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Port Vale
VS Scheduled England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 10
Grimsby

Head-to-head overview

9 meetings
Port ValeWins
1
Draws22.2% of meetings
2
GrimsbyWins
6
Goals per match
2.89
Over 2.5 goals
55.6%
Both teams scored
44.4%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-04-21 England, League Two 24/25 Port Vale2–2Grimsby
2024-12-29 England, League Two 24/25 Grimsby3–0Port Vale
2021-05-01 England, League Two 20/21 Grimsby1–0Port Vale
2021-01-09 England, League Two 20/21 Port Vale3–0Grimsby
2019-08-24 England, League Two 19/20 Grimsby5–2Port Vale
2018-12-26 England, League Two 18/19 Port Vale0–1Grimsby
2018-10-06 England, League Two 18/19 Grimsby2–0Port Vale
2018-03-10 England, League Two 17/18 Grimsby1–1Port Vale
Recent matches

Port Vale

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, League Two 26/27 Walsall2–0Port Vale
2026-09-13 England, League Two 26/27 Port Vale1–0Exeter
2026-09-12 England, League Two 26/27 Port Vale1–0Exeter
2026-09-05 England, League Two 26/27 Salford1–0Port Vale
2026-09-01 England, League Two 26/27 Swindon3–1Port Vale
2026-08-29 England, League Two 26/27 Port Vale0–0Crewe
2026-08-22 England, League Two 26/27 Port Vale1–1Tranmere
2026-08-15 England, League Two 26/27 Oldham2–0Port Vale

Grimsby

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, League Two 26/27 Newport County2–1Grimsby
2026-09-19 England, League Two 26/27 Grimsby2–0Crawley Town
2026-09-13 England, League Two 26/27 Grimsby2–0Bristol Rvs
2026-09-12 England, League Two 26/27 Grimsby2–0Bristol Rvs
2026-09-05 England, League Two 26/27 Cheltenham2–2Grimsby
2026-09-01 England, League Two 26/27 Accrington2–2Grimsby
2026-08-29 England, League Two 26/27 Grimsby2–2Fleetwood Town
2026-08-22 England, League Two 26/27 Walsall0–0Grimsby
Port Vale Grimsby

Wins

25%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

12%
50%

Both teams scored

25%
50%

Clean sheets

38%
50%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Port Vale

Home · League Two

Grimsby

Away · League Two
Port Vale Home Grimsby Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Port Vale

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match2.000.001.00
Draws50.0%0.0%25.0%
Goals scored / match0.750.250.50
Goals conceded / match0.252.001.12
Total goals / match1.002.251.62
Failed to score25.0%75.0%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%75.0%87.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 2 of 3 67%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Grimsby

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.600.751.78
Draws20.0%75.0%44.4%
Goals scored / match1.801.251.56
Goals conceded / match0.401.500.89
Total goals / match2.202.752.44
Failed to score0.0%25.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals80.0%25.0%55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelPort ValeDraw GrimsbyHow it works
Strength (Elo) 34.4% 27.1% 38.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 20.1% 24.4% 54.7% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.89–1.65 Model expected goals
46.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
47.2% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 13.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-113.0%
1-111.6%
0-210.8%
1-29.6%
0-07.9%
1-07.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasurePort ValeGrimsby How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1507 1571 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -75 -4 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1494 1473 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 55.6% 59.6% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 58.3% 63.6% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 985 1018 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 32.4% 44.3% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 66.0% 57.5% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Port Vale 0.530.79 0.470.58
Grimsby 1.110.79 0.470.53

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Port Vale 12%28%25%18%18%
Grimsby 8%25%25%10%32%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.91 Port Vale at home, 11 matches
1.30 Grimsby away, 10 matches
21d Days of rest for Port Vale
14d Days of rest for Grimsby
— Manager of Port Vale
— Manager of Grimsby
0 Matches for Port Vale in the last 14 days
1 Matches for Grimsby in the last 14 days
10 Points for Port Vale behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
2 Points for Grimsby behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
2.54 League goals per match
27.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Port Vale, the right bar represents Grimsby.

On the ball

20 matches
12.35
shots
14.56
4.35
shots on target
4.38
35.2%
accuracy
30.0%
4.42
corners
6.16
12.68
fouls
10.26
1.47
yellow cards
1.32

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Port Vale LWWLLDDLLW 1.10 0.60–1.00 1L
Grimsby LWWWDDDDWD 1.70 1.50–0.90 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Port Vale5 95 01
Grimsby10 63 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Port Vale

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Grimsby

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.