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Montpellier
VS Scheduled France 26/27 Ligue 2 · Matchday 12
Metz
Recent matches

Montpellier

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Reims1–1Montpellier
2026-09-11 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Montpellier1–0Pau FC
2026-09-05 France, Ligue 2 26/27 St Etienne3–1Montpellier
2026-08-28 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Montpellier0–0Boulogne
2026-08-21 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Dunkerque0–1Montpellier
2026-08-14 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Nancy0–1Montpellier
2026-08-08 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Montpellier1–1Dijon
2026-05-09 France, Ligue 2 25/26 Red Star1–1Montpellier

Metz

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Metz2–2St Etienne
2026-09-14 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Red Star1–0Metz
2026-09-05 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Metz4–1Rodez
2026-08-29 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Annecy1–1Metz
2026-08-22 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Metz1–1Laval
2026-08-14 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Grenoble0–0Metz
2026-08-08 France, Ligue 2 26/27 Metz2–1Guingamp
2025-05-10 France, Ligue 2 24/25 Laval2–3Metz
Montpellier Metz

Wins

38%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

12%
50%

Both teams scored

50%
75%

Clean sheets

50%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Montpellier

Home · Ligue 2

Metz

Away · Ligue 2
HomeAway1st goal
1 St Etienne Metz 8
2 Red Star 1–0 Metz 8 58′ Home
3 Reims Metz 8
4 Sochaux Metz 8
5 Montpellier Metz 8
6 Dunkerque Metz 8
7 Guingamp Metz 8
8 · Metz
9 Nancy Metz 8
10 Annecy 1–1 Metz 8 24′ Away
11 Dijon Metz 8
12 Pau FC Metz 8
13 Grenoble 0–0 Metz 8 –
14 Rodez Metz 8
15 Nantes Metz 8
16 Clermont Metz 8
17 Boulogne Metz 8
18 Laval Metz 8
Montpellier Home Metz Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 2 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Montpellier

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway4 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match1.671.751.71
Draws66.7%25.0%42.9%
Goals scored / match0.671.000.86
Goals conceded / match0.331.000.71
Total goals / match1.002.001.57
Failed to score33.3%0.0%14.3%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%75.0%85.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 2 0%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3000
31–4500
46–6000
61–7510
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Metz

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match2.000.671.43
Draws50.0%66.7%57.1%
Goals scored / match2.250.331.43
Goals conceded / match1.250.671.00
Total goals / match3.501.002.43
Failed to score0.0%66.7%28.6%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%100.0%57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3010
31–4501
46–6001
61–7500
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelMontpellierDraw MetzHow it works
Strength (Elo) 36.1% 27.9% 36.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 29.0% 26.8% 43.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.08–1.39 Model expected goals
44.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
49.3% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 12.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-112.7%
0-111.8%
1-09.1%
1-28.8%
0-08.5%
0-28.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureMontpellierMetz How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1540 1583 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -2 -72 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1497 1496 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 45.6% 52.9% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 50.3% 53.8% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1089 1145 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 27.3% 41.8% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 81.6% 72.6% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Montpellier 0.450.70 0.350.40
Metz 0.851.30 0.251.05

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Montpellier 10%30%32%10%18%
Metz 10%15%20%20%35%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.78 Montpellier at home, 9 matches
1.80 Metz away, 10 matches
50d Days of rest for Montpellier
49d Days of rest for Metz
— Manager of Montpellier
— Manager of Metz
0 Matches for Montpellier in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Metz in the last 14 days
4 Points for Montpellier behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
6 Points for Metz behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
2.55 League goals per match
28.9% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Montpellier, the right bar represents Metz.

On the ball

20 matches
11.06
shots
14.06
4.28
shots on target
5.44
38.7%
accuracy
38.7%
5.3
corners
5.0
17.1
fouls
11.7
1.5
yellow cards
1.89

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Montpellier DWLDWWDDLW 1.60 1.00–0.80 1D
Metz DLWDDDWWDL 1.40 1.70–1.40 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Montpellier4 142 01
Metz9 101 11
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Montpellier

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Metz

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.