Accrington

Accrington

VS Scheduled Saturday 31 Oct 202615:00

England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 14

Northampton

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Swindon1–1Accrington
2026-09-19	26/27	Accrington0–0Newport County
2026-09-13	26/27	Barnet2–1Accrington
2026-09-12	26/27	Barnet2–1Accrington
2026-09-05	26/27	Accrington3–2Crawley Town
2026-09-01	26/27	Accrington2–2Grimsby
2026-08-29	26/27	Walsall3–2Accrington
2026-08-22	26/27	Exeter2–0Accrington

Northampton

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Northampton0–1Rotherham
2026-09-13	26/27	Shrewsbury2–0Northampton
2026-09-12	26/27	Shrewsbury2–0Northampton
2026-09-05	26/27	Northampton1–0Newport County
2026-09-01	26/27	Northampton1–1Crawley Town
2026-08-29	26/27	Gillingham1–1Northampton
2026-08-22	26/27	Crewe1–0Northampton
2026-08-15	26/27	Northampton0–0Swindon

Accrington Northampton

Wins

12%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

0%

Both teams scored

75%

25%

Clean sheets

12%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Accrington

Home · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
20	Accrington		Barnet	1
20	Accrington		Cheltenham	2
20	Accrington		York	3
20	Accrington	2–2	Grimsby	4	—
20	Accrington		Walsall	5
20	Accrington		Gillingham	6
20	Accrington		Bristol Rvs	7
20	Accrington		Salford	8
20	Accrington		Chesterfield	9
20	Accrington		Crewe	10
20	Accrington		Rotherham	11
20	Accrington		Fleetwood Town	12
20	Accrington		Tranmere	13
20	Accrington	2–2	Colchester	14	24′ Away
20	Accrington		Rochdale	15
20	Accrington		Shrewsbury	16
20	Accrington		Swindon	17
20	Accrington	0–0	Newport County	18	–
20	Accrington		Port Vale	19
20 · Accrington
20	Accrington		Oldham	21
20	Accrington		Exeter	22
20	Accrington		Northampton	23
20	Accrington	3–2	Crawley Town	24	4′ Home

Northampton

Away · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barnet		Northampton	23
2	Cheltenham		Northampton	23
3	York		Northampton	23
4	Grimsby		Northampton	23
5	Walsall		Northampton	23
6	Gillingham	1–1	Northampton	23	7′ Home
7	Bristol Rvs		Northampton	23
8	Salford		Northampton	23
9	Chesterfield		Northampton	23
10	Crewe	1–0	Northampton	23	53′ Home
11	Rotherham		Northampton	23
12	Fleetwood Town		Northampton	23
13	Tranmere		Northampton	23
14	Colchester		Northampton	23
15	Rochdale		Northampton	23
16	Shrewsbury	2–0	Northampton	23	8′ Home
16	Shrewsbury	2–0	Northampton	23	—
17	Swindon		Northampton	23
18	Newport County		Northampton	23
19	Port Vale		Northampton	23
20	Accrington		Northampton	23
21	Oldham		Northampton	23
22	Exeter		Northampton	23
23 · Northampton
24	Crawley Town		Northampton	23

Accrington Home Northampton Away

Wins

25%

0%

Over 1.5

75%

Over 2.5

75%

0%

Over 3.5

75%

0%

Both teams scored

75%

25%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Scores first

N/A

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Accrington

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.20	0.78
Draws	75.0%	20.0%	44.4%
Goals scored / match	1.75	1.00	1.33
Goals conceded / match	1.50	2.00	1.78
Total goals / match	3.25	3.00	3.11
Failed to score	25.0%	20.0%	22.2%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	40.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Northampton

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.25	0.25	0.75
Draws	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	0.50	0.25	0.38
Goals conceded / match	0.50	1.50	1.00
Total goals / match	1.00	1.75	1.38
Failed to score	50.0%	75.0%	62.5%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Accrington	Draw	Northampton	How it works
Strength (Elo)	35.6%	27.2%	37.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	17.5%	26.8%	55.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.68–1.45 Model expected goals

35.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

37.6% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 17.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-117.2%

0-212.5%

0-011.9%

1-111.7%

1-28.5%

1-08.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Accrington	Northampton	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1422	1474	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-1	-127	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1495	1475	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	47.6%	53.5%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	44.0%	56.9%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	885	1013	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	29.0%	27.3%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	59.5%	74.0%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Accrington	0.53	0.53	1.00	0.84
Northampton	0.63	0.32	0.42	0.42

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Accrington	8%	22%	28%	18%	25%
Northampton	12%	22%	35%	20%	10%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.11 Accrington at home, 9 matches

1.20 Northampton away, 10 matches

35d Days of rest for Accrington

42d Days of rest for Northampton

— Manager of Accrington

— Manager of Northampton

0 Matches for Accrington in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Northampton in the last 14 days

11 Points for Accrington behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

12 Points for Northampton behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

2.54 League goals per match

27.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Accrington, the right bar represents Northampton.

On the ball

20 matches

11.75

shots

11.12

3.88

shots on target

3.88

33.0%

accuracy

34.9%

3.84

corners

5.37

13.37

fouls

11.32

2.17

yellow cards

1.84

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Accrington	DDLLWDLLDL	0.70	1.20–1.90	2D
Northampton	LLLWDDLDWL	0.90	0.50–1.00	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Accrington	2	8	9	0	2
Northampton	8	7	4	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Accrington

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Northampton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.