Head-to-head overview
4 meetings- CheltenhamWins
- 1
- Draws25.0% of meetings
- 1
- Fleetwood TownWins
- 2
- Goals per match
- 2.50
- Over 2.5 goals
- 25.0%
- Both teams scored
- 25.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 |
25/26
|
Fleetwood Town2–2Cheltenham |
| 2025-10-04 |
25/26
|
Cheltenham2–0Fleetwood Town |
| 2025-02-08 |
24/25
|
Fleetwood Town2–0Cheltenham |
| 2024-09-28 |
24/25
|
Cheltenham0–2Fleetwood Town |
Recent matches
Cheltenham
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
26/27
|
Cheltenham2–1Chesterfield |
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Colchester1–1Cheltenham |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Crawley Town1–3Cheltenham |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Crawley Town1–3Cheltenham |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Cheltenham2–2Grimsby |
| 2026-09-01 |
26/27
|
Cheltenham3–2York |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Barnet2–2Cheltenham |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Swindon2–1Cheltenham |
Fleetwood Town
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
26/27
|
Fleetwood Town1–2Rochdale |
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Barnet3–1Fleetwood Town |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Newport County1–1Fleetwood Town |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Newport County1–1Fleetwood Town |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Fleetwood Town2–0Shrewsbury |
| 2026-09-01 |
26/27
|
Fleetwood Town1–1Oldham |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Grimsby2–2Fleetwood Town |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Fleetwood Town0–0Gillingham |
Cheltenham
Fleetwood Town
Wins
50%
12%
Over 2.5 goals
88%
38%
Both teams scored
100%
75%
Clean sheets
0%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Cheltenham
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cheltenham | Barnet | 1 | ||
| 2 · Cheltenham | |||||
| 2 | Cheltenham | 3–2 | York | 3 | 12′ Away |
| 2 | Cheltenham | 2–2 | Grimsby | 4 | 12′ Home |
| 2 | Cheltenham | Walsall | 5 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | Gillingham | 6 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | Bristol Rvs | 7 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | Salford | 8 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | 2–1 | Chesterfield | 9 | 17′ Home |
| 2 | Cheltenham | Crewe | 10 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | 2–1 | Rotherham | 11 | 30′ Home |
| 2 | Cheltenham | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | Tranmere | 13 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | Colchester | 14 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | Rochdale | 15 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | Shrewsbury | 16 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | Swindon | 17 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | Newport County | 18 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | Port Vale | 19 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | Accrington | 20 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | Oldham | 21 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | Exeter | 22 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | Northampton | 23 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
Fleetwood Town
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 3–1 | Fleetwood Town | 12 | 10′ Home |
| 2 | Cheltenham | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 3 | York | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 4 | Grimsby | 2–2 | Fleetwood Town | 12 | 6′ Away |
| 5 | Walsall | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 6 | Gillingham | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 7 | Bristol Rvs | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 8 | Salford | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 9 | Chesterfield | 0–1 | Fleetwood Town | 12 | 35′ Away |
| 10 | Crewe | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 11 | Rotherham | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 12 · Fleetwood Town | |||||
| 13 | Tranmere | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 14 | Colchester | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 15 | Rochdale | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 16 | Shrewsbury | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 18 | Newport County | 1–1 | Fleetwood Town | 12 | 38′ Home |
| 18 | Newport County | 1–1 | Fleetwood Town | 12 | — |
| 19 | Port Vale | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 20 | Accrington | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 21 | Oldham | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 22 | Exeter | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 23 | Northampton | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 24 | Crawley Town | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
Cheltenham Home
Fleetwood Town Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Cheltenham
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away5 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.50 | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Draws | 25.0% | 40.0% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.25 | 2.00 | 2.11 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.44 |
| Total goals / match | 3.75 | 3.40 | 3.56 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.0% | 20.0% | 11.1% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 3 of 3— | 100%— |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 3— | 67%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 1— | 100%— |
Scoring order known: 4/4 home.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 3 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 2 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 2 |
| 61–75 | 2 | 2 |
| 76–90 | 1 | 1 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Fleetwood Town
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away5 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.25 | 1.20 | 1.22 |
| Draws | 50.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.11 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.75 | 1.40 | 1.11 |
| Total goals / match | 1.75 | 2.60 | 2.22 |
| Failed to score | 25.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 75.0% | 60.0% | 66.7% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 4/5 away.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Cheltenham | Draw | Fleetwood Town | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 44.1% | 26.0% | 29.9% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 36.5% | 23.8% | 38.6% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.53–1.58
Model expected goals
59.0%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
61.4%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 10.8%
Most likely scores
1-110.8%
1-28.5%
2-18.2%
0-17.0%
1-06.8%
2-26.5%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Cheltenham | Fleetwood Town | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1504 | 1481 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 64 | 5 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1496 | 1484 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 43.3% | 52.4% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 45.4% | 50.9% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 1017 | 989 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 46.3% | 30.5% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 55.4% | 68.4% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 0.58 | 1.05 | 0.74 | 0.95 |
| Fleetwood Town | 0.53 | 0.58 | 0.47 | 0.79 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 2% | 10% | 25% | 18% | 45% |
| Fleetwood Town | 10% | 20% | 30% | 22% | 18% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.80
Cheltenham at home, 10 matches
1.10
Fleetwood Town away, 10 matches
24d
Days of rest for Cheltenham
24d
Days of rest for Fleetwood Town
—
Manager of Cheltenham
—
Manager of Fleetwood Town
0
Matches for Cheltenham in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Fleetwood Town in the last 14 days
0
Points for Cheltenham behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone
7
Points for Fleetwood Town behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
2.54
League goals per match
27.8%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cheltenham, the right bar represents Fleetwood Town.
On the ball
9.81
12.94
shots
3.38
3.69
shots on target
34.4%
28.5%
accuracy
4.37
5.42
corners
9.95
12.74
fouls
1.67
2.06
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | WDWWDWDLWL | 1.80 | 2.00–1.70 | 1W |
| Fleetwood Town | LLDDWDDDWD | 1.20 | 1.10–1.10 | 2L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 5 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
| Fleetwood Town | 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Cheltenham
No absences reported.
Fleetwood Town
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.