Grimsby

Grimsby

VS Scheduled Saturday 21 Nov 202615:00

England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 16

Rotherham

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Newport County2–1Grimsby
2026-09-19	26/27	Grimsby2–0Crawley Town
2026-09-13	26/27	Grimsby2–0Bristol Rvs
2026-09-12	26/27	Grimsby2–0Bristol Rvs
2026-09-05	26/27	Cheltenham2–2Grimsby
2026-09-01	26/27	Accrington2–2Grimsby
2026-08-29	26/27	Grimsby2–2Fleetwood Town
2026-08-22	26/27	Walsall0–0Grimsby

Rotherham

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Rotherham1–1Crewe
2026-09-19	26/27	Northampton0–1Rotherham
2026-09-13	26/27	Rotherham3–3Salford
2026-09-12	26/27	Rotherham3–3Salford
2026-09-05	26/27	Bristol Rvs1–0Rotherham
2026-09-01	26/27	Tranmere2–2Rotherham
2026-08-29	26/27	Rotherham2–1Chesterfield
2026-08-22	26/27	Rotherham1–1York

Grimsby Rotherham

Wins

38%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

50%

75%

Clean sheets

50%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Grimsby

Home · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Grimsby		Barnet	1
4	Grimsby		Cheltenham	2
4	Grimsby		York	3
4 · Grimsby
4	Grimsby		Walsall	5
4	Grimsby		Gillingham	6
4	Grimsby	2–0	Bristol Rvs	7	22′ Home
4	Grimsby	2–0	Bristol Rvs	7	—
4	Grimsby		Salford	8
4	Grimsby		Chesterfield	9
4	Grimsby		Crewe	10
4	Grimsby		Rotherham	11
4	Grimsby	2–2	Fleetwood Town	12	6′ Away
4	Grimsby		Tranmere	13
4	Grimsby		Colchester	14
4	Grimsby		Rochdale	15
4	Grimsby		Shrewsbury	16
4	Grimsby		Swindon	17
4	Grimsby		Newport County	18
4	Grimsby		Port Vale	19
4	Grimsby		Accrington	20
4	Grimsby		Oldham	21
4	Grimsby	1–0	Exeter	22	35′ Home
4	Grimsby		Northampton	23
4	Grimsby	2–0	Crawley Town	24	30′ Home

Rotherham

Away · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barnet		Rotherham	11
2	Cheltenham	2–1	Rotherham	11	30′ Home
3	York		Rotherham	11
4	Grimsby		Rotherham	11
5	Walsall		Rotherham	11
6	Gillingham		Rotherham	11
7	Bristol Rvs	1–0	Rotherham	11	32′ Home
8	Salford		Rotherham	11
9	Chesterfield		Rotherham	11
10	Crewe		Rotherham	11
11 · Rotherham
12	Fleetwood Town		Rotherham	11
13	Tranmere	2–2	Rotherham	11	16′ Home
14	Colchester		Rotherham	11
15	Rochdale		Rotherham	11
16	Shrewsbury		Rotherham	11
17	Swindon		Rotherham	11
18	Newport County		Rotherham	11
19	Port Vale		Rotherham	11
20	Accrington		Rotherham	11
21	Oldham		Rotherham	11
22	Exeter		Rotherham	11
23	Northampton	0–1	Rotherham	11	73′ Away
24	Crawley Town		Rotherham	11

Grimsby Home Rotherham Away

Wins

80%

25%

Over 1.5

80%

50%

Over 2.5

20%

50%

Over 3.5

20%

25%

Both teams scored

20%

50%

Clean sheets

80%

25%

Scores first

80%

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Grimsby

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.60	0.75	1.78
Draws	20.0%	75.0%	44.4%
Goals scored / match	1.80	1.25	1.56
Goals conceded / match	0.40	1.50	0.89
Total goals / match	2.20	2.75	2.44
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	80.0%	25.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	4 of 4	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Rotherham

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.40	1.00	1.22
Draws	80.0%	25.0%	55.6%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.00	1.56
Goals conceded / match	1.80	1.25	1.56
Total goals / match	3.80	2.25	3.11
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	50.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	2	1
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Grimsby	Draw	Rotherham	How it works
Strength (Elo)	50.2%	23.9%	26.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	54.5%	20.7%	22.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.13–1.29 Model expected goals

64.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

62.1% Both teams to score

2-1 Most likely score, at 9.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-19.6%

1-19.0%

2-07.4%

1-07.0%

3-16.8%

2-26.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Grimsby	Rotherham	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1571	1501	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-4	11	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1473	1502	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	59.6%	53.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	63.6%	44.4%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1018	1025	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	44.3%	37.5%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	57.5%	65.0%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Grimsby	1.11	0.79	0.47	0.53
Rotherham	0.62	0.75	0.88	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Grimsby	8%	25%	25%	10%	32%
Rotherham	0%	22%	22%	22%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.50 Grimsby at home, 10 matches

1.00 Rotherham away, 4 matches

56d Days of rest for Grimsby

56d Days of rest for Rotherham

— Manager of Grimsby

— Manager of Rotherham

0 Matches for Grimsby in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Rotherham in the last 14 days

2 Points for Grimsby behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

7 Points for Rotherham behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

2.54 League goals per match

27.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Grimsby, the right bar represents Rotherham.

On the ball

20 matches

14.56

shots

12.6

4.38

shots on target

3.2

30.0%

accuracy

25.4%

6.16

corners

4.12

10.26

fouls

11.5

1.32

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Grimsby	LWWWDDDDWD	1.70	1.50–0.90	1L
Rotherham	DWDDLDWDL	1.22	1.56–1.56	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Grimsby	10	6	3	0	2
Rotherham	1	4	3	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Grimsby

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Rotherham

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.