Rotherham

Rotherham

VS Scheduled Tuesday 20 Oct 202619:45

England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 12

Newport County

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Rotherham1–1Crewe
2026-09-19	26/27	Northampton0–1Rotherham
2026-09-13	26/27	Rotherham3–3Salford
2026-09-12	26/27	Rotherham3–3Salford
2026-09-05	26/27	Bristol Rvs1–0Rotherham
2026-09-01	26/27	Tranmere2–2Rotherham
2026-08-29	26/27	Rotherham2–1Chesterfield
2026-08-22	26/27	Rotherham1–1York

Newport County

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Newport County2–1Grimsby
2026-09-19	26/27	Accrington0–0Newport County
2026-09-13	26/27	Newport County1–1Fleetwood Town
2026-09-12	26/27	Newport County1–1Fleetwood Town
2026-09-05	26/27	Northampton1–0Newport County
2026-09-01	26/27	Salford2–1Newport County
2026-08-29	26/27	Newport County2–2Tranmere
2026-08-22	26/27	Bristol Rvs5–3Newport County

Rotherham Newport County

Wins

25%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

75%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Rotherham

Home · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Rotherham		Barnet	1
11	Rotherham		Cheltenham	2
11	Rotherham	1–1	York	3	20′ Home
11	Rotherham		Grimsby	4
11	Rotherham		Walsall	5
11	Rotherham		Gillingham	6
11	Rotherham		Bristol Rvs	7
11	Rotherham	3–3	Salford	8	9′ Away
11	Rotherham	3–3	Salford	8	—
11	Rotherham	2–1	Chesterfield	9	12′ Home
11	Rotherham	1–1	Crewe	10	—
11 · Rotherham
11	Rotherham		Fleetwood Town	12
11	Rotherham		Tranmere	13
11	Rotherham		Colchester	14
11	Rotherham		Rochdale	15
11	Rotherham		Shrewsbury	16
11	Rotherham		Swindon	17
11	Rotherham		Newport County	18
11	Rotherham		Port Vale	19
11	Rotherham		Accrington	20
11	Rotherham		Oldham	21
11	Rotherham		Exeter	22
11	Rotherham		Northampton	23
11	Rotherham		Crawley Town	24

Newport County

Away · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barnet		Newport County	18
2	Cheltenham		Newport County	18
3	York		Newport County	18
4	Grimsby		Newport County	18
5	Walsall		Newport County	18
6	Gillingham		Newport County	18
7	Bristol Rvs	5–3	Newport County	18	—
8	Salford	2–1	Newport County	18	71′ Away
9	Chesterfield		Newport County	18
10	Crewe		Newport County	18
11	Rotherham		Newport County	18
12	Fleetwood Town		Newport County	18
13	Tranmere		Newport County	18
14	Colchester		Newport County	18
15	Rochdale		Newport County	18
16	Shrewsbury		Newport County	18
17	Swindon		Newport County	18
18 · Newport County
19	Port Vale		Newport County	18
20	Accrington	0–0	Newport County	18	–
21	Oldham		Newport County	18
22	Exeter		Newport County	18
23	Northampton	1–0	Newport County	18	87′ Home
24	Crawley Town		Newport County	18

Rotherham Home Newport County Away

Wins

20%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 2.5

60%

50%

Over 3.5

40%

25%

Both teams scored

100%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

25%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Rotherham

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.40	1.00	1.22
Draws	80.0%	25.0%	55.6%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.00	1.56
Goals conceded / match	1.80	1.25	1.56
Total goals / match	3.80	2.25	3.11
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	50.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Newport County

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.80	0.25	1.11
Draws	60.0%	25.0%	44.4%
Goals scored / match	1.80	1.00	1.44
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.00	1.44
Total goals / match	2.80	3.00	2.89
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	22.2%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	50.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Rotherham	Draw	Newport County	How it works
Strength (Elo)	50.4%	23.8%	25.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	35.2%	22.6%	40.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.63–1.77 Model expected goals

64.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

65.3% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 9.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-19.7%

1-28.5%

2-17.9%

2-26.9%

0-15.9%

1-05.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Rotherham	Newport County	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1501	1428	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	11	50	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1502	1487	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	53.8%	44.2%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	44.4%	45.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1025	1003	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	37.5%	35.5%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	65.0%	64.9%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Rotherham	0.62	0.75	0.88	0.50
Newport County	0.42	0.89	0.42	1.05

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Rotherham	0%	22%	22%	22%	33%
Newport County	10%	15%	18%	30%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Rotherham at home, 5 matches

0.78 Newport County away, 9 matches

24d Days of rest for Rotherham

24d Days of rest for Newport County

— Manager of Rotherham

— Manager of Newport County

0 Matches for Rotherham in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Newport County in the last 14 days

7 Points for Rotherham behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

8 Points for Newport County behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

2.54 League goals per match

27.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Rotherham, the right bar represents Newport County.

On the ball

20 matches

12.6

shots

11.12

3.2

shots on target

3.88

25.4%

accuracy

34.8%

4.12

corners

5.58

11.5

fouls

12.79

2.0

yellow cards

2.06

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Rotherham	DWDDLDWDL	1.22	1.56–1.56	1D
Newport County	WDDDLLDLWW	1.30	1.50–1.40	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Rotherham	1	4	3	0	0
Newport County	4	11	4	3	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Rotherham

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newport County

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.