Las Palmas

Las Palmas

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202620:00

Spain 26/27 LaLiga 2 · Matchday 10

Castellon

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings

Las PalmasWins: 1
Draws25.0% of meetings: 1
CastellonWins: 2

Goals per match: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-02-21	25/26	Las Palmas1–1Castellon
2025-11-30	25/26	Castellon1–0Las Palmas
2021-02-27	20/21	Castellon4–0Las Palmas
2020-10-21	20/21	Las Palmas2–1Castellon

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Eibar3–2Las Palmas
2026-09-20	26/27	Las Palmas1–2Burgos
2026-09-12	26/27	Cadiz0–1Las Palmas
2026-09-04	26/27	Las Palmas0–0Leganes
2026-08-29	26/27	Girona5–2Las Palmas
2026-08-22	26/27	Ceuta0–2Las Palmas
2026-08-16	26/27	Las Palmas2–1Albacete
2026-05-31	25/26	La Coruna1–2Las Palmas

Castellon

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-28	26/27	Leganes0–2Castellon
2026-09-19	26/27	Castellon5–0Tenerife
2026-09-12	26/27	Girona1–2Castellon
2026-09-06	26/27	Castellon2–0Albacete
2026-08-31	26/27	Celta B1–2Castellon
2026-08-23	26/27	Castellon0–0Sabadell
2026-08-14	26/27	Sociedad B0–1Castellon
2026-05-31	25/26	Castellon2–1Eibar

Las Palmas Castellon

Wins

50%

88%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

50%

Both teams scored

62%

38%

Clean sheets

38%

62%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Las Palmas

Home · LaLiga 2

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Las Palmas		Castellon	1
11	Las Palmas		Eibar	2
11	Las Palmas		Almeria	3
11	Las Palmas	1–2	Burgos	4	37′ Home
11	Las Palmas		Girona	5
11	Las Palmas		Mallorca	6
11	Las Palmas		Sabadell	7
11	Las Palmas		Oviedo	8
11	Las Palmas		Tenerife	9
11	Las Palmas	0–0	Leganes	10	–
11 · Las Palmas
11	Las Palmas		Sp Gijon	12
11	Las Palmas		Granada	13
11	Las Palmas		Sociedad B	14
11	Las Palmas		Celta B	15
11	Las Palmas		Valladolid	16
11	Las Palmas		Andorra	17
11	Las Palmas		Cordoba	18
11	Las Palmas		Eldense	19
11	Las Palmas		Cadiz	20
11	Las Palmas		Ceuta	21
11	Las Palmas	2–1	Albacete	22	21′ Home

Castellon

Away · LaLiga 2

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Castellon
2	Eibar		Castellon	1
3	Almeria		Castellon	1
4	Burgos		Castellon	1
5	Girona	1–2	Castellon	1	7′ Home
6	Mallorca		Castellon	1
7	Sabadell		Castellon	1
8	Oviedo		Castellon	1
9	Tenerife		Castellon	1
10	Leganes	0–2	Castellon	1	24′ Away
11	Las Palmas		Castellon	1
12	Sp Gijon		Castellon	1
13	Granada		Castellon	1
14	Sociedad B	0–1	Castellon	1	7′ Away
15	Celta B	1–2	Castellon	1	9′ Away
16	Valladolid		Castellon	1
17	Andorra		Castellon	1
18	Cordoba		Castellon	1
19	Eldense		Castellon	1
20	Cadiz		Castellon	1
21	Ceuta		Castellon	1
22	Albacete		Castellon	1

Las Palmas Home Castellon Away

Wins

33%

100%

Over 1.5

67%

75%

Over 2.5

67%

50%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

67%

50%

Clean sheets

33%

50%

Scores first

67%

75%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

LaLiga 2 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Las Palmas

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.33	1.50	1.43
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.75	1.43
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.00	1.57
Total goals / match	2.00	3.75	3.00
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	50.0%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Castellon

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	2.33	3.00	2.71
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	2.33	1.75	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.00	0.50	0.29
Total goals / match	2.33	2.25	2.29
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	50.0%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 3	100%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Las Palmas	Draw	Castellon	How it works
Strength (Elo)	35.9%	28.5%	35.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	14.4%	18.2%	64.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.99–2.33 Model expected goals

61.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

54.6% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 9.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-29.8%

1-29.7%

0-18.4%

1-18.3%

0-37.6%

1-37.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Las Palmas	Castellon	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1559	1626	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-18	45	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1515	1505	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	47.4%	63.1%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	49.6%	59.1%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1019	995	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	36.2%	27.8%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	65.7%	71.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Las Palmas	0.70	0.75	0.50	0.95
Castellon	0.80	1.00	0.30	0.70

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Las Palmas	10%	10%	28%	30%	22%
Castellon	10%	12%	30%	12%	35%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.22 Las Palmas at home, 9 matches

2.10 Castellon away, 10 matches

20d Days of rest for Las Palmas

19d Days of rest for Castellon

— Manager of Las Palmas

— Manager of Castellon

0 Matches for Las Palmas in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Castellon in the last 14 days

9 Points for Las Palmas behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Castellon behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

2.59 League goals per match

25.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Las Palmas, the right bar represents Castellon.

On the ball

20 matches

11.06

shots

16.18

4.06

shots on target

5.71

36.7%

accuracy

35.3%

4.65

corners

6.47

10.5

fouls

13.75

1.22

yellow cards

2.42

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Las Palmas	LLWDLWWWDW	1.70	1.50–1.40	2L
Castellon	WWWWWDWWWD	2.60	1.80–0.40	5W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Las Palmas	9	7	4	1	3
Castellon	8	11	1	1	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Las Palmas

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Castellon

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.