Ceuta

Ceuta

VS Scheduled Sunday 18 Oct 202613:00

Spain 26/27 LaLiga 2 · Matchday 10

Oviedo

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Ceuta3–1Sociedad B
2026-09-20	26/27	Ceuta1–1Valladolid
2026-09-11	26/27	Burgos3–1Ceuta
2026-09-05	26/27	Ceuta0–2Celta B
2026-08-30	26/27	Mallorca3–0Ceuta
2026-08-22	26/27	Ceuta0–2Las Palmas
2026-08-15	26/27	Andorra5–1Ceuta
2026-05-30	25/26	Ceuta1–0Albacete

Oviedo

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Oviedo2–0Sp Gijon
2026-09-20	26/27	Sabadell3–1Oviedo
2026-09-13	26/27	Valladolid0–3Oviedo
2026-09-06	26/27	Oviedo0–0Burgos
2026-08-29	26/27	Albacete0–1Oviedo
2026-08-22	26/27	Oviedo0–1Leganes
2026-08-15	26/27	Oviedo0–0Granada
2025-06-01	24/25	Oviedo2–1Cadiz

Ceuta Oviedo

Wins

25%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

38%

Both teams scored

50%

25%

Clean sheets

12%

62%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ceuta

Home · LaLiga 2

Home			Away		1st goal
21	Ceuta		Castellon	1
21	Ceuta		Eibar	2
21	Ceuta		Almeria	3
21	Ceuta		Burgos	4
21	Ceuta		Girona	5
21	Ceuta		Mallorca	6
21	Ceuta		Sabadell	7
21	Ceuta		Oviedo	8
21	Ceuta		Tenerife	9
21	Ceuta		Leganes	10
21	Ceuta	0–2	Las Palmas	11	29′ Away
21	Ceuta		Sp Gijon	12
21	Ceuta		Granada	13
21	Ceuta	3–1	Sociedad B	14	48′ Away
21	Ceuta	0–2	Celta B	15	43′ Away
21	Ceuta	1–1	Valladolid	16	53′ Away
21	Ceuta		Andorra	17
21	Ceuta		Cordoba	18
21	Ceuta		Eldense	19
21	Ceuta		Cadiz	20
21 · Ceuta
21	Ceuta		Albacete	22

Oviedo

Away · LaLiga 2

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Castellon		Oviedo	8
2	Eibar		Oviedo	8
3	Almeria		Oviedo	8
4	Burgos		Oviedo	8
5	Girona		Oviedo	8
6	Mallorca		Oviedo	8
7	Sabadell	3–1	Oviedo	8	23′ Home
8 · Oviedo
9	Tenerife		Oviedo	8
10	Leganes		Oviedo	8
11	Las Palmas		Oviedo	8
12	Sp Gijon		Oviedo	8
13	Granada		Oviedo	8
14	Sociedad B		Oviedo	8
15	Celta B		Oviedo	8
16	Valladolid	0–3	Oviedo	8	25′ Away
17	Andorra		Oviedo	8
18	Cordoba		Oviedo	8
19	Eldense		Oviedo	8
20	Cadiz		Oviedo	8
21	Ceuta		Oviedo	8
22	Albacete	0–1	Oviedo	8	42′ Away

Ceuta Home Oviedo Away

Wins

25%

67%

Over 1.5

100%

67%

Over 2.5

25%

67%

Over 3.5

25%

33%

Both teams scored

50%

33%

Clean sheets

0%

67%

Scores first

0%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

LaLiga 2 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ceuta

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.00	0.57
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.67	0.86
Goals conceded / match	1.50	3.67	2.43
Total goals / match	2.50	4.33	3.29
Failed to score	50.0%	33.3%	42.9%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	0.0%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	1 of 4	25%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	2
61–75	1	1
76–90	3	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Oviedo

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.25	2.00	1.57
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	0.50	1.67	1.00
Goals conceded / match	0.25	1.00	0.57
Total goals / match	0.75	2.67	1.57
Failed to score	75.0%	0.0%	42.9%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	33.3%	71.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	1
31–45	1	1
46–60	2	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ceuta	Draw	Oviedo	How it works
Strength (Elo)	32.1%	28.1%	39.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	11.3%	21.6%	66.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.59–1.82 Model expected goals

42.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

36.7% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 16.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-116.4%

0-214.9%

1-19.6%

0-09.0%

0-39.0%

1-28.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ceuta	Oviedo	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1456	1562	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-44	-20	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1527	1513	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	42.7%	52.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	38.9%	53.2%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	922	1099	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	28.6%	27.6%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	63.6%	82.4%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ceuta	0.50	0.55	0.65	1.20
Oviedo	0.40	0.70	0.30	0.30

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ceuta	5%	10%	28%	28%	30%
Oviedo	12%	25%	20%	20%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.18 Ceuta at home, 11 matches

1.50 Oviedo away, 10 matches

22d Days of rest for Ceuta

21d Days of rest for Oviedo

— Manager of Ceuta

— Manager of Oviedo

0 Matches for Ceuta in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Oviedo in the last 14 days

15 Points for Ceuta behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

8 Points for Oviedo behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

2.59 League goals per match

25.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ceuta, the right bar represents Oviedo.

On the ball

20 matches

10.47

shots

11.71

3.29

shots on target

3.41

31.5%

accuracy

29.1%

4.05

corners

4.2

13.85

fouls

12.85

2.6

yellow cards

2.2

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ceuta	WDLLLLLWWL	1.00	1.00–2.10	1W
Oviedo	WLWDWLDWWW	2.00	1.10–0.50	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ceuta	5	9	6	0	1
Oviedo	7	9	4	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ceuta

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Oviedo

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.