Dijon

Dijon

VS Scheduled Saturday 2 Jan 202700:00

France 26/27 Ligue 2 · Matchday 16

Nantes

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Annecy1–2Dijon
2026-09-11	26/27	Dijon3–2Laval
2026-09-04	26/27	Boulogne1–1Dijon
2026-08-31	26/27	Dijon2–3St Etienne
2026-08-21	26/27	Clermont1–1Dijon
2026-08-14	26/27	Dijon0–1Pau FC
2026-08-08	26/27	Montpellier1–1Dijon
2023-06-02	22/23	Le Havre1–0Dijon

Nantes

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Boulogne1–2Nantes
2026-09-13	26/27	Sochaux1–0Nantes
2026-09-12	26/27	Sochaux1–0Nantes
2026-09-07	26/27	Nantes1–0Nancy
2026-08-29	26/27	Guingamp3–3Nantes
2026-08-22	26/27	Nantes2–5Rodez
2026-08-14	26/27	Laval2–1Nantes
2026-08-08	26/27	Nantes0–1Red Star

Dijon Nantes

Wins

25%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

50%

Both teams scored

75%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Dijon

Home · Ligue 2

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Dijon	2–3	St Etienne	1	21′ Away
11	Dijon		Red Star	2
11	Dijon		Reims	3
11	Dijon		Sochaux	4
11	Dijon		Montpellier	5
11	Dijon		Dunkerque	6
11	Dijon		Guingamp	7
11	Dijon		Metz	8
11	Dijon		Nancy	9
11	Dijon		Annecy	10
11 · Dijon
11	Dijon	0–1	Pau FC	12	61′ Away
11	Dijon		Grenoble	13
11	Dijon		Rodez	14
11	Dijon		Nantes	15
11	Dijon		Clermont	16
11	Dijon		Boulogne	17
11	Dijon	3–2	Laval	18	3′ Home

Nantes

Away · Ligue 2

Home			Away		1st goal
1	St Etienne		Nantes	15
2	Red Star		Nantes	15
3	Reims		Nantes	15
4	Sochaux	1–0	Nantes	15	61′ Home
4	Sochaux	1–0	Nantes	15	—
5	Montpellier		Nantes	15
6	Dunkerque		Nantes	15
7	Guingamp	3–3	Nantes	15	9′ Home
8	Metz		Nantes	15
9	Nancy		Nantes	15
10	Annecy		Nantes	15
11	Dijon		Nantes	15
12	Pau FC		Nantes	15
13	Grenoble		Nantes	15
14	Rodez		Nantes	15
15 · Nantes
16	Clermont		Nantes	15
17	Boulogne	1–2	Nantes	15	49′ Away
18	Laval	2–1	Nantes	15	17′ Home

Dijon Home Nantes Away

Wins

33%

20%

Over 1.5

67%

60%

Over 2.5

67%

60%

Over 3.5

67%

20%

Both teams scored

67%

60%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

33%

20%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 2 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Dijon

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.50	1.29
Draws	0.0%	75.0%	42.9%
Goals scored / match	1.67	1.25	1.43
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.00	1.43
Total goals / match	3.67	2.25	2.86
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	75.0%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	2	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	3
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Nantes

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.80	0.88
Draws	0.0%	20.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.20	1.12
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.60	1.75
Total goals / match	3.00	2.80	2.88
Failed to score	33.3%	40.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	40.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Dijon	Draw	Nantes	How it works
Strength (Elo)	43.9%	26.5%	29.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	48.6%	25.2%	25.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.57–1.06 Model expected goals

48.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

51.4% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.0%

1-011.3%

2-19.4%

2-08.9%

0-17.6%

0-07.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Dijon	Nantes	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1493	1469	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	29	-21	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1496	1487	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	54.2%	56.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	56.5%	48.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	946	818	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	23.0%	36.8%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	71.6%	45.0%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Dijon	0.45	0.80	0.45	0.65
Nantes	0.57	0.71	0.57	1.29

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Dijon	10%	20%	30%	28%	12%
Nantes	0%	50%	0%	25%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.56 Dijon at home, 9 matches

0.80 Nantes away, 5 matches

106d Days of rest for Dijon

105d Days of rest for Nantes

— Manager of Dijon

Grégory Poirier Manager of Nantes, since 25/08/26

0 Matches for Dijon in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Nantes in the last 14 days

7 Points for Dijon behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

9 Points for Nantes behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.55 League goals per match

28.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Dijon, the right bar represents Nantes.

On the ball

20 matches

11.89

shots

15.0

4.83

shots on target

3.8

40.7%

accuracy

25.3%

5.0

corners

4.71

13.05

fouls

15.86

1.65

yellow cards

1.57

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Dijon	WWDLDLDLDW	1.30	1.30–1.30	2W
Nantes	WLLWDLLL	0.88	1.12–1.75	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Dijon	5	8	7	2	1
Nantes	1	5	1	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Dijon

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Nantes

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.