Sarmiento Junin

Sarmiento Junin

VS Scheduled Wednesday 14 Oct 202623:00

Argentina 2026 Liga Profesional · Matchday 11

River Plate

Head-to-head overview

10 meetings

Sarmiento JuninWins: 2
Draws30.0% of meetings: 3
River PlateWins: 5

Goals per match: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals: 40.0%
Both teams scored: 60.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-03-15	2026	River Plate2–0Sarmiento Junin
2025-10-12	2025	River Plate0–1Sarmiento Junin
2025-04-06	2025	Sarmiento Junin1–1River Plate
2024-07-28	2024	River Plate1–0Sarmiento Junin
2023-03-20	2023	Sarmiento Junin0–2River Plate
2022-08-01	2022	River Plate1–2Sarmiento Junin
2021-08-30	2021	Sarmiento Junin1–2River Plate
2017-04-23	16/17	River Plate1–1Sarmiento Junin
2016-04-09	2016	River Plate2–2Sarmiento Junin
2015-02-16	2015	Sarmiento Junin1–4River Plate

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	Racing Club3–1Sarmiento Junin
2026-09-13	2026	Sarmiento Junin1–1Belgrano
2026-09-04	2026	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0–2Sarmiento Junin
2026-08-28	2026	Union de Santa Fe4–1Sarmiento Junin
2026-08-23	2026	Sarmiento Junin2–0Estudiantes L.P.
2026-08-16	2026	Sarmiento Junin2–0Huracan
2026-08-08	2026	Atl. Tucuman1–2Sarmiento Junin
2026-08-03	2026	Sarmiento Junin2–1Ind. Rivadavia

River Plate

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	River Plate1–2Huracan
2026-09-12	2026	Atl. Tucuman1–2River Plate
2026-09-06	2026	River Plate3–1Ind. Rivadavia
2026-08-30	2026	Banfield2–3River Plate
2026-08-23	2026	River Plate2–2Velez Sarsfield
2026-08-16	2026	River Plate2–0Argentinos Jrs
2026-08-08	2026	Tigre1–0River Plate
2026-08-02	2026	River Plate0–1Rosario Central

Sarmiento Junin River Plate

Wins

62%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

62%

Both teams scored

62%

Clean sheets

38%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Sarmiento Junin

Home · Liga Profesional

Home			Away		1st goal
17	Sarmiento Junin	1–1	Belgrano	1	33′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin	2–3	Argentinos Jrs	2	30′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin	2–1	Ind. Rivadavia	3	12′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin		Rosario Central	4
17	Sarmiento Junin		River Plate	5
17	Sarmiento Junin		Boca Juniors	6
17	Sarmiento Junin		Velez Sarsfield	7
17	Sarmiento Junin	1–2	Gimnasia L.P.	8	43′ Away
17	Sarmiento Junin		Instituto	9
17	Sarmiento Junin	2–0	Estudiantes L.P.	10	18′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin		Independiente	11
17	Sarmiento Junin	2–0	Huracan	12	30′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin		Lanus	13
17	Sarmiento Junin	1–3	Union de Santa Fe	14	10′ Away
17	Sarmiento Junin		Defensa y Justicia	15
17	Sarmiento Junin		Gimnasia Mendoza	16
17 · Sarmiento Junin
17	Sarmiento Junin		Talleres Cordoba	18
17	Sarmiento Junin		San Lorenzo	19
17	Sarmiento Junin	0–0	Racing Club	20	–
17	Sarmiento Junin		Barracas Central	21
17	Sarmiento Junin	1–0	Tigre	22	10′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin		Newells Old Boys	23
17	Sarmiento Junin	2–1	Atl. Tucuman	24	19′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin	1–0	Banfield	25	45+6′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin		Platense	26
17	Sarmiento Junin		Central Cordoba	27
17	Sarmiento Junin		Dep. Riestra	28
17	Sarmiento Junin	2–0	Aldosivi	29	45′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin	1–0	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	30	11′ Home

River Plate

Away · Liga Profesional

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Belgrano		River Plate	5
2	Argentinos Jrs	1–0	River Plate	5	35′ Home
3	Ind. Rivadavia	1–1	River Plate	5	17′ Home
4	Rosario Central	0–0	River Plate	5	–
5 · River Plate
6	Boca Juniors		River Plate	5
7	Velez Sarsfield	1–0	River Plate	5	6′ Home
8	Gimnasia L.P.	1–0	River Plate	5	80′ Home
9	Instituto		River Plate	5
10	Estudiantes L.P.		River Plate	5
11	Independiente		River Plate	5
12	Huracan	1–2	River Plate	5	27′ Away
13	Lanus		River Plate	5
14	Union de Santa Fe		River Plate	5
15	Defensa y Justicia		River Plate	5
16	Gimnasia Mendoza		River Plate	5
17	Sarmiento Junin		River Plate	5
18	Talleres Cordoba		River Plate	5
19	San Lorenzo		River Plate	5
20	Racing Club	0–2	River Plate	5	33′ Away
21	Barracas Central	0–1	River Plate	5	59′ Away
22	Tigre	1–0	River Plate	5	78′ Home
23	Newells Old Boys		River Plate	5
24	Atl. Tucuman	1–2	River Plate	5	22′ Away
25	Banfield	2–3	River Plate	5	32′ Away
26	Platense		River Plate	5
27	Central Cordoba		River Plate	5
28	Dep. Riestra		River Plate	5
29	Aldosivi		River Plate	5
30	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	0–2	River Plate	5	70′ Away

Sarmiento Junin Home River Plate Away

Wins

62%

50%

Over 1.5

69%

50%

Over 2.5

38%

25%

Over 3.5

15%

8%

Both teams scored

46%

33%

Clean sheets

54%

33%

Scores first

77%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Profesional · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Sarmiento Junin

26 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away13 matches	Overall26 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.69	1.35
Draws	15.4%	0.0%	7.7%
Goals scored / match	1.38	0.92	1.15
Goals conceded / match	0.85	1.92	1.38
Total goals / match	2.23	2.85	2.54
Failed to score	7.7%	38.5%	23.1%
Under 2.5 goals	61.5%	38.5%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	10 of 10	100%
Scores first → wins	8 of 10	80%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 13/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	2
16–30	4	0
31–45	5	2
46–60	2	3
61–75	1	1
76–90	3	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

River Plate

30 matches

Goals & results	Home18 matches	Away12 matches	Overall30 matches
Points / match	1.61	1.67	1.63
Draws	11.1%	16.7%	13.3%
Goals scored / match	1.56	1.08	1.37
Goals conceded / match	1.06	0.75	0.93
Total goals / match	2.61	1.83	2.30
Failed to score	22.2%	41.7%	30.0%
Under 2.5 goals	55.6%	75.0%	63.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 6	50%
Scores first → wins	6 of 6	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 5	0%

Scoring order known: 12/12 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	2	1
31–45	4	2
46–60	1	0
61–75	2	1
76–90	4	4

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Sarmiento Junin	Draw	River Plate	How it works
Strength (Elo)	30.5%	31.2%	38.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	17.6%	19.7%	60.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.08–2.19 Model expected goals

61.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

57.0% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.8%

0-29.1%

1-19.0%

0-18.3%

1-37.2%

0-36.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Sarmiento Junin	River Plate	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1474	1575	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	30	-15	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1510	1522	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Sarmiento Junin	0.65	0.65	0.50	1.00
River Plate	0.60	0.85	0.35	0.60

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Sarmiento Junin	2%	30%	28%	22%	18%
River Plate	5%	30%	28%	18%	20%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.82 Sarmiento Junin at home, 11 matches

2.00 River Plate away, 6 matches

25d Days of rest for Sarmiento Junin

25d Days of rest for River Plate

— Manager of Sarmiento Junin

— Manager of River Plate

0 Matches for Sarmiento Junin in the last 14 days

0 Matches for River Plate in the last 14 days

17 Points for Sarmiento Junin behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

3 Points for River Plate behind the leaders, and 25 above the relegation zone

2.02 League goals per match

31.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Sarmiento Junin, the right bar represents River Plate.

On the ball

20 matches

3.7

corners

5.53

11.85

fouls

11.6

3.0

yellow cards

2.39

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Sarmiento Junin	LDWLWWWWLL	1.60	1.70–1.60	1L
River Plate	LWWWDWLLLL	1.30	1.30–1.20	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Sarmiento Junin	10	4	6	0	2
River Plate	9	5	6	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Sarmiento Junin

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

River Plate

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.