Grimsby

Grimsby

VS Scheduled Saturday 31 Oct 202612:30

England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 14

York

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Newport County2–1Grimsby
2026-09-19	26/27	Grimsby2–0Crawley Town
2026-09-13	26/27	Grimsby2–0Bristol Rvs
2026-09-12	26/27	Grimsby2–0Bristol Rvs
2026-09-05	26/27	Cheltenham2–2Grimsby
2026-09-01	26/27	Accrington2–2Grimsby
2026-08-29	26/27	Grimsby2–2Fleetwood Town
2026-08-22	26/27	Walsall0–0Grimsby

York

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	York3–0Gillingham
2026-09-19	26/27	Chesterfield2–0York
2026-09-13	26/27	York4–0Swindon
2026-09-12	26/27	York4–0Swindon
2026-09-05	26/27	Crewe1–1York
2026-09-01	26/27	Cheltenham3–2York
2026-08-29	26/27	York2–1Exeter
2026-08-22	26/27	Rotherham1–1York

Grimsby York

Wins

38%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

62%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

50%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Grimsby

Home · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Grimsby		Barnet	1
4	Grimsby		Cheltenham	2
4	Grimsby		York	3
4 · Grimsby
4	Grimsby		Walsall	5
4	Grimsby		Gillingham	6
4	Grimsby	2–0	Bristol Rvs	7	22′ Home
4	Grimsby	2–0	Bristol Rvs	7	—
4	Grimsby		Salford	8
4	Grimsby		Chesterfield	9
4	Grimsby		Crewe	10
4	Grimsby		Rotherham	11
4	Grimsby	2–2	Fleetwood Town	12	6′ Away
4	Grimsby		Tranmere	13
4	Grimsby		Colchester	14
4	Grimsby		Rochdale	15
4	Grimsby		Shrewsbury	16
4	Grimsby		Swindon	17
4	Grimsby		Newport County	18
4	Grimsby		Port Vale	19
4	Grimsby		Accrington	20
4	Grimsby		Oldham	21
4	Grimsby	1–0	Exeter	22	35′ Home
4	Grimsby		Northampton	23
4	Grimsby	2–0	Crawley Town	24	30′ Home

York

Away · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barnet		York	3
2	Cheltenham	3–2	York	3	12′ Away
3 · York
4	Grimsby		York	3
5	Walsall		York	3
6	Gillingham		York	3
7	Bristol Rvs		York	3
8	Salford		York	3
9	Chesterfield	2–0	York	3	57′ Home
10	Crewe	1–1	York	3	9′ Home
11	Rotherham	1–1	York	3	20′ Home
12	Fleetwood Town		York	3
13	Tranmere		York	3
14	Colchester		York	3
15	Rochdale		York	3
16	Shrewsbury		York	3
17	Swindon		York	3
18	Newport County		York	3
19	Port Vale		York	3
20	Accrington		York	3
21	Oldham		York	3
22	Exeter		York	3
23	Northampton		York	3
24	Crawley Town		York	3

Grimsby Home York Away

Wins

80%

0%

Over 1.5

80%

100%

Over 2.5

20%

25%

Over 3.5

20%

25%

Both teams scored

20%

75%

Clean sheets

80%

0%

Scores first

80%

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Grimsby

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.60	0.75	1.78
Draws	20.0%	75.0%	44.4%
Goals scored / match	1.80	1.25	1.56
Goals conceded / match	0.40	1.50	0.89
Total goals / match	2.20	2.75	2.44
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	80.0%	25.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	4 of 4	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

York

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.50	1.89
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	3.20	1.00	2.22
Goals conceded / match	0.60	1.75	1.11
Total goals / match	3.80	2.75	3.33
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	75.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	2
31–45	2	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	1
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Grimsby	Draw	York	How it works
Strength (Elo)	44.5%	25.9%	29.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	31.6%	22.5%	44.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.52–1.84 Model expected goals

63.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

64.4% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 9.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-19.7%

1-28.9%

2-17.4%

2-26.8%

0-16.4%

0-25.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Grimsby	York	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1571	1544	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-4	35	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1473	1511	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	59.6%	59.9%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	63.6%	61.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1018	866	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	44.3%	31.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	57.5%	55.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Grimsby	1.11	0.79	0.47	0.53
York	0.88	1.12	0.50	0.75

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Grimsby	8%	25%	25%	10%	32%
York	0%	0%	33%	22%	44%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.50 Grimsby at home, 10 matches

0.50 York away, 4 matches

35d Days of rest for Grimsby

35d Days of rest for York

— Manager of Grimsby

— Manager of York

0 Matches for Grimsby in the last 14 days

0 Matches for York in the last 14 days

2 Points for Grimsby behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

1 Points for York behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

2.54 League goals per match

27.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Grimsby, the right bar represents York.

On the ball

20 matches

14.56

shots

18.2

4.38

shots on target

5.8

30.0%

accuracy

31.9%

6.16

corners

6.25

10.26

fouls

8.38

1.32

yellow cards

1.29

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Grimsby	LWWWDDDDWD	1.70	1.50–0.90	1L
York	WLWWDLWDW	1.89	2.22–1.11	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Grimsby	10	6	3	0	2
York	3	4	1	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Grimsby

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

York

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.