Sarmiento Junin

Sarmiento Junin

VS Scheduled Sunday 1 Nov 202600:00

Argentina 2026 Liga Profesional · Matchday 15

Rosario Central

Head-to-head overview

10 meetings

Sarmiento JuninWins: 2
Draws20.0% of meetings: 2
Rosario CentralWins: 6

Goals per match: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals: 40.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-20	2026	Rosario Central2–1Sarmiento Junin
2025-10-24	2025	Sarmiento Junin0–1Rosario Central
2025-02-23	2025	Rosario Central1–0Sarmiento Junin
2024-07-20	2024	Rosario Central4–2Sarmiento Junin
2023-03-03	2023	Sarmiento Junin4–1Rosario Central
2022-07-09	2022	Rosario Central1–0Sarmiento Junin
2021-08-06	2021	Sarmiento Junin1–0Rosario Central
2017-04-02	16/17	Sarmiento Junin2–2Rosario Central
2016-03-21	2016	Rosario Central1–0Sarmiento Junin
2015-08-02	2015	Rosario Central1–1Sarmiento Junin

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	Racing Club3–1Sarmiento Junin
2026-09-13	2026	Sarmiento Junin1–1Belgrano
2026-09-04	2026	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0–2Sarmiento Junin
2026-08-28	2026	Union de Santa Fe4–1Sarmiento Junin
2026-08-23	2026	Sarmiento Junin2–0Estudiantes L.P.
2026-08-16	2026	Sarmiento Junin2–0Huracan
2026-08-08	2026	Atl. Tucuman1–2Sarmiento Junin
2026-08-03	2026	Sarmiento Junin2–1Ind. Rivadavia

Rosario Central

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Rosario Central1–0Argentinos Jrs
2026-09-13	2026	Tigre0–1Rosario Central
2026-09-06	2026	Rosario Central1–1Newells Old Boys
2026-08-29	2026	Rosario Central1–2Gimnasia L.P.
2026-08-25	2026	Talleres Cordoba2–2Rosario Central
2026-08-17	2026	Barracas Central0–1Rosario Central
2026-08-07	2026	Rosario Central2–1Aldosivi
2026-08-02	2026	River Plate0–1Rosario Central

Sarmiento Junin Rosario Central

Wins

62%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

38%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

38%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Sarmiento Junin

Home · Liga Profesional

Home			Away		1st goal
17	Sarmiento Junin	1–1	Belgrano	1	33′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin	2–3	Argentinos Jrs	2	30′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin	2–1	Ind. Rivadavia	3	12′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin		Rosario Central	4
17	Sarmiento Junin		River Plate	5
17	Sarmiento Junin		Boca Juniors	6
17	Sarmiento Junin		Velez Sarsfield	7
17	Sarmiento Junin	1–2	Gimnasia L.P.	8	43′ Away
17	Sarmiento Junin		Instituto	9
17	Sarmiento Junin	2–0	Estudiantes L.P.	10	18′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin		Independiente	11
17	Sarmiento Junin	2–0	Huracan	12	30′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin		Lanus	13
17	Sarmiento Junin	1–3	Union de Santa Fe	14	10′ Away
17	Sarmiento Junin		Defensa y Justicia	15
17	Sarmiento Junin		Gimnasia Mendoza	16
17 · Sarmiento Junin
17	Sarmiento Junin		Talleres Cordoba	18
17	Sarmiento Junin		San Lorenzo	19
17	Sarmiento Junin	0–0	Racing Club	20	–
17	Sarmiento Junin		Barracas Central	21
17	Sarmiento Junin	1–0	Tigre	22	10′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin		Newells Old Boys	23
17	Sarmiento Junin	2–1	Atl. Tucuman	24	19′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin	1–0	Banfield	25	45+6′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin		Platense	26
17	Sarmiento Junin		Central Cordoba	27
17	Sarmiento Junin		Dep. Riestra	28
17	Sarmiento Junin	2–0	Aldosivi	29	45′ Home
17	Sarmiento Junin	1–0	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	30	11′ Home

Rosario Central

Away · Liga Profesional

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Belgrano	2–1	Rosario Central	4	36′ Home
2	Argentinos Jrs	0–0	Rosario Central	4	–
3	Ind. Rivadavia	2–0	Rosario Central	4	16′ Home
4 · Rosario Central
5	River Plate	1–0	Rosario Central	4	62′ Home
5	River Plate	0–1	Rosario Central	4	—
6	Boca Juniors		Rosario Central	4
7	Velez Sarsfield		Rosario Central	4
8	Gimnasia L.P.	1–2	Rosario Central	4	4′ Home
9	Instituto		Rosario Central	4
10	Estudiantes L.P.		Rosario Central	4
11	Independiente		Rosario Central	4
12	Huracan	3–1	Rosario Central	4	2′ Away
13	Lanus		Rosario Central	4
14	Union de Santa Fe		Rosario Central	4
15	Defensa y Justicia		Rosario Central	4
16	Gimnasia Mendoza		Rosario Central	4
17	Sarmiento Junin		Rosario Central	4
18	Talleres Cordoba	2–2	Rosario Central	4	21′ Home
19	San Lorenzo		Rosario Central	4
20	Racing Club	1–2	Rosario Central	4	24′ Away
21	Barracas Central	0–1	Rosario Central	4	39′ Away
22	Tigre	0–1	Rosario Central	4	60′ Away
23	Newells Old Boys	0–2	Rosario Central	4	51′ Away
24	Atl. Tucuman		Rosario Central	4
25	Banfield		Rosario Central	4
26	Platense		Rosario Central	4
27	Central Cordoba		Rosario Central	4
28	Dep. Riestra		Rosario Central	4
29	Aldosivi	1–1	Rosario Central	4	4′ Away
30	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	1–2	Rosario Central	4	6′ Away

Sarmiento Junin Home Rosario Central Away

Wins

62%

50%

Over 1.5

69%

64%

Over 2.5

38%

43%

Over 3.5

15%

14%

Both teams scored

46%

50%

Clean sheets

54%

36%

Scores first

77%

57%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Profesional · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Sarmiento Junin

26 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away13 matches	Overall26 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.69	1.35
Draws	15.4%	0.0%	7.7%
Goals scored / match	1.38	0.92	1.15
Goals conceded / match	0.85	1.92	1.38
Total goals / match	2.23	2.85	2.54
Failed to score	7.7%	38.5%	23.1%
Under 2.5 goals	61.5%	38.5%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	10 of 10	100%
Scores first → wins	8 of 10	80%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 13/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	2
16–30	4	0
31–45	5	2
46–60	2	3
61–75	1	1
76–90	3	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Rosario Central

29 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away14 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	1.73	1.71	1.72
Draws	33.3%	21.4%	27.6%
Goals scored / match	1.27	1.14	1.21
Goals conceded / match	0.87	1.00	0.93
Total goals / match	2.13	2.14	2.14
Failed to score	20.0%	21.4%	20.7%
Under 2.5 goals	53.3%	57.1%	55.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	5 of 8	62%
Scores first → wins	6 of 8	75%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 5	20%

Scoring order known: 14/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Sarmiento Junin	Draw	Rosario Central	How it works
Strength (Elo)	28.9%	30.6%	40.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	20.5%	20.4%	56.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.20–2.14 Model expected goals

62.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

59.8% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.7%

1-19.1%

0-28.2%

0-17.6%

1-36.9%

2-25.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Sarmiento Junin	Rosario Central	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1474	1593	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	30	13	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1510	1510	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Sarmiento Junin	0.65	0.65	0.50	1.00
Rosario Central	0.50	0.75	0.45	0.60

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Sarmiento Junin	2%	30%	28%	22%	18%
Rosario Central	10%	25%	22%	32%	10%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.82 Sarmiento Junin at home, 11 matches

1.44 Rosario Central away, 9 matches

43d Days of rest for Sarmiento Junin

42d Days of rest for Rosario Central

— Manager of Sarmiento Junin

— Manager of Rosario Central

0 Matches for Sarmiento Junin in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Rosario Central in the last 14 days

17 Points for Sarmiento Junin behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

2 Points for Rosario Central behind the leaders, and 26 above the relegation zone

2.02 League goals per match

31.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Sarmiento Junin, the right bar represents Rosario Central.

On the ball

20 matches

3.7

corners

5.29

11.85

fouls

10.84

3.0

yellow cards

3.13

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Sarmiento Junin	LDWLWWWWLL	1.60	1.70–1.60	1L
Rosario Central	WWDLDWWWDL	1.80	1.10–0.80	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Sarmiento Junin	10	4	6	0	2
Rosario Central	7	8	5	1	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Sarmiento Junin

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Rosario Central

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.