Newport County

Newport County

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202615:00

England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 11

York

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Newport County2–1Grimsby
2026-09-19	26/27	Accrington0–0Newport County
2026-09-13	26/27	Newport County1–1Fleetwood Town
2026-09-12	26/27	Newport County1–1Fleetwood Town
2026-09-05	26/27	Northampton1–0Newport County
2026-09-01	26/27	Salford2–1Newport County
2026-08-29	26/27	Newport County2–2Tranmere
2026-08-22	26/27	Bristol Rvs5–3Newport County

York

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	York3–0Gillingham
2026-09-19	26/27	Chesterfield2–0York
2026-09-13	26/27	York4–0Swindon
2026-09-12	26/27	York4–0Swindon
2026-09-05	26/27	Crewe1–1York
2026-09-01	26/27	Cheltenham3–2York
2026-08-29	26/27	York2–1Exeter
2026-08-22	26/27	Rotherham1–1York

Newport County York

Wins

12%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

62%

Both teams scored

75%

50%

Clean sheets

12%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Newport County

Home · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
18	Newport County		Barnet	1
18	Newport County		Cheltenham	2
18	Newport County		York	3
18	Newport County	2–1	Grimsby	4	—
18	Newport County		Walsall	5
18	Newport County		Gillingham	6
18	Newport County		Bristol Rvs	7
18	Newport County		Salford	8
18	Newport County		Chesterfield	9
18	Newport County		Crewe	10
18	Newport County		Rotherham	11
18	Newport County	1–1	Fleetwood Town	12	38′ Home
18	Newport County	1–1	Fleetwood Town	12	—
18	Newport County	2–2	Tranmere	13	11′ Home
18	Newport County		Colchester	14
18	Newport County	3–0	Rochdale	15	18′ Home
18	Newport County		Shrewsbury	16
18	Newport County		Swindon	17
18 · Newport County
18	Newport County		Port Vale	19
18	Newport County		Accrington	20
18	Newport County		Oldham	21
18	Newport County		Exeter	22
18	Newport County		Northampton	23
18	Newport County		Crawley Town	24

York

Away · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barnet		York	3
2	Cheltenham	3–2	York	3	12′ Away
3 · York
4	Grimsby		York	3
5	Walsall		York	3
6	Gillingham		York	3
7	Bristol Rvs		York	3
8	Salford		York	3
9	Chesterfield	2–0	York	3	57′ Home
10	Crewe	1–1	York	3	9′ Home
11	Rotherham	1–1	York	3	20′ Home
12	Fleetwood Town		York	3
13	Tranmere		York	3
14	Colchester		York	3
15	Rochdale		York	3
16	Shrewsbury		York	3
17	Swindon		York	3
18	Newport County		York	3
19	Port Vale		York	3
20	Accrington		York	3
21	Oldham		York	3
22	Exeter		York	3
23	Northampton		York	3
24	Crawley Town		York	3

Newport County Home York Away

Wins

40%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

60%

25%

Over 3.5

20%

25%

Both teams scored

80%

75%

Clean sheets

20%

0%

Scores first

N/A

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Newport County

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.80	0.25	1.11
Draws	60.0%	25.0%	44.4%
Goals scored / match	1.80	1.00	1.44
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.00	1.44
Total goals / match	2.80	3.00	2.89
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	22.2%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	50.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

York

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.50	1.89
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	3.20	1.00	2.22
Goals conceded / match	0.60	1.75	1.11
Total goals / match	3.80	2.75	3.33
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	75.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	2
31–45	2	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	1
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Newport County	Draw	York	How it works
Strength (Elo)	29.5%	25.8%	44.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	11.2%	14.7%	67.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.04–2.80 Model expected goals

67.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

56.4% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 8.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-28.8%

0-28.4%

1-38.2%

0-37.9%

1-16.2%

0-16.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Newport County	York	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1428	1544	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	50	35	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1487	1511	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	44.2%	59.9%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	45.6%	61.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1003	866	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	35.5%	31.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	64.9%	55.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Newport County	0.42	0.89	0.42	1.05
York	0.88	1.12	0.50	0.75

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Newport County	10%	15%	18%	30%	28%
York	0%	0%	33%	22%	44%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.64 Newport County at home, 11 matches

0.50 York away, 4 matches

21d Days of rest for Newport County

21d Days of rest for York

— Manager of Newport County

— Manager of York

0 Matches for Newport County in the last 14 days

0 Matches for York in the last 14 days

8 Points for Newport County behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

1 Points for York behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

2.54 League goals per match

27.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Newport County, the right bar represents York.

On the ball

20 matches

11.12

shots

18.2

3.88

shots on target

5.8

34.8%

accuracy

31.9%

5.58

corners

6.25

12.79

fouls

8.38

2.06

yellow cards

1.29

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Newport County	WDDDLLDLWW	1.30	1.50–1.40	1W
York	WLWWDLWDW	1.89	2.22–1.11	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Newport County	4	11	4	3	3
York	3	4	1	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Newport County

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

York

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.