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Castellon
VS Scheduled Spain 26/27 LaLiga 2 · Matchday 8
Ceuta

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings
CastellonWins
0
Draws100.0% of meetings
2
CeutaWins
0
Goals per match
4.00
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-05-09 Spain, LaLiga 2 25/26 Ceuta1–1Castellon
2025-09-14 Spain, LaLiga 2 25/26 Castellon3–3Ceuta
Recent matches

Castellon

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-28 Spain, LaLiga 2 26/27 Leganes0–2Castellon
2026-09-19 Spain, LaLiga 2 26/27 Castellon5–0Tenerife
2026-09-12 Spain, LaLiga 2 26/27 Girona1–2Castellon
2026-09-06 Spain, LaLiga 2 26/27 Castellon2–0Albacete
2026-08-31 Spain, LaLiga 2 26/27 Celta B1–2Castellon
2026-08-23 Spain, LaLiga 2 26/27 Castellon0–0Sabadell
2026-08-14 Spain, LaLiga 2 26/27 Sociedad B0–1Castellon
2026-05-31 Spain, LaLiga 2 25/26 Castellon2–1Eibar

Ceuta

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Spain, LaLiga 2 26/27 Ceuta3–1Sociedad B
2026-09-20 Spain, LaLiga 2 26/27 Ceuta1–1Valladolid
2026-09-11 Spain, LaLiga 2 26/27 Burgos3–1Ceuta
2026-09-05 Spain, LaLiga 2 26/27 Ceuta0–2Celta B
2026-08-30 Spain, LaLiga 2 26/27 Mallorca3–0Ceuta
2026-08-22 Spain, LaLiga 2 26/27 Ceuta0–2Las Palmas
2026-08-15 Spain, LaLiga 2 26/27 Andorra5–1Ceuta
2026-05-30 Spain, LaLiga 2 25/26 Ceuta1–0Albacete
Castellon Ceuta

Wins

88%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
50%

Both teams scored

38%
50%

Clean sheets

62%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Castellon

Home · LaLiga 2

Ceuta

Away · LaLiga 2
HomeAway1st goal
1 Castellon Ceuta 21
2 Eibar Ceuta 21
3 Almeria Ceuta 21
4 Burgos 3–1 Ceuta 21 —
5 Girona Ceuta 21
6 Mallorca 3–0 Ceuta 21 20′ Home
7 Sabadell Ceuta 21
8 Oviedo Ceuta 21
9 Tenerife Ceuta 21
10 Leganes Ceuta 21
11 Las Palmas Ceuta 21
12 Sp Gijon Ceuta 21
13 Granada Ceuta 21
14 Sociedad B Ceuta 21
15 Celta B Ceuta 21
16 Valladolid Ceuta 21
17 Andorra 5–1 Ceuta 21 33′ Home
18 Cordoba Ceuta 21
19 Eldense Ceuta 21
20 Cadiz Ceuta 21
21 · Ceuta
22 Albacete Ceuta 21
Castellon Home Ceuta Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

LaLiga 2 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Castellon

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway4 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match2.333.002.71
Draws33.3%0.0%14.3%
Goals scored / match2.331.752.00
Goals conceded / match0.000.500.29
Total goals / match2.332.252.29
Failed to score33.3%0.0%14.3%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%50.0%57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3020
31–4500
46–6010
61–7520
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ceuta

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match1.000.000.57
Draws25.0%0.0%14.3%
Goals scored / match1.000.670.86
Goals conceded / match1.503.672.43
Total goals / match2.504.333.29
Failed to score50.0%33.3%42.9%
Under 2.5 goals75.0%0.0%42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelCastellonDraw CeutaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 66.9% 16.2% 17.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 64.6% 18.5% 14.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.27–0.94 Model expected goals
59.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
52.8% Both teams to score
2-0 Most likely score, at 10.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-010.4%
2-19.8%
1-09.2%
1-18.6%
3-07.9%
3-17.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureCastellonCeuta How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1626 1456 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 45 -44 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1505 1527 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 63.1% 42.7% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 59.1% 38.9% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 995 922 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 27.8% 28.6% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 71.6% 63.6% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Castellon 0.801.00 0.300.70
Ceuta 0.500.55 0.651.20

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Castellon 10%12%30%12%35%
Ceuta 5%10%28%28%30%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.10 Castellon at home, 10 matches
0.89 Ceuta away, 9 matches
6d Days of rest for Castellon
8d Days of rest for Ceuta
— Manager of Castellon
— Manager of Ceuta
1 Matches for Castellon in the last 14 days
2 Matches for Ceuta in the last 14 days
0 Points for Castellon behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone
15 Points for Ceuta behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
2.59 League goals per match
25.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Castellon, the right bar represents Ceuta.

On the ball

20 matches
16.18
shots
10.47
5.71
shots on target
3.29
35.3%
accuracy
31.5%
6.47
corners
4.05
13.75
fouls
13.85
2.42
yellow cards
2.6

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Castellon WWWWWDWWWD 2.60 1.80–0.40 5W
Ceuta WDLLLLLWWL 1.00 1.00–2.10 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Castellon8 111 11
Ceuta5 96 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Castellon

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ceuta

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.