Burgos

Burgos

VS Scheduled Sunday 18 Oct 202620:00

Spain 26/27 LaLiga 2 · Matchday 10

Sabadell

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Burgos1–0Eldense
2026-09-20	26/27	Las Palmas1–2Burgos
2026-09-11	26/27	Burgos3–1Ceuta
2026-09-06	26/27	Oviedo0–0Burgos
2026-08-31	26/27	Burgos2–2Sociedad B
2026-08-23	26/27	Sp Gijon1–0Burgos
2026-08-16	26/27	Burgos3–2Cordoba
2026-05-31	25/26	Burgos1–0Andorra

Sabadell

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Celta B1–1Sabadell
2026-09-20	26/27	Sabadell3–1Oviedo
2026-09-13	26/27	Mallorca2–0Sabadell
2026-09-07	26/27	Sabadell3–2Cordoba
2026-08-29	26/27	Sabadell1–0Almeria
2026-08-23	26/27	Castellon0–0Sabadell
2026-08-17	26/27	Sp Gijon0–0Sabadell
2021-05-30	20/21	Mirandes0–2Sabadell

Burgos Sabadell

Wins

62%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

25%

Both teams scored

50%

38%

Clean sheets

38%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Burgos

Home · LaLiga 2

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Burgos		Castellon	1
4	Burgos		Eibar	2
4	Burgos		Almeria	3
4 · Burgos
4	Burgos		Girona	5
4	Burgos		Mallorca	6
4	Burgos		Sabadell	7
4	Burgos		Oviedo	8
4	Burgos		Tenerife	9
4	Burgos		Leganes	10
4	Burgos		Las Palmas	11
4	Burgos		Sp Gijon	12
4	Burgos		Granada	13
4	Burgos	2–2	Sociedad B	14	13′ Home
4	Burgos		Celta B	15
4	Burgos		Valladolid	16
4	Burgos		Andorra	17
4	Burgos	3–2	Cordoba	18	11′ Away
4	Burgos	1–0	Eldense	19	45′ Home
4	Burgos		Cadiz	20
4	Burgos	3–1	Ceuta	21	—
4	Burgos		Albacete	22

Sabadell

Away · LaLiga 2

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Castellon	0–0	Sabadell	7	–
2	Eibar		Sabadell	7
3	Almeria		Sabadell	7
4	Burgos		Sabadell	7
5	Girona		Sabadell	7
6	Mallorca	2–0	Sabadell	7	10′ Home
7 · Sabadell
8	Oviedo		Sabadell	7
9	Tenerife		Sabadell	7
10	Leganes		Sabadell	7
11	Las Palmas		Sabadell	7
12	Sp Gijon	0–0	Sabadell	7	–
13	Granada		Sabadell	7
14	Sociedad B		Sabadell	7
15	Celta B	1–1	Sabadell	7	6′ Home
16	Valladolid		Sabadell	7
17	Andorra		Sabadell	7
18	Cordoba		Sabadell	7
19	Eldense		Sabadell	7
20	Cadiz		Sabadell	7
21	Ceuta		Sabadell	7
22	Albacete		Sabadell	7

Burgos Home Sabadell Away

Wins

75%

0%

Over 1.5

75%

50%

Over 2.5

75%

0%

Over 3.5

75%

0%

Both teams scored

75%

25%

Clean sheets

25%

50%

Scores first

N/A

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

LaLiga 2 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Burgos

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	2.50	1.33	2.00
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	2.25	0.67	1.57
Goals conceded / match	1.25	0.67	1.00
Total goals / match	3.50	1.33	2.57
Failed to score	0.0%	66.7%	28.6%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	66.7%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Sabadell

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.75	1.71
Draws	0.0%	75.0%	42.9%
Goals scored / match	2.33	0.25	1.14
Goals conceded / match	1.00	0.75	0.86
Total goals / match	3.33	1.00	2.00
Failed to score	0.0%	75.0%	42.9%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	100.0%	71.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	1	1
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Burgos	Draw	Sabadell	How it works
Strength (Elo)	51.0%	24.3%	24.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	37.6%	34.2%	28.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.92–0.75 Model expected goals

23.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

31.7% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 18.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-018.8%

1-017.3%

0-114.1%

1-113.0%

2-08.0%

2-16.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Burgos	Sabadell	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1583	1525	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	27	61	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1511	1523	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	44.2%	46.5%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	50.0%	47.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1158	1093	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	36.8%	33.9%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	78.9%	75.4%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Burgos	0.75	0.60	0.50	0.20
Sabadell	0.75	0.45	0.55	0.45

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Burgos	15%	32%	22%	12%	18%
Sabadell	12%	18%	35%	18%	18%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.20 Burgos at home, 10 matches

1.00 Sabadell away, 10 matches

21d Days of rest for Burgos

22d Days of rest for Sabadell

— Manager of Burgos

— Manager of Sabadell

0 Matches for Burgos in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Sabadell in the last 14 days

5 Points for Burgos behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

7 Points for Sabadell behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.59 League goals per match

25.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Burgos, the right bar represents Sabadell.

On the ball

20 matches

9.94

shots

10.12

3.35

shots on target

3.47

33.7%

accuracy

34.3%

3.55

corners

4.4

14.0

fouls

15.6

2.45

yellow cards

2.58

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Burgos	WWWDDLWWWW	2.30	1.50–0.70	3W
Sabadell	DWLWWDDWWL	1.80	1.20–0.80	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Burgos	5	13	2	1	0
Sabadell	9	6	5	0	4

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Burgos

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Sabadell

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.