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Rochdale
VS Scheduled England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 13
Accrington
Recent matches

Rochdale

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, League Two 26/27 Fleetwood Town1–2Rochdale
2026-09-19 England, League Two 26/27 Rochdale2–0Oldham
2026-09-13 England, League Two 26/27 Walsall0–0Rochdale
2026-09-12 England, League Two 26/27 Walsall0–0Rochdale
2026-09-05 England, League Two 26/27 Rochdale1–4Gillingham
2026-09-01 England, League Two 26/27 Rochdale3–0Shrewsbury
2026-08-29 England, League Two 26/27 Colchester1–0Rochdale
2026-08-22 England, League Two 26/27 Rochdale1–2Crawley Town

Accrington

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, League Two 26/27 Swindon1–1Accrington
2026-09-19 England, League Two 26/27 Accrington0–0Newport County
2026-09-13 England, League Two 26/27 Barnet2–1Accrington
2026-09-12 England, League Two 26/27 Barnet2–1Accrington
2026-09-05 England, League Two 26/27 Accrington3–2Crawley Town
2026-09-01 England, League Two 26/27 Accrington2–2Grimsby
2026-08-29 England, League Two 26/27 Walsall3–2Accrington
2026-08-22 England, League Two 26/27 Exeter2–0Accrington
Rochdale Accrington

Wins

38%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
62%

Both teams scored

38%
75%

Clean sheets

50%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Rochdale

Home · League Two
HomeAway1st goal
15 Rochdale Barnet 1
15 Rochdale Cheltenham 2
15 Rochdale York 3
15 Rochdale Grimsby 4
15 Rochdale Walsall 5
15 Rochdale 1–4 Gillingham 6 33′ Away
15 Rochdale Bristol Rvs 7
15 Rochdale Salford 8
15 Rochdale Chesterfield 9
15 Rochdale Crewe 10
15 Rochdale Rotherham 11
15 Rochdale Fleetwood Town 12
15 Rochdale Tranmere 13
15 Rochdale Colchester 14
15 · Rochdale
15 Rochdale 3–0 Shrewsbury 16 33′ Home
15 Rochdale Swindon 17
15 Rochdale Newport County 18
15 Rochdale Port Vale 19
15 Rochdale Accrington 20
15 Rochdale 2–0 Oldham 21 7′ Home
15 Rochdale Exeter 22
15 Rochdale Northampton 23
15 Rochdale 1–2 Crawley Town 24 8′ Away

Accrington

Away · League Two
HomeAway1st goal
1 Barnet 2–1 Accrington 20 27′ Away
1 Barnet 2–1 Accrington 20 —
2 Cheltenham Accrington 20
3 York Accrington 20
4 Grimsby Accrington 20
5 Walsall 3–2 Accrington 20 8′ Home
6 Gillingham Accrington 20
7 Bristol Rvs Accrington 20
8 Salford Accrington 20
9 Chesterfield Accrington 20
10 Crewe Accrington 20
11 Rotherham Accrington 20
12 Fleetwood Town Accrington 20
13 Tranmere Accrington 20
14 Colchester Accrington 20
15 Rochdale Accrington 20
16 Shrewsbury Accrington 20
17 Swindon 1–1 Accrington 20 1′ Away
18 Newport County Accrington 20
19 Port Vale Accrington 20
20 · Accrington
21 Oldham Accrington 20
22 Exeter 2–0 Accrington 20 2′ Home
23 Northampton Accrington 20
24 Crawley Town Accrington 20
Rochdale Home Accrington Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Rochdale

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.501.001.22
Draws0.0%40.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match1.750.401.00
Goals conceded / match1.501.001.22
Total goals / match3.251.402.22
Failed to score0.0%80.0%44.4%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%60.0%44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1511
16–3000
31–4521
46–6012
61–7512
76–9020

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Accrington

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.500.200.78
Draws75.0%20.0%44.4%
Goals scored / match1.751.001.33
Goals conceded / match1.502.001.78
Total goals / match3.253.003.11
Failed to score25.0%20.0%22.2%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%40.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelRochdaleDraw AccringtonHow it works
Strength (Elo) 46.2% 25.3% 28.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 46.2% 23.5% 29.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.73–1.33 Model expected goals
57.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
59.6% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 10.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-110.8%
2-19.3%
1-08.1%
1-27.2%
2-07.0%
0-16.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureRochdaleAccrington How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1462 1422 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 60 -1 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1485 1495 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 38.8% 47.6% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 37.7% 44.0% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1117 885 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 51.2% 29.0% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 60.6% 59.5% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Rochdale 0.680.68 0.790.74
Accrington 0.530.53 1.000.84

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Rochdale 8%22%25%28%18%
Accrington 8%22%28%18%25%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.56 Rochdale at home, 9 matches
0.27 Accrington away, 11 matches
28d Days of rest for Rochdale
28d Days of rest for Accrington
— Manager of Rochdale
— Manager of Accrington
0 Matches for Rochdale in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Accrington in the last 14 days
7 Points for Rochdale behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
11 Points for Accrington behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.54 League goals per match
27.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Rochdale, the right bar represents Accrington.

On the ball

20 matches
8.62
shots
11.75
2.69
shots on target
3.88
31.2%
accuracy
33.0%
3.72
corners
3.84
10.32
fouls
13.37
1.53
yellow cards
2.17

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Rochdale WWDDLWLLLD 1.20 1.00–1.20 2W
Accrington DDLLWDLLDL 0.70 1.20–1.90 2D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Rochdale6 67 01
Accrington2 89 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Rochdale

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Accrington

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.