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Shrewsbury
VS Scheduled England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 10
Exeter
Recent matches

Shrewsbury

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, League Two 26/27 Shrewsbury2–2Colchester
2026-09-19 England, League Two 26/27 Crewe1–1Shrewsbury
2026-09-13 England, League Two 26/27 Shrewsbury2–0Northampton
2026-09-12 England, League Two 26/27 Shrewsbury2–0Northampton
2026-09-05 England, League Two 26/27 Fleetwood Town2–0Shrewsbury
2026-09-01 England, League Two 26/27 Rochdale3–0Shrewsbury
2026-08-29 England, League Two 26/27 Shrewsbury1–0Salford
2026-08-22 England, League Two 26/27 Shrewsbury1–3Barnet

Exeter

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, League Two 26/27 Bristol Rvs1–0Exeter
2026-09-19 England, League Two 26/27 Exeter0–0Tranmere
2026-09-13 England, League Two 26/27 Port Vale1–0Exeter
2026-09-12 England, League Two 26/27 Port Vale1–0Exeter
2026-09-05 England, League Two 26/27 Exeter0–0Walsall
2026-09-01 England, League Two 26/27 Exeter1–1Barnet
2026-08-29 England, League Two 26/27 York2–1Exeter
2026-08-22 England, League Two 26/27 Exeter2–0Accrington
Shrewsbury Exeter

Wins

38%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
12%

Both teams scored

38%
25%

Clean sheets

38%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Shrewsbury

Home · League Two

Exeter

Away · League Two
HomeAway1st goal
1 Barnet Exeter 22
2 Cheltenham Exeter 22
3 York 2–1 Exeter 22 7′ Home
4 Grimsby 1–0 Exeter 22 35′ Home
5 Walsall Exeter 22
6 Gillingham Exeter 22
7 Bristol Rvs 1–0 Exeter 22 66′ Home
8 Salford Exeter 22
9 Chesterfield Exeter 22
10 Crewe Exeter 22
11 Rotherham Exeter 22
12 Fleetwood Town Exeter 22
13 Tranmere Exeter 22
14 Colchester Exeter 22
15 Rochdale Exeter 22
16 Shrewsbury Exeter 22
17 Swindon Exeter 22
18 Newport County Exeter 22
19 Port Vale 1–0 Exeter 22 70′ Home
19 Port Vale 1–0 Exeter 22 —
20 Accrington Exeter 22
21 Oldham Exeter 22
22 · Exeter
23 Northampton Exeter 22
24 Crawley Town Exeter 22
Shrewsbury Home Exeter Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Shrewsbury

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.000.251.22
Draws20.0%25.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match1.600.251.00
Goals conceded / match1.002.001.44
Total goals / match2.602.252.44
Failed to score0.0%75.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%75.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Exeter

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.500.000.67
Draws75.0%0.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match0.750.200.44
Goals conceded / match0.251.200.78
Total goals / match1.001.401.22
Failed to score50.0%80.0%66.7%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%80.0%88.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 5 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelShrewsburyDraw ExeterHow it works
Strength (Elo) 35.9% 27.2% 36.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 19.5% 33.9% 46.6% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.56–1.04 Model expected goals
21.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
27.5% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 21.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-121.1%
0-020.4%
1-111.7%
1-011.3%
0-210.9%
1-26.1%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureShrewsburyExeter How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1439 1487 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 12 -135 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1479 1495 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 51.3% 55.7% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 46.5% 56.3% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 750 1061 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 21.3% 25.4% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 53.7% 80.8% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Shrewsbury 0.420.37 0.630.84
Exeter 0.370.53 0.370.26

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Shrewsbury 5%30%25%15%25%
Exeter 15%25%28%25%8%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.70 Shrewsbury at home, 10 matches
1.00 Exeter away, 11 matches
14d Days of rest for Shrewsbury
14d Days of rest for Exeter
— Manager of Shrewsbury
— Manager of Exeter
1 Matches for Shrewsbury in the last 14 days
1 Matches for Exeter in the last 14 days
7 Points for Shrewsbury behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
12 Points for Exeter behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
2.54 League goals per match
27.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Shrewsbury, the right bar represents Exeter.

On the ball

20 matches
10.88
shots
12.44
2.94
shots on target
4.19
27.0%
accuracy
33.7%
3.68
corners
5.74
10.95
fouls
10.47
2.0
yellow cards
1.63

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Shrewsbury DDWWLLWLLL 1.10 0.90–1.40 2D
Exeter LDLLDDLWLL 0.60 0.40–0.80 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Shrewsbury2 125 00
Exeter4 105 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Shrewsbury

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Exeter

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.