Pau FC

Pau FC

VS Scheduled Saturday 7 Nov 202619:00

France 26/27 Ligue 2 · Matchday 12

Nantes

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Pau FC2–0Dunkerque
2026-09-11	26/27	Montpellier1–0Pau FC
2026-09-04	26/27	Pau FC1–1Sochaux
2026-08-28	26/27	Rodez2–2Pau FC
2026-08-21	26/27	Pau FC0–1Nancy
2026-08-14	26/27	Dijon0–1Pau FC
2026-08-08	26/27	Pau FC0–1Annecy
2026-05-09	25/26	Reims5–3Pau FC

Nantes

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Boulogne1–2Nantes
2026-09-13	26/27	Sochaux1–0Nantes
2026-09-12	26/27	Sochaux1–0Nantes
2026-09-07	26/27	Nantes1–0Nancy
2026-08-29	26/27	Guingamp3–3Nantes
2026-08-22	26/27	Nantes2–5Rodez
2026-08-14	26/27	Laval2–1Nantes
2026-08-08	26/27	Nantes0–1Red Star

Pau FC Nantes

Wins

25%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

50%

Both teams scored

38%

50%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Pau FC

Home · Ligue 2

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Pau FC		St Etienne	1
12	Pau FC		Red Star	2
12	Pau FC		Reims	3
12	Pau FC	1–1	Sochaux	4	29′ Home
12	Pau FC		Montpellier	5
12	Pau FC	2–0	Dunkerque	6	49′ Home
12	Pau FC		Guingamp	7
12	Pau FC		Metz	8
12	Pau FC	0–1	Nancy	9	87′ Away
12	Pau FC	0–1	Annecy	10	11′ Away
12	Pau FC		Dijon	11
12 · Pau FC
12	Pau FC		Grenoble	13
12	Pau FC		Rodez	14
12	Pau FC		Nantes	15
12	Pau FC		Clermont	16
12	Pau FC		Boulogne	17
12	Pau FC		Laval	18

Nantes

Away · Ligue 2

Home			Away		1st goal
1	St Etienne		Nantes	15
2	Red Star		Nantes	15
3	Reims		Nantes	15
4	Sochaux	1–0	Nantes	15	61′ Home
4	Sochaux	1–0	Nantes	15	—
5	Montpellier		Nantes	15
6	Dunkerque		Nantes	15
7	Guingamp	3–3	Nantes	15	9′ Home
8	Metz		Nantes	15
9	Nancy		Nantes	15
10	Annecy		Nantes	15
11	Dijon		Nantes	15
12	Pau FC		Nantes	15
13	Grenoble		Nantes	15
14	Rodez		Nantes	15
15 · Nantes
16	Clermont		Nantes	15
17	Boulogne	1–2	Nantes	15	49′ Away
18	Laval	2–1	Nantes	15	17′ Home

Pau FC Home Nantes Away

Wins

25%

20%

Over 1.5

50%

60%

Over 2.5

0%

60%

Over 3.5

0%

20%

Both teams scored

25%

60%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Scores first

50%

20%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 2 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Pau FC

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.33	1.14
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	0.75	1.00	0.86
Goals conceded / match	0.75	1.00	0.86
Total goals / match	1.50	2.00	1.71
Failed to score	50.0%	33.3%	42.9%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	66.7%	85.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Nantes

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.80	0.88
Draws	0.0%	20.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.20	1.12
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.60	1.75
Total goals / match	3.00	2.80	2.88
Failed to score	33.3%	40.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	40.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Pau FC	Draw	Nantes	How it works
Strength (Elo)	40.0%	27.5%	32.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	34.1%	23.3%	41.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.51–1.69 Model expected goals

60.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

62.6% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 10.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-110.4%

1-28.8%

2-17.9%

0-16.9%

2-26.6%

1-06.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Pau FC	Nantes	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1461	1469	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-22	-21	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1503	1487	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	49.6%	56.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	42.2%	48.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	955	818	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	35.5%	36.8%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	60.0%	45.0%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Pau FC	0.60	0.60	0.70	1.05
Nantes	0.57	0.71	0.57	1.29

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Pau FC	2%	22%	15%	25%	35%
Nantes	0%	50%	0%	25%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.90 Pau FC at home, 10 matches

0.80 Nantes away, 5 matches

50d Days of rest for Pau FC

49d Days of rest for Nantes

— Manager of Pau FC

Grégory Poirier Manager of Nantes, since 25/08/26

0 Matches for Pau FC in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Nantes in the last 14 days

8 Points for Pau FC behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

9 Points for Nantes behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.55 League goals per match

28.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Pau FC, the right bar represents Nantes.

On the ball

20 matches

11.11

shots

15.0

3.44

shots on target

3.8

31.0%

accuracy

25.3%

3.95

corners

4.71

12.25

fouls

15.86

1.95

yellow cards

1.57

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Pau FC	WLDDLWLLLL	0.80	1.10–1.90	1W
Nantes	WLLWDLLL	0.88	1.12–1.75	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Pau FC	6	9	5	1	4
Nantes	1	5	1	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Pau FC

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Nantes

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.