Rochdale

Rochdale

VS Scheduled Saturday 14 Nov 202615:00

England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 15

York

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Fleetwood Town1–2Rochdale
2026-09-19	26/27	Rochdale2–0Oldham
2026-09-13	26/27	Walsall0–0Rochdale
2026-09-12	26/27	Walsall0–0Rochdale
2026-09-05	26/27	Rochdale1–4Gillingham
2026-09-01	26/27	Rochdale3–0Shrewsbury
2026-08-29	26/27	Colchester1–0Rochdale
2026-08-22	26/27	Rochdale1–2Crawley Town

York

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	York3–0Gillingham
2026-09-19	26/27	Chesterfield2–0York
2026-09-13	26/27	York4–0Swindon
2026-09-12	26/27	York4–0Swindon
2026-09-05	26/27	Crewe1–1York
2026-09-01	26/27	Cheltenham3–2York
2026-08-29	26/27	York2–1Exeter
2026-08-22	26/27	Rotherham1–1York

Rochdale York

Wins

38%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

62%

Both teams scored

38%

50%

Clean sheets

50%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Rochdale

Home · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
15	Rochdale		Barnet	1
15	Rochdale		Cheltenham	2
15	Rochdale		York	3
15	Rochdale		Grimsby	4
15	Rochdale		Walsall	5
15	Rochdale	1–4	Gillingham	6	33′ Away
15	Rochdale		Bristol Rvs	7
15	Rochdale		Salford	8
15	Rochdale		Chesterfield	9
15	Rochdale		Crewe	10
15	Rochdale		Rotherham	11
15	Rochdale		Fleetwood Town	12
15	Rochdale		Tranmere	13
15	Rochdale		Colchester	14
15 · Rochdale
15	Rochdale	3–0	Shrewsbury	16	33′ Home
15	Rochdale		Swindon	17
15	Rochdale		Newport County	18
15	Rochdale		Port Vale	19
15	Rochdale		Accrington	20
15	Rochdale	2–0	Oldham	21	7′ Home
15	Rochdale		Exeter	22
15	Rochdale		Northampton	23
15	Rochdale	1–2	Crawley Town	24	8′ Away

York

Away · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barnet		York	3
2	Cheltenham	3–2	York	3	12′ Away
3 · York
4	Grimsby		York	3
5	Walsall		York	3
6	Gillingham		York	3
7	Bristol Rvs		York	3
8	Salford		York	3
9	Chesterfield	2–0	York	3	57′ Home
10	Crewe	1–1	York	3	9′ Home
11	Rotherham	1–1	York	3	20′ Home
12	Fleetwood Town		York	3
13	Tranmere		York	3
14	Colchester		York	3
15	Rochdale		York	3
16	Shrewsbury		York	3
17	Swindon		York	3
18	Newport County		York	3
19	Port Vale		York	3
20	Accrington		York	3
21	Oldham		York	3
22	Exeter		York	3
23	Northampton		York	3
24	Crawley Town		York	3

Rochdale Home York Away

Wins

50%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

75%

25%

Over 3.5

25%

Both teams scored

50%

75%

Clean sheets

50%

0%

Scores first

50%

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Rochdale

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.50	1.00	1.22
Draws	0.0%	40.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.75	0.40	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.00	1.22
Total goals / match	3.25	1.40	2.22
Failed to score	0.0%	80.0%	44.4%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	60.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	2	1
46–60	1	2
61–75	1	2
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

York

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.50	1.89
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	3.20	1.00	2.22
Goals conceded / match	0.60	1.75	1.11
Total goals / match	3.80	2.75	3.33
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	75.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	2
31–45	2	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	1
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Rochdale	Draw	York	How it works
Strength (Elo)	32.7%	26.8%	40.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	11.2%	14.7%	67.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.04–2.80 Model expected goals

67.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

56.4% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 8.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-28.8%

0-28.4%

1-38.2%

0-37.9%

1-16.2%

0-16.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Rochdale	York	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1462	1544	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	60	35	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1485	1511	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	38.8%	59.9%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	37.7%	61.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1117	866	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	51.2%	31.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	60.6%	55.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Rochdale	0.68	0.68	0.79	0.74
York	0.88	1.12	0.50	0.75

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Rochdale	8%	22%	25%	28%	18%
York	0%	0%	33%	22%	44%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.56 Rochdale at home, 9 matches

0.50 York away, 4 matches

49d Days of rest for Rochdale

49d Days of rest for York

— Manager of Rochdale

— Manager of York

0 Matches for Rochdale in the last 14 days

0 Matches for York in the last 14 days

7 Points for Rochdale behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

1 Points for York behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

2.54 League goals per match

27.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Rochdale, the right bar represents York.

On the ball

20 matches

8.62

shots

18.2

2.69

shots on target

5.8

31.2%

accuracy

31.9%

3.72

corners

6.25

10.32

fouls

8.38

1.53

yellow cards

1.29

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Rochdale	WWDDLWLLLD	1.20	1.00–1.20	2W
York	WLWWDLWDW	1.89	2.22–1.11	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Rochdale	6	6	7	0	1
York	3	4	1	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Rochdale

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

York

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.