelsior | |||||
| 8 | Excelsior | Go Ahead Eagles | 9 | ||
| 8 | Excelsior | Heerenveen | 10 | ||
| 8 | Excelsior | Nijmegen | 11 | ||
| 8 | Excelsior | Cambuur | 12 | ||
| 8 | Excelsior | 1–2 | Utrecht | 13 | 36′ Away |
| 8 | Excelsior | 1–2 | Utrecht | 13 | — |
| 8 | Excelsior | Telstar | 14 | ||
| 8 | Excelsior | 2–1 | Sparta Rotterdam | 15 | 24′ Home |
| 8 | Excelsior | Zwolle | 16 | ||
| 8 | Excelsior | Den Haag | 17 | ||
| 8 | Excelsior | Willem II | 18 | ||
Willem II
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | Willem II | 18 | ||
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | Willem II | 18 | ||
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 1–1 | Willem II | 18 | 32′ Home |
| 4 | Twente | Willem II | 18 | ||
| 5 | Ajax | 5–1 | Willem II | 18 | 41′ Home |
| 6 | For Sittard | Willem II | 18 | ||
| 7 | Groningen | Willem II | 18 | ||
| 8 | Excelsior | Willem II | 18 | ||
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 4–1 | Willem II | 18 | 13′ Away |
| 10 | Heerenveen | Willem II | 18 | ||
| 11 | Nijmegen | Willem II | 18 | ||
| 12 | Cambuur | Willem II | 18 | ||
| 13 | Utrecht | Willem II | 18 | ||
| 14 | Telstar | Willem II | 18 | ||
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | Willem II | 18 | ||
| 16 | Zwolle | Willem II | 18 | ||
| 17 | Den Haag | Willem II | 18 | ||
| 18 · Willem II | |||||
Excelsior Home
Willem II Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Eredivisie · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Excelsior
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away4 matches | Overall8 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.75 | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 50.0% | 25.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.25 | 2.75 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.75 | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Total goals / match | 3.00 | 3.75 | 3.38 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 3/4 home.Scoring order known: 7/8 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Willem II
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away3 matches | Overall7 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| Draws | 25.0% | 33.3% | 28.6% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.50 | 3.33 | 2.86 |
| Total goals / match | 3.25 | 4.33 | 3.71 |
| Failed to score | 50.0% | 0.0% | 28.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25.0% | 33.3% | 28.6% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 10 of 2 | 0%0% |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 10 of 2 | 0%0% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 20 of 5 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 3/3 away.Scoring order known: 7/7 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 1 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 3 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 5 |
| 76–90 | 2 | 1 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Excelsior | Draw | Willem II | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 58.0% | 19.2% | 22.7% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 67.1% | 17.8% | 12.1% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
2.28–0.84
Model expected goals
57.4%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
49.2%
Both teams to score
2-0
Most likely score, at 11.5%
Most likely scores
2-011.5%
1-010.1%
2-19.6%
3-08.8%
1-18.4%
3-17.3%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Excelsior | Willem II | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1500 | 1381 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 43 | -3 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1525 | 1526 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 52.0% | 36.8% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 52.9% | 34.3% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 1049 | 892 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 37.3% | 23.7% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 67.6% | 65.5% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 0.84 | 0.95 | 0.58 | 0.89 |
| Willem II | 0.25 | 0.55 | 0.85 | 1.45 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 2% | 12% | 18% | 38% | 30% |
| Willem II | 2% | 18% | 30% | 20% | 30% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
0.70
Excelsior at home, 10 matches
0.40
Willem II away, 10 matches
217d
Days of rest for Excelsior
217d
Days of rest for Willem II
—
Manager of Excelsior
—
Manager of Willem II
0
Matches for Excelsior in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Willem II in the last 14 days
9
Points for Excelsior behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
18
Points for Willem II behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone
3.20
League goals per match
26.3%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Excelsior, the right bar represents Willem II.
On the ball
13.94
10.65
shots
4.88
3.47
shots on target
35.0%
32.6%
accuracy
4.44
3.9
corners
11.37
9.05
fouls
0.88
1.22
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | DLLDWWLWWD | 1.50 | 2.00–1.40 | 1D |
| Willem II | LLDLDLLDLL | 0.30 | 0.90–2.50 | 2L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 7 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| Willem II | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 3 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Excelsior
No absences reported.
Willem II
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.