Rotherham

Rotherham

VS Scheduled Saturday 14 Nov 202615:00

England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 15

Crawley Town

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Rotherham1–1Crewe
2026-09-19	26/27	Northampton0–1Rotherham
2026-09-13	26/27	Rotherham3–3Salford
2026-09-12	26/27	Rotherham3–3Salford
2026-09-05	26/27	Bristol Rvs1–0Rotherham
2026-09-01	26/27	Tranmere2–2Rotherham
2026-08-29	26/27	Rotherham2–1Chesterfield
2026-08-22	26/27	Rotherham1–1York

Crawley Town

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Grimsby2–0Crawley Town
2026-09-13	26/27	Crawley Town1–3Cheltenham
2026-09-12	26/27	Crawley Town1–3Cheltenham
2026-09-05	26/27	Accrington3–2Crawley Town
2026-09-01	26/27	Northampton1–1Crawley Town
2026-08-29	26/27	Crawley Town0–2Bristol Rvs
2026-08-22	26/27	Rochdale1–2Crawley Town
2026-08-15	26/27	Crawley Town0–1Crewe

Rotherham Crawley Town

Wins

25%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

75%

62%

Clean sheets

12%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Rotherham

Home · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Rotherham		Barnet	1
11	Rotherham		Cheltenham	2
11	Rotherham	1–1	York	3	20′ Home
11	Rotherham		Grimsby	4
11	Rotherham		Walsall	5
11	Rotherham		Gillingham	6
11	Rotherham		Bristol Rvs	7
11	Rotherham	3–3	Salford	8	9′ Away
11	Rotherham	3–3	Salford	8	—
11	Rotherham	2–1	Chesterfield	9	12′ Home
11	Rotherham	1–1	Crewe	10	—
11 · Rotherham
11	Rotherham		Fleetwood Town	12
11	Rotherham		Tranmere	13
11	Rotherham		Colchester	14
11	Rotherham		Rochdale	15
11	Rotherham		Shrewsbury	16
11	Rotherham		Swindon	17
11	Rotherham		Newport County	18
11	Rotherham		Port Vale	19
11	Rotherham		Accrington	20
11	Rotherham		Oldham	21
11	Rotherham		Exeter	22
11	Rotherham		Northampton	23
11	Rotherham		Crawley Town	24

Crawley Town

Away · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barnet		Crawley Town	24
2	Cheltenham		Crawley Town	24
3	York		Crawley Town	24
4	Grimsby	2–0	Crawley Town	24	30′ Home
5	Walsall		Crawley Town	24
6	Gillingham		Crawley Town	24
7	Bristol Rvs		Crawley Town	24
8	Salford		Crawley Town	24
9	Chesterfield		Crawley Town	24
10	Crewe		Crawley Town	24
11	Rotherham		Crawley Town	24
12	Fleetwood Town		Crawley Town	24
13	Tranmere		Crawley Town	24
14	Colchester		Crawley Town	24
15	Rochdale	1–2	Crawley Town	24	8′ Away
16	Shrewsbury		Crawley Town	24
17	Swindon		Crawley Town	24
18	Newport County		Crawley Town	24
19	Port Vale		Crawley Town	24
20	Accrington	3–2	Crawley Town	24	4′ Home
21	Oldham		Crawley Town	24
22	Exeter		Crawley Town	24
23	Northampton	1–1	Crawley Town	24	38′ Home
24 · Crawley Town

Rotherham Home Crawley Town Away

Wins

20%

25%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

60%

50%

Over 3.5

40%

25%

Both teams scored

100%

75%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

N/A

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Rotherham

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.40	1.00	1.22
Draws	80.0%	25.0%	55.6%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.00	1.56
Goals conceded / match	1.80	1.25	1.56
Total goals / match	3.80	2.25	3.11
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	50.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Crawley Town

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	0.00	1.00	0.50
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	0.50	1.25	0.88
Goals conceded / match	2.25	1.75	2.00
Total goals / match	2.75	3.00	2.88
Failed to score	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	1	1
31–45	0	2
46–60	0	2
61–75	2	1
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Rotherham	Draw	Crawley Town	How it works
Strength (Elo)	56.8%	20.9%	22.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	47.4%	24.0%	27.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.68–1.22 Model expected goals

54.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

56.8% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.3%

2-19.5%

1-09.2%

2-07.8%

1-26.9%

0-16.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Rotherham	Crawley Town	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1501	1383	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	11	-23	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1502	1485	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	53.8%	51.1%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	44.4%	48.8%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1025	921	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	37.5%	25.4%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	65.0%	66.7%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Rotherham	0.62	0.75	0.88	0.50
Crawley Town	0.21	0.68	0.74	0.68

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Rotherham	0%	22%	22%	22%	33%
Crawley Town	12%	12%	32%	15%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Rotherham at home, 5 matches

0.90 Crawley Town away, 10 matches

49d Days of rest for Rotherham

56d Days of rest for Crawley Town

— Manager of Rotherham

— Manager of Crawley Town

0 Matches for Rotherham in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Crawley Town in the last 14 days

7 Points for Rotherham behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

14 Points for Crawley Town behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone

2.54 League goals per match

27.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Rotherham, the right bar represents Crawley Town.

On the ball

20 matches

12.6

shots

12.71

3.2

shots on target

3.71

25.4%

accuracy

29.2%

4.12

corners

4.58

11.5

fouls

10.05

2.0

yellow cards

2.05

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Rotherham	DWDDLDWDL	1.22	1.56–1.56	1D
Crawley Town	LLLLDLWLDD	0.60	1.00–1.90	4L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Rotherham	1	4	3	0	0
Crawley Town	1	11	7	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Rotherham

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Crawley Town

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.