York

York

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202615:00

England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 10

Northampton

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	York3–0Gillingham
2026-09-19	26/27	Chesterfield2–0York
2026-09-13	26/27	York4–0Swindon
2026-09-12	26/27	York4–0Swindon
2026-09-05	26/27	Crewe1–1York
2026-09-01	26/27	Cheltenham3–2York
2026-08-29	26/27	York2–1Exeter
2026-08-22	26/27	Rotherham1–1York

Northampton

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Northampton0–1Rotherham
2026-09-13	26/27	Shrewsbury2–0Northampton
2026-09-12	26/27	Shrewsbury2–0Northampton
2026-09-05	26/27	Northampton1–0Newport County
2026-09-01	26/27	Northampton1–1Crawley Town
2026-08-29	26/27	Gillingham1–1Northampton
2026-08-22	26/27	Crewe1–0Northampton
2026-08-15	26/27	Northampton0–0Swindon

York Northampton

Wins

50%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

0%

Both teams scored

50%

25%

Clean sheets

38%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

York

Home · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
3	York		Barnet	1
3	York		Cheltenham	2
3 · York
3	York		Grimsby	4
3	York		Walsall	5
3	York	3–0	Gillingham	6	2′ Home
3	York	3–2	Bristol Rvs	7	30′ Away
3	York		Salford	8
3	York		Chesterfield	9
3	York		Crewe	10
3	York		Rotherham	11
3	York		Fleetwood Town	12
3	York		Tranmere	13
3	York		Colchester	14
3	York		Rochdale	15
3	York		Shrewsbury	16
3	York	4–0	Swindon	17	16′ Home
3	York	4–0	Swindon	17	—
3	York		Newport County	18
3	York		Port Vale	19
3	York		Accrington	20
3	York		Oldham	21
3	York	2–1	Exeter	22	7′ Home
3	York		Northampton	23
3	York		Crawley Town	24

Northampton

Away · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barnet		Northampton	23
2	Cheltenham		Northampton	23
3	York		Northampton	23
4	Grimsby		Northampton	23
5	Walsall		Northampton	23
6	Gillingham	1–1	Northampton	23	7′ Home
7	Bristol Rvs		Northampton	23
8	Salford		Northampton	23
9	Chesterfield		Northampton	23
10	Crewe	1–0	Northampton	23	53′ Home
11	Rotherham		Northampton	23
12	Fleetwood Town		Northampton	23
13	Tranmere		Northampton	23
14	Colchester		Northampton	23
15	Rochdale		Northampton	23
16	Shrewsbury	2–0	Northampton	23	8′ Home
16	Shrewsbury	2–0	Northampton	23	—
17	Swindon		Northampton	23
18	Newport County		Northampton	23
19	Port Vale		Northampton	23
20	Accrington		Northampton	23
21	Oldham		Northampton	23
22	Exeter		Northampton	23
23 · Northampton
24	Crawley Town		Northampton	23

York Home Northampton Away

Wins

100%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

100%

0%

Over 3.5

60%

0%

Both teams scored

40%

25%

Clean sheets

60%

0%

Scores first

80%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

York

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.50	1.89
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	3.20	1.00	2.22
Goals conceded / match	0.60	1.75	1.11
Total goals / match	3.80	2.75	3.33
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	75.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	4 of 4	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Northampton

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.25	0.25	0.75
Draws	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	0.50	0.25	0.38
Goals conceded / match	0.50	1.50	1.00
Total goals / match	1.00	1.75	1.38
Failed to score	50.0%	75.0%	62.5%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	York	Draw	Northampton	How it works
Strength (Elo)	50.1%	23.9%	26.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	50.0%	26.9%	22.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.44–0.87 Model expected goals

40.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

44.1% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 14.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-014.3%

1-112.4%

2-010.3%

0-09.9%

2-18.9%

0-18.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	York	Northampton	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1544	1474	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	35	-127	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1511	1475	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	59.9%	53.5%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	61.7%	56.9%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	866	1013	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	31.0%	27.3%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	55.6%	74.0%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
York	0.88	1.12	0.50	0.75
Northampton	0.63	0.32	0.42	0.42

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
York	0%	0%	33%	22%	44%
Northampton	12%	22%	35%	20%	10%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 York at home, 5 matches

1.20 Northampton away, 10 matches

14d Days of rest for York

21d Days of rest for Northampton

— Manager of York

— Manager of Northampton

1 Matches for York in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Northampton in the last 14 days

1 Points for York behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

12 Points for Northampton behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

2.54 League goals per match

27.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents York, the right bar represents Northampton.

On the ball

20 matches

18.2

shots

11.12

5.8

shots on target

3.88

31.9%

accuracy

34.9%

6.25

corners

5.37

8.38

fouls

11.32

1.29

yellow cards

1.84

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
York	WLWWDLWDW	1.89	2.22–1.11	1W
Northampton	LLLWDDLDWL	0.90	0.50–1.00	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
York	3	4	1	1	0
Northampton	8	7	4	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

York

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Northampton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.