Barnet

Barnet

VS Scheduled Tuesday 20 Oct 202619:45

England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 12

Swindon

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings

BarnetWins: 2
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
SwindonWins: 2

Goals per match: 3.25
Over 2.5 goals: 75.0%
Both teams scored: 75.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-02-17	25/26	Barnet1–2Swindon
2025-08-19	25/26	Swindon0–2Barnet
2018-01-01	17/18	Barnet1–2Swindon
2017-09-02	17/18	Swindon1–4Barnet

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Barnet3–1Fleetwood Town
2026-09-13	26/27	Barnet2–1Accrington
2026-09-12	26/27	Barnet2–1Accrington
2026-09-05	26/27	Chesterfield3–3Barnet
2026-09-01	26/27	Exeter1–1Barnet
2026-08-29	26/27	Barnet2–2Cheltenham
2026-08-22	26/27	Shrewsbury1–3Barnet
2026-08-15	26/27	Barnet3–1Salford

Swindon

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Swindon1–1Accrington
2026-09-19	26/27	Salford1–0Swindon
2026-09-13	26/27	York4–0Swindon
2026-09-12	26/27	York4–0Swindon
2026-09-05	26/27	Swindon3–1Colchester
2026-09-01	26/27	Swindon3–1Port Vale
2026-08-29	26/27	Oldham3–0Swindon
2026-08-22	26/27	Swindon2–1Cheltenham

Barnet Swindon

Wins

62%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

75%

Both teams scored

100%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Barnet

Home · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Barnet
1	Barnet	2–2	Cheltenham	2	11′ Home
1	Barnet		York	3
1	Barnet		Grimsby	4
1	Barnet		Walsall	5
1	Barnet		Gillingham	6
1	Barnet		Bristol Rvs	7
1	Barnet	3–1	Salford	8	24′ Home
1	Barnet		Chesterfield	9
1	Barnet		Crewe	10
1	Barnet		Rotherham	11
1	Barnet	3–1	Fleetwood Town	12	10′ Home
1	Barnet		Tranmere	13
1	Barnet		Colchester	14
1	Barnet		Rochdale	15
1	Barnet		Shrewsbury	16
1	Barnet		Swindon	17
1	Barnet		Newport County	18
1	Barnet		Port Vale	19
1	Barnet	2–1	Accrington	20	27′ Away
1	Barnet	2–1	Accrington	20	—
1	Barnet		Oldham	21
1	Barnet		Exeter	22
1	Barnet		Northampton	23
1	Barnet		Crawley Town	24

Swindon

Away · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barnet		Swindon	17
2	Cheltenham		Swindon	17
3	York	4–0	Swindon	17	16′ Home
3	York	4–0	Swindon	17	—
4	Grimsby		Swindon	17
5	Walsall		Swindon	17
6	Gillingham		Swindon	17
7	Bristol Rvs		Swindon	17
8	Salford	1–0	Swindon	17	77′ Home
9	Chesterfield		Swindon	17
10	Crewe		Swindon	17
11	Rotherham		Swindon	17
12	Fleetwood Town		Swindon	17
13	Tranmere		Swindon	17
14	Colchester		Swindon	17
15	Rochdale		Swindon	17
16	Shrewsbury		Swindon	17
17 · Swindon
18	Newport County		Swindon	17
19	Port Vale		Swindon	17
20	Accrington		Swindon	17
21	Oldham	3–0	Swindon	17	41′ Home
22	Exeter		Swindon	17
23	Northampton	0–0	Swindon	17	–
24	Crawley Town		Swindon	17

Barnet Home Swindon Away

Wins

80%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

60%

Over 2.5

100%

60%

Over 3.5

60%

40%

Both teams scored

100%

0%

Clean sheets

0%

20%

Scores first

N/A

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Barnet

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.60	1.67	2.25
Draws	20.0%	66.7%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	2.40	2.33	2.38
Goals conceded / match	1.20	1.67	1.38
Total goals / match	3.60	4.00	3.75
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	33.3%	12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Swindon

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.50	0.20	1.22
Draws	25.0%	20.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	2.25	0.00	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.40	1.78
Total goals / match	3.25	2.40	2.78
Failed to score	0.0%	100.0%	55.6%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	40.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	—
16–30	0	—
31–45	0	—
46–60	0	—
61–75	0	—
76–90	0	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Barnet	Draw	Swindon	How it works
Strength (Elo)	55.2%	21.7%	23.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	62.4%	15.9%	14.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.81–1.29 Model expected goals

70.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

63.2% Both teams to score

2-1 Most likely score, at 8.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-18.4%

3-17.9%

2-06.5%

3-06.1%

1-16.0%

4-15.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Barnet	Swindon	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1595	1488	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	35	-37	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1488	1501	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	56.9%	35.3%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	54.5%	40.1%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1130	1086	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	49.4%	36.8%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	63.6%	71.8%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Barnet	1.00	1.32	0.63	0.74
Swindon	0.37	0.79	0.68	0.89

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Barnet	10%	12%	18%	18%	42%
Swindon	2%	15%	22%	32%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.36 Barnet at home, 11 matches

0.82 Swindon away, 11 matches

31d Days of rest for Barnet

24d Days of rest for Swindon

— Manager of Barnet

— Manager of Swindon

0 Matches for Barnet in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Swindon in the last 14 days

0 Points for Barnet behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

7 Points for Swindon behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

2.54 League goals per match

27.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Barnet, the right bar represents Swindon.

On the ball

20 matches

14.35

shots

8.44

4.65

shots on target

3.56

32.4%

accuracy

42.2%

6.74

corners

4.58

11.68

fouls

8.79

1.83

yellow cards

1.59

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Barnet	WWWDDDWWWW	2.40	2.70–1.40	3W
Swindon	DLLLWWLWDL	1.10	1.00–1.80	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Barnet	6	11	2	1	3
Swindon	3	10	6	1	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Barnet

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Swindon

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Foxes pain and Burnley suffer hangover - Aaron McLean's EFL takeaways BBC Sport 09-05