Red Star

Red Star

VS Scheduled Friday 20 Nov 202619:00

France 26/27 Ligue 2 · Matchday 13

Pau FC

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings

Red StarWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
Pau FCWins: 3

Goals per match: 3.75
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-02-06	25/26	Red Star0–3Pau FC
2025-09-12	25/26	Pau FC0–3Red Star
2025-01-17	24/25	Red Star1–3Pau FC
2024-11-22	24/25	Pau FC4–1Red Star

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Guingamp1–3Red Star
2026-09-14	26/27	Red Star1–0Metz
2026-09-04	26/27	Laval1–2Red Star
2026-08-29	26/27	Red Star1–4Reims
2026-08-21	26/27	Boulogne1–1Red Star
2026-08-14	26/27	Red Star0–0Sochaux
2026-08-08	26/27	Nantes0–1Red Star
2026-05-09	25/26	Red Star1–1Montpellier

Pau FC

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Pau FC2–0Dunkerque
2026-09-11	26/27	Montpellier1–0Pau FC
2026-09-04	26/27	Pau FC1–1Sochaux
2026-08-28	26/27	Rodez2–2Pau FC
2026-08-21	26/27	Pau FC0–1Nancy
2026-08-14	26/27	Dijon0–1Pau FC
2026-08-08	26/27	Pau FC0–1Annecy
2026-05-09	25/26	Reims5–3Pau FC

Red Star Pau FC

Wins

50%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

25%

Both teams scored

62%

38%

Clean sheets

38%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Red Star

Home · Ligue 2

Home			Away		1st goal
2	Red Star		St Etienne	1
2 · Red Star
2	Red Star	1–4	Reims	3	10′ Home
2	Red Star	0–0	Sochaux	4	–
2	Red Star		Montpellier	5
2	Red Star		Dunkerque	6
2	Red Star		Guingamp	7
2	Red Star	1–0	Metz	8	58′ Home
2	Red Star		Nancy	9
2	Red Star		Annecy	10
2	Red Star		Dijon	11
2	Red Star		Pau FC	12
2	Red Star		Grenoble	13
2	Red Star		Rodez	14
2	Red Star		Nantes	15
2	Red Star		Clermont	16
2	Red Star		Boulogne	17
2	Red Star		Laval	18

Pau FC

Away · Ligue 2

Home			Away		1st goal
1	St Etienne		Pau FC	12
2	Red Star		Pau FC	12
3	Reims		Pau FC	12
4	Sochaux		Pau FC	12
5	Montpellier	1–0	Pau FC	12	72′ Home
6	Dunkerque		Pau FC	12
7	Guingamp		Pau FC	12
8	Metz		Pau FC	12
9	Nancy		Pau FC	12
10	Annecy		Pau FC	12
11	Dijon	0–1	Pau FC	12	61′ Away
12 · Pau FC
13	Grenoble		Pau FC	12
14	Rodez	2–2	Pau FC	12	2′ Away
15	Nantes		Pau FC	12
16	Clermont		Pau FC	12
17	Boulogne		Pau FC	12
18	Laval		Pau FC	12

Red Star Home Pau FC Away

Wins

33%

Over 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

33%

Both teams scored

33%

Clean sheets

67%

33%

Scores first

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 2 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Red Star

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.33	2.50	2.00
Draws	33.3%	25.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	0.67	1.75	1.29
Goals conceded / match	1.33	0.75	1.00
Total goals / match	2.00	2.50	2.29
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	50.0%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 2	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	1	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Pau FC

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.33	1.14
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	0.75	1.00	0.86
Goals conceded / match	0.75	1.00	0.86
Total goals / match	1.50	2.00	1.71
Failed to score	50.0%	33.3%	42.9%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	66.7%	85.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Red Star	Draw	Pau FC	How it works
Strength (Elo)	51.5%	23.7%	24.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	46.3%	23.8%	28.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.70–1.29 Model expected goals

56.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

58.6% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.0%

2-19.4%

1-08.5%

2-07.2%

1-27.1%

0-16.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Red Star	Pau FC	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1545	1461	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	36	-22	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1494	1503	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	57.1%	49.6%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	49.7%	42.2%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	991	955	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	30.3%	35.5%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	68.8%	60.0%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Red Star	0.70	0.65	0.40	0.85
Pau FC	0.60	0.60	0.70	1.05

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Red Star	12%	22%	15%	22%	28%
Pau FC	2%	22%	15%	25%	35%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.73 Red Star at home, 11 matches

1.30 Pau FC away, 10 matches

62d Days of rest for Red Star

63d Days of rest for Pau FC

— Manager of Red Star

— Manager of Pau FC

0 Matches for Red Star in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Pau FC in the last 14 days

2 Points for Red Star behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

8 Points for Pau FC behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

2.55 League goals per match

28.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Red Star, the right bar represents Pau FC.

On the ball

20 matches

13.22

shots

11.11

4.22

shots on target

3.44

31.9%

accuracy

31.0%

6.0

corners

3.95

14.2

fouls

12.25

2.26

yellow cards

1.95

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Red Star	WWWLDDWDWW	2.10	1.60–1.10	3W
Pau FC	WLDDLWLLLL	0.80	1.10–1.90	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Red Star	8	9	3	1	2
Pau FC	6	9	5	1	4

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Red Star

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Pau FC

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.