Independiente

Independiente

VS Scheduled Sunday 25 Oct 202601:00

Argentina 2026 Liga Profesional · Matchday 14

Boca Juniors

Head-to-head overview

14 meetings

IndependienteWins: 3
Draws42.9% of meetings: 6
Boca JuniorsWins: 5

Goals per match: 1.86
Over 2.5 goals: 28.6%
Both teams scored: 42.9%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-11	2026	Boca Juniors1–1Independiente
2025-05-20	2025	Boca Juniors0–1Independiente
2024-12-14	2024	Boca Juniors0–0Independiente
2023-07-29	2023	Independiente0–2Boca Juniors
2022-10-23	2022	Boca Juniors2–2Independiente
2021-11-25	2021	Independiente1–0Boca Juniors
2020-01-27	19/20	Boca Juniors0–0Independiente
2018-12-02	18/19	Independiente0–1Boca Juniors
2018-04-16	17/18	Independiente1–0Boca Juniors
2017-06-04	16/17	Boca Juniors3–0Independiente
2015-05-11	2015	Independiente1–1Boca Juniors
2014-11-23	2014	Boca Juniors3–1Independiente
2013-03-31	12/13	Independiente1–1Boca Juniors
2012-09-16	12/13	Boca Juniors2–1Independiente

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	Union de Santa Fe1–2Independiente
2026-09-13	2026	Independiente1–1San Lorenzo
2026-09-06	2026	Central Cordoba0–1Independiente
2026-08-30	2026	Independiente0–3Gimnasia Mendoza
2026-08-22	2026	Independiente0–0Ind. Rivadavia
2026-08-17	2026	Lanus1–3Independiente
2026-08-09	2026	Independiente0–1Platense
2026-08-03	2026	Velez Sarsfield1–0Independiente

Boca Juniors

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	San Lorenzo0–2Boca Juniors
2026-09-12	2026	Boca Juniors3–1Central Cordoba
2026-09-05	2026	Gimnasia Mendoza2–2Boca Juniors
2026-08-29	2026	Boca Juniors1–0Lanus
2026-08-24	2026	Racing Club1–1Boca Juniors
2026-08-16	2026	Platense1–1Boca Juniors
2026-08-08	2026	Boca Juniors1–1Velez Sarsfield
2026-08-05	2026	Boca Juniors1–0Estudiantes L.P.

Independiente Boca Juniors

Wins

38%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

25%

Both teams scored

38%

62%

Clean sheets

25%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Independiente

Home · Liga Profesional

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Independiente		Belgrano	1
11	Independiente		Argentinos Jrs	2
11	Independiente	0–0	Ind. Rivadavia	3	–
11	Independiente		Rosario Central	4
11	Independiente		River Plate	5
11	Independiente		Boca Juniors	6
11	Independiente	1–1	Velez Sarsfield	7	—
11	Independiente		Gimnasia L.P.	8
11	Independiente		Instituto	9
11	Independiente	1–1	Estudiantes L.P.	10	45′ Home
11 · Independiente
11	Independiente		Huracan	12
11	Independiente	2–0	Lanus	13	57′ Home
11	Independiente	4–4	Union de Santa Fe	14	14′ Away
11	Independiente	3–1	Defensa y Justicia	15	8′ Away
11	Independiente	0–3	Gimnasia Mendoza	16	42′ Away
11	Independiente		Sarmiento Junin	17
11	Independiente	1–2	Talleres Cordoba	18	58′ Home
11	Independiente	1–1	San Lorenzo	19	7′ Home
11	Independiente	1–0	Racing Club	20	81′ Home
11	Independiente		Barracas Central	21
11	Independiente		Tigre	22
11	Independiente	1–0	Newells Old Boys	23	41′ Home
11	Independiente		Atl. Tucuman	24
11	Independiente		Banfield	25
11	Independiente	0–1	Platense	26	65′ Away
11	Independiente	2–0	Central Cordoba	27	89′ Home
11	Independiente		Dep. Riestra	28
11	Independiente		Aldosivi	29
11	Independiente		Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	30

Boca Juniors

Away · Liga Profesional

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Belgrano		Boca Juniors	6
2	Argentinos Jrs		Boca Juniors	6
3	Ind. Rivadavia		Boca Juniors	6
4	Rosario Central		Boca Juniors	6
5	River Plate	0–1	Boca Juniors	6	45+6′ Away
6 · Boca Juniors
7	Velez Sarsfield	2–1	Boca Juniors	6	63′ Home
8	Gimnasia L.P.		Boca Juniors	6
9	Instituto		Boca Juniors	6
10	Estudiantes L.P.	2–1	Boca Juniors	6	28′ Home
11	Independiente		Boca Juniors	6
12	Huracan		Boca Juniors	6
13	Lanus	0–3	Boca Juniors	6	15′ Away
14	Union de Santa Fe	1–1	Boca Juniors	6	41′ Home
15	Defensa y Justicia	0–4	Boca Juniors	6	22′ Away
16	Gimnasia Mendoza	2–2	Boca Juniors	6	17′ Away
17	Sarmiento Junin		Boca Juniors	6
18	Talleres Cordoba	0–1	Boca Juniors	6	71′ Away
19	San Lorenzo	0–2	Boca Juniors	6	57′ Away
20	Racing Club	1–1	Boca Juniors	6	9′ Home
21	Barracas Central		Boca Juniors	6
22	Tigre		Boca Juniors	6
23	Newells Old Boys	2–2	Boca Juniors	6	30′ Away
24	Atl. Tucuman		Boca Juniors	6
25	Banfield		Boca Juniors	6
26	Platense	1–1	Boca Juniors	6	53′ Home
27	Central Cordoba	1–2	Boca Juniors	6	43′ Away
28	Dep. Riestra	3–0	Boca Juniors	6	7′ Home
29	Aldosivi		Boca Juniors	6
30	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto		Boca Juniors	6

Independiente Home Boca Juniors Away

Wins

38%

43%

Over 1.5

69%

86%

Over 2.5

31%

57%

Over 3.5

15%

21%

Both teams scored

46%

57%

Clean sheets

38%

36%

Scores first

N/A

57%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Profesional · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Independiente

27 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away14 matches	Overall27 matches
Points / match	1.54	1.50	1.52
Draws	38.5%	21.4%	29.6%
Goals scored / match	1.31	1.29	1.30
Goals conceded / match	1.08	1.21	1.15
Total goals / match	2.38	2.50	2.44
Failed to score	23.1%	14.3%	18.5%
Under 2.5 goals	69.2%	57.1%	63.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 12/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Boca Juniors

27 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away14 matches	Overall27 matches
Points / match	1.92	1.64	1.78
Draws	53.8%	35.7%	44.4%
Goals scored / match	1.15	1.57	1.37
Goals conceded / match	0.46	1.07	0.78
Total goals / match	1.62	2.64	2.15
Failed to score	15.4%	7.1%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	92.3%	42.9%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	6 of 8	75%
Scores first → wins	6 of 8	75%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 6	0%

Scoring order known: 14/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	2
16–30	5	3
31–45	4	3
46–60	2	4
61–75	3	2
76–90	7	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Independiente	Draw	Boca Juniors	How it works
Strength (Elo)	31.8%	31.5%	36.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	15.0%	19.7%	63.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.91–2.12 Model expected goals

56.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

51.3% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 10.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-210.9%

0-110.2%

1-29.9%

1-19.3%

0-37.7%

1-37.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Independiente	Boca Juniors	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1550	1636	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	11	-2	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1514	1511	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Independiente	0.50	0.80	0.50	0.70
Boca Juniors	0.75	0.80	0.45	0.35

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Independiente	10%	25%	32%	20%	12%
Boca Juniors	5%	18%	40%	20%	18%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Independiente at home, 10 matches

1.92 Boca Juniors away, 12 matches

36d Days of rest for Independiente

35d Days of rest for Boca Juniors

— Manager of Independiente

— Manager of Boca Juniors

0 Matches for Independiente in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Boca Juniors in the last 14 days

11 Points for Independiente behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone

4 Points for Boca Juniors behind the leaders, and 24 above the relegation zone

2.02 League goals per match

31.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Independiente, the right bar represents Boca Juniors.

On the ball

20 matches

6.05

corners

5.05

11.2

fouls

9.95

2.12

yellow cards

2.59

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Independiente	WDWLDWLLWW	1.70	1.00–0.80	1W
Boca Juniors	WWDWDDDWDL	1.70	1.40–1.10	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Independiente	5	11	4	0	1
Boca Juniors	8	9	3	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Independiente

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Boca Juniors

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.