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Metz
VS Scheduled France 26/27 Ligue 2 · Matchday 11
Pau FC

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings
MetzWins
1
Draws50.0% of meetings
2
Pau FCWins
1
Goals per match
1.50
Over 2.5 goals
25.0%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-04-26 France, Ligue 2 24/25 Pau FC2–1Metz
2025-01-04 France, Ligue 2 24/25 Metz0–0Pau FC
2023-04-08 France, Ligue 2 22/23 Pau FC1–1Metz
2022-10-01 France, Ligue 2 22/23 Metz1–0Pau FC
Recent matches

Metz

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Metz2–2St Etienne
2026-09-14 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Red Star1–0Metz
2026-09-05 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Metz4–1Rodez
2026-08-29 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Annecy1–1Metz
2026-08-22 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Metz1–1Laval
2026-08-14 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Grenoble0–0Metz
2026-08-08 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Metz2–1Guingamp
2025-05-10 France, Ligue 2 24/25 Laval2–3Metz

Pau FC

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Pau FC2–0Dunkerque
2026-09-11 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Montpellier1–0Pau FC
2026-09-04 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Pau FC1–1Sochaux
2026-08-28 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Rodez2–2Pau FC
2026-08-21 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Pau FC0–1Nancy
2026-08-14 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Dijon0–1Pau FC
2026-08-08 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Pau FC0–1Annecy
2026-05-09 France, Ligue 2 25/26 Reims5–3Pau FC
Metz Pau FC

Wins

38%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
25%

Both teams scored

75%
38%

Clean sheets

12%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Metz

Home · Ligue 2
HomeAway1st goal
8 Metz 2–2 St Etienne 1 67′ Away
8 Metz Red Star 2
8 Metz Reims 3
8 Metz Sochaux 4
8 Metz Montpellier 5
8 Metz Dunkerque 6
8 Metz 2–1 Guingamp 7 51′ Away
8 · Metz
8 Metz Nancy 9
8 Metz Annecy 10
8 Metz Dijon 11
8 Metz Pau FC 12
8 Metz Grenoble 13
8 Metz 4–1 Rodez 14 8′ Home
8 Metz Nantes 15
8 Metz Clermont 16
8 Metz Boulogne 17
8 Metz 1–1 Laval 18 49′ Away

Pau FC

Away · Ligue 2
HomeAway1st goal
1 St Etienne Pau FC 12
2 Red Star Pau FC 12
3 Reims Pau FC 12
4 Sochaux Pau FC 12
5 Montpellier 1–0 Pau FC 12 72′ Home
6 Dunkerque Pau FC 12
7 Guingamp Pau FC 12
8 Metz Pau FC 12
9 Nancy Pau FC 12
10 Annecy Pau FC 12
11 Dijon 0–1 Pau FC 12 61′ Away
12 · Pau FC
13 Grenoble Pau FC 12
14 Rodez 2–2 Pau FC 12 2′ Away
15 Nantes Pau FC 12
16 Clermont Pau FC 12
17 Boulogne Pau FC 12
18 Laval Pau FC 12
Metz Home Pau FC Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 2 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Metz

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match2.000.671.43
Draws50.0%66.7%57.1%
Goals scored / match2.250.331.43
Goals conceded / match1.250.671.00
Total goals / match3.501.002.43
Failed to score0.0%66.7%28.6%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%100.0%57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 3 33%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3000
31–4521
46–6032
61–7502
76–9030

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Pau FC

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match1.001.331.14
Draws25.0%33.3%28.6%
Goals scored / match0.751.000.86
Goals conceded / match0.751.000.86
Total goals / match1.502.001.71
Failed to score50.0%33.3%42.9%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%66.7%85.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3001
31–4510
46–6000
61–7511
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelMetzDraw Pau FCHow it works
Strength (Elo) 56.9% 21.2% 21.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 60.6% 16.7% 16.7% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.71–1.34 Model expected goals
71.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
64.5% Both teams to score
2-1 Most likely score, at 8.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-18.6%
3-17.7%
2-06.4%
1-16.3%
2-25.8%
3-05.8%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureMetzPau FC How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1583 1461 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -72 -22 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1496 1503 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 52.9% 49.6% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 53.8% 42.2% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1145 955 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 41.8% 35.5% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 72.6% 60.0% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Metz 0.851.30 0.251.05
Pau FC 0.600.60 0.701.05

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Metz 10%15%20%20%35%
Pau FC 2%22%15%25%35%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.90 Metz at home, 10 matches
1.30 Pau FC away, 10 matches
41d Days of rest for Metz
42d Days of rest for Pau FC
— Manager of Metz
— Manager of Pau FC
0 Matches for Metz in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Pau FC in the last 14 days
6 Points for Metz behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
8 Points for Pau FC behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
2.55 League goals per match
28.9% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Metz, the right bar represents Pau FC.

On the ball

20 matches
14.06
shots
11.11
5.44
shots on target
3.44
38.7%
accuracy
31.0%
5.0
corners
3.95
11.7
fouls
12.25
1.89
yellow cards
1.95

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Metz DLWDDDWWDL 1.40 1.70–1.40 1D
Pau FC WLDDLWLLLL 0.80 1.10–1.90 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Metz9 101 11
Pau FC6 95 14
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Metz

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Pau FC

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.